bryanlarsen

5 ms·

1.
by bryanlarsen 3d ago
10% chance means "not likely", and that's the highest percentage likelihood I've seen from anybody.
2.
by bryanlarsen 3d ago
Experts regularly put the annual risk of nuclear exchange at about 2-5% per annum. So over a decade or longer, that risk is significantly above 10%. Those same odds also mean that we should have had additional nuclear exchanges in the 8
3.
by bryanlarsen 3d ago
I have a coworker who is incredible at the job it sounds like you want. The "keep customers happy" role. It's a massively important role in a company. It's part product support, part sales support and part product o
4.
by bryanlarsen 4d ago
The various contract proposals for Rust are used as input to both formal verification tools as well as input to the optimizer. A good example of one such tool that could utilize contracts is cargo-anneal ( https://crates.io&#x2
5.
by bryanlarsen 4d ago
The German goverment of the late 90's and early 00's, along with a very small number of contemporaries such as Denmark can claim a large portion of the credit for the good climate news that we do have. Today, solar & wind powe
6.
by bryanlarsen 4d ago
In other words, same as it's always been. The general rule is that inequality increases until a war comes along and burns everything down and levels it to ashes. The world has been relatively peaceful since WW2 ended so inequality h
7.
by bryanlarsen 4d ago
> Nobody wants to buy a second hand EV if it needs a usd10-15k for a new battery and an EV becomes pretty much unsellable at this point without a replaced battery. Enough people believe this that such cars are the best deal right now, by
8.
by bryanlarsen 5d ago
AFAICT the two processing steps that have the most impact are the super fine milling that is used to create modern flour, and the removal of the bran from the flour. Those are likely the same whether you have Chorleywood bread or homemade
9.
by bryanlarsen 6d ago
Google announced that Android contains 5 million lines of Rust last year; sounds Tier-1 to me.
10.
by bryanlarsen 6d ago
This is from rustconf. A lot of the focus at Rustconf this year has been C++ interop, Python Interop, Javascript interop -- it's no longer about "rewrite it in rust", it's about being part of the ecosystem.
11.
by bryanlarsen 6d ago
Rust is great for rapid protoyping, IMO. Or, at least the subset of rapid prototyping that involves massive rewrites to try out different approaches. Rust has a saying "if it compiles, it works", the compiler really ensures th
12.
by bryanlarsen 7d ago
You're old enough that isn't a worry for you. If your grandkids have cars as a hobby they might have to use a track rather than public roads.
13.
by bryanlarsen 8d ago
Motorcycles, not motor vehicles. Lots of cars and trucks go both ways across the border. Motorcycles is a lot smaller trade, mostly done by Bombardier: those three wheeles bikes popular with seniors. Trump hates Bombardier, they had t
14.
by bryanlarsen 8d ago
Time to shut down the oil exports. That'll instantly get rid of the trade deficit that Trump keeps complaining about. That's what he wants, isn't it?
15.
by bryanlarsen 8d ago
A shotgun is a useful tool to have locked in your house. But carrying it around during a natural disaster will do far more harm than good. Neighbors and looky-loos will almost always give you help if you ask for it; they won't if y
16.
by bryanlarsen 8d ago
For the most part, looters are thieves of opportunity. They'll take the stuff that's easy to take and won't risk a confrontation. It's like the parable of outrunning the bear: you don't have to be completely loote
17.
by bryanlarsen 8d ago
After having lived through a couple of natural disasters, I think the most important preparation you can make is to get to know your neighbors. Exchange phone numbers, give them a key. Help them out, ask for favors. (Asking for small f
18.
by bryanlarsen 10d ago
White Castle doesn't franchise.
19.
by bryanlarsen 11d ago
That's the point. Homemade white bread and store bought have the same nutritional profile. They're both hyper-palatable. The super fine milling of the flour and removal of the bran makes it super tasty and enables the body t
20.
by bryanlarsen 11d ago
Intermittent production is currently being solved by natural gas and coal production. With very rare exceptions these are not being shut down. Therefore, the immense amounts of wind, solar and batteries that are being added to the grid
21.
by bryanlarsen 11d ago
If you have overproduction of wind, you feather the blades to prevent overproduction. When production exceeds load, the voltage and/or frequency rises as the current drops. Blade angle is under constant control, and those are input
22.
by bryanlarsen 12d ago
SemiAnalysis estimates their profit margin to be 70%. To be losing money on inference implies that their costs are almost 4X higher than SemiAnalysis has calculated. That's not credible.
23.
by bryanlarsen 12d ago
Many of the components inside European satellites are covered by ITAR. European satellites buy many components from American suppliers.
24.
by bryanlarsen 12d ago
This is where the road subsidy becomes much more apparent. We use appropriation and tax dollars to expand the road network, but the railroads generally don't have access to either. So they're not expanding other than by runnin
25.
by bryanlarsen 12d ago
We should mostly be using trains for long distance transport and electric trucks for last mile transport. Both are very feasible today. We can get much of the benefit with little of the cost by phasing in a proper carbon tax slowly. Tran
26.
by bryanlarsen 12d ago
They were gifted the land when the land was close to worthless because the transport costs for western products were higher than their value. The train is what made western land valuable. That land had value before the train came throu
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by bryanlarsen 12d ago
Local food often has higher transportation costs than food from further away. Long distance food transportation is done by highly efficient ship & rail. The last mile transportation costs typically dominate. And semi-trailer from
28.
by bryanlarsen 12d ago
- it's less convenient. If the cost difference is small because trucking is cheap people will pay more for convenience. - the cost difference is smaller than it should be. Trucking is highly subsidized, since diesel taxes don'
29.
by bryanlarsen 12d ago
The US has a really good freight train network. Yet there's a good chance the products you discussed didn't use the much more efficient train for the long distance portion of their transit.
30.
by bryanlarsen 12d ago
There's a small but real market for < 120mile flights where geography makes a road between the two destinations impossible. "Puddle jumpers" is the standard term. However, the real market is for connecting flights to nea

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