tersh

6 ms·

1. 1.▲
   by tersh 3y ago

   Cornell Law Professor gives a talk Nov 10 on how AI will impact copyright.
2. 2.▲
   by tersh 3y ago

   The median prediction for whether this gets independently confirmed is sitting at 25%: https://www.metaculus.com/questions/18090/room-temp-supercon...
3. 3.▲
   by tersh 3y ago

   Yeah, Metaculus trains, identifies, and hires "Metaculus Pro Forecasters" for particular projects: https://www.metaculus.com/help/faq/#what-are-pros
4. 4.▲
   by tersh 3y ago

   Forecasting in tournaments — head-to-head on the same set of questions — is the true test of forecasting ability.
5. 5.▲
   by tersh 3y ago

   The Metaculus prediction weights predictors by how accurate they've been.