mathdev

7 ms·

1.
by mathdev 6y ago
It's quite incredible. This chemical appears to have a safety profile comparable with the coronavirus itself, and yet the stock market appears to anticipate a possibility that people will get injected with it en masse.
2.
by mathdev 6y ago
You cannot really trust a source as biased as NYT on anything about Trump.
3.
by mathdev 6y ago
I imagine the process is quite involved for tax optimization reasons.
4.
by mathdev 6y ago
> the only son of Leila (née Stahl) and Congressman Howard Buffett. > In high school, he invested in a business owned by his father and bought a 40-acre farm worked by a tenant farmer. > Buffett’s net worth dropped earlier this wee
5.
by mathdev 6y ago
> Either in-person classes are safe, and the rules can go back to pre-pandemic, or they aren't, and forcing students and professors to attend them is dangerous and cruel. Actually, in-person classes are completely safe and this is
6.
by mathdev 6y ago
Expansion of space doesn’t preclude the universe being infinite.
7.
by mathdev 6y ago
A fact check would be fine if it led to objective analyses of some sort, or even Wikipedia. But when I clicked it, it displayed some highly partisan sources, including a CNN article with its usual "Trump bad" vitriol. Maybe it was
8.
How Fear, Groupthink Drove Unnecessary Global Lockdowns(realclearpolitics.com)
2 points by mathdev 6y ago|0 comments
9.
by mathdev 6y ago
A big artificial biosphere to launch out of the solar system and live there away from all the human nonsense.
10.
by mathdev 6y ago
It's just too contagious and countries are opening up that still have quite a large number of infections. Seems like a very tricky balancing act to keep R under 1.
11.
by mathdev 6y ago
https://twitter.com/nntaleb/status/1258931279317405696 and there are more tweets on that if you scroll the feed.
12.
by mathdev 6y ago
Interesting predictions. However, they do not fit the facts on the ground, at least here in Poland, which is some weeks ahead of the US with respect to the development of the epidemic. (I'm relieved that) people have gotten sick and ti
13.
by mathdev 6y ago
No. First, having multiple conditions doesn’t qualitatively change the result. Second, the figure shown by default is not adjusted for comorbidities and the adjustment is clearly marked as experimental. You are all just crazy with the panic
14.
Ask HN: Why was my 'Show HN' submission flagged?
1 points by mathdev 6y ago|3 comments
15.
by mathdev 6y ago
I am reluctant to accept the American/Western mentality in these things, but I have added some disclaimers. Thanks.
16.
by mathdev 6y ago
Yeah, it only takes into account whether one has preconditions or not, at the moment. The plan was to produce more detailed calculations, but it is difficult.
17.
by mathdev 6y ago
Fixed to only include the base URL.
18.
by mathdev 6y ago
1) No. I don't imagine there are any reliable statistics available on that, and how could you estimate your dose? 2) Yes, this was taken into account by the study, data from which the algorithm uses.
19.
by mathdev 6y ago
That's a neat idea, though not sure if I will have the time.
20.
by mathdev 6y ago
I don't log or store anything, except for what is logged by Google Analytics. > If they were to end up dying of COVID-19 because they are induced to take more risks, do you think you will have exposed yourself to any legal liability
21.
by mathdev 6y ago
See the modals that display after clicking the question marks for details.
22.
by mathdev 6y ago
There does not seem to be enough reliable data for the higher age brackets. That should happen if you have no pre-existing conditions - then the adjustment decreases the probabilities.
23.
by mathdev 6y ago
I made this tool after seeing much confusion, even on HN, about the risks for an individual posed by COVID-19. On the results page, click the question marks for detailed sources and methodology. I will appreciate constructive feedback.
24.
Show HN: Calculator of personal risk due to Covid-19(covidodds.com)
17 points by mathdev 6y ago|22 comments
25.
National coronavirus hysteria will lead to disproportionate suffering(theaustralian.com.au)
2 points by mathdev 6y ago|2 comments
26.
by mathdev 6y ago
I think it's mostly to avoid the bad press of having to do triage at hospitals, long-term consequences be damned.
27.
by mathdev 6y ago
The opposite. It mutates more slowly than the flu.
28.
by mathdev 6y ago
That's false. Death is the natural and inevitable outcome of life. The people who would die of COVID are nearly exclusively people who would die relatively soon anyway. For an average 85 years old person, the risk of dying due to COVI
29.
A call to honesty in pandemic modeling(medium.com)
10 points by mathdev 6y ago|3 comments
30.
by mathdev 6y ago
"If you leave the house, I'll call the cops and tell them you're breaking quarantine, and then you'll go to jail and I'll be the only person who can get you out." Funny how those are almost the exact words that

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