new2628

6 ms·

1.
by new2628 6y ago
That's an interesting response, thanks! I think where I disagree is that I think people are pretty smart, at least in one thing, which is survival -- the proof of that is that those who were not, quickly exited the gene pool. That is a
2.
by new2628 6y ago
There should be a named fallacy for that, "linking to a comic" -- although I guess it falls under fallacy fallacy.
3.
by new2628 6y ago
I agree with you, but my point is more broadly that in reality we often don't go through the steps "1. estimate probability" -> "2. make a decision based on the probability distribution", because step 1. is so er
4.
by new2628 6y ago
There is always a prior only if you really care about computing probabilities. The implicit assumption in Bayesian data analysis is that you go first to "best possible estimate of probability", then to "decision based on that
5.
by new2628 6y ago
Now that's a pretentious dismissal if I ever heard one.
6.
by new2628 6y ago
Controversial opinion: Bayes Theorem is overrated. In real life usually we have no idea about priors, and we have close to zero chance to get any good estimate of the true probability of something. But we can still get by fine for the most
7.
by new2628 6y ago
> What do you recommend using for fertiliser in its place? Horse manure :)
8.
by new2628 6y ago
Another great series is Advoko: https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=xRSUxRUZb0I
9.
by new2628 6y ago
This is like saying that the weapons advanced countries sell to less advanced countries are more "life-respecting".
10.
by new2628 6y ago
Being an "early adopter" when it comes to non-essential medicine is not too smart either. Referring to IQ as a stand-in for intelligence is yet another blind alley.
11.
by new2628 6y ago
That integrity of the West during and before the cold war included some nasty moves as well (Vietnam to name one). In fact, I find your thesis jingoism at its best.
12.
by new2628 6y ago
I agree that in Berlin it is not as _major_ problem as in some other large cities, but still, it is telling that it is widely accepted as normal that all building corners that face the sidewalk are constantly pissed by dogs with the colorin
13.
by new2628 6y ago
It's amazing that the only danger you see is that it is fuel to anti-vaxxers. What if it is actually harmful at scale?
14.
by new2628 6y ago
You are right, 50 years is probably smarter, 20 is too little for all the effects to come out.
15.
by new2628 6y ago
Yet sidewalks in cities around most of the developed world drown in dog/cat poop and pee, something that would have seemed strange a generation ago, and still seems if you travel from a less pet-crazy place.
16.
by new2628 6y ago
You can encode as moderately large (low hundreds of clauses/variables) SAT instances questions of Ramsey-theory and other unsolved combinatorics and those instances will not be solved by any heuristic.
17.
by new2628 6y ago
I would love to take part in such an experiment and be on UBI while the rest of society is not.
18.
by new2628 6y ago
I saw that a long time ago, it is hilarious.
19.
by new2628 6y ago
To be fair, the "new math" of the 60s deserved that.
20.
by new2628 6y ago
Most such services are contracted anyway and not on payroll.
21.
by new2628 6y ago
Some of these skills (I would add: patience, focus, controlling anger, planning a few steps ahead) definitely transfer and are especially valuable to teach to children. But all these apply at the beginning already, for champion-level play t
22.
by new2628 6y ago
It correlates with education, income, etc. because it serves basically as a literacy test. (As in, very low IQ means you fail at most measurable things.) Once you condition on IQ>110, the correlation disappears.
23.
by new2628 6y ago
A double twist is that in the original Hungarian his name is Élő that means "Live". For the first few decades of hearing "Élő"-score, I just assumed it meant your "live" score, as in your score at the current t
24.
by new2628 6y ago
Faster internet than Germany, while being far behind Germany by most standard socio-economic metrics.
25.
by new2628 6y ago
As a counterpoint, I didn't care for the project itself so much and he had me cracking at the robot jokes.
26.
by new2628 6y ago
I understood it just to mean that they speak only one of the four (and plus an unspecified number of other languages).
27.
by new2628 6y ago
At the risk of slight over-generalisation let me add: No statue was ever about preserving history. It doesn't mean that there cannot be other good reasons for putting up statues.
28.
by new2628 6y ago
At least in chess, if it is not the search, then it is probably the evaluation function. Expert players have likely a very well-tuned evaluation function of how strong a board "feels". Some of it is explainable easily: center domi
29.
by new2628 6y ago
> Germany and Italy, which are neighbours. This is new to me :) Your point stands of course..
30.
by new2628 6y ago
This is quite common with many recent books: they are an extended essay. Most essays: an extension of one catchy phrase.

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