iamthemonster

8 ms·

1.
by iamthemonster 21d ago
It's really sobering how much your use of international data impacts the failure rates. If you limit yourself to US historical data then I think about 3.5% withdrawal rate is bulletproof. But in your data I managed to get 2.2% failure
2.
by iamthemonster 28d ago
Yeah I'm on a similar path myself. Instead of punishment, I connect with my kids first and then make them reflect on their behaviour and what impact it had. It is very inefficient in the short term! It takes a lot of time and effort in
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by iamthemonster 1mo ago
Does your browser not automatically translate? It took an extra 2 seconds to load but that's it.
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by iamthemonster 2mo ago
Parent of a Year 7 kid here (that's the first year of high school and a very common age at which all kids have phones). The social media ban has been a wild success in preventing 11-year-olds having their social connections locked into
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by iamthemonster 4mo ago
Do you have any references for your statements? The majority of car sales in China are EVs (which is more than the UK, the EU and the US) so locals are buying the supply right now. Reference: https://ourworldindata.org/elect
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by iamthemonster 4mo ago
In 1990 it was only 5% of Americans and now it's 50%. In the UK it's 85% but a better comparison is probably France who are in the Schengen Area so only 60% have a passport. If I lived in France I doubt I would travel outside of t
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by iamthemonster 5mo ago
Where I live in Western Australia, it is perfectly normal for 10-year-olds to be getting on their bikes and going round to their friends' houses after school. The swing towards "Fuck Around And Find Out" parenting has been go
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by iamthemonster 5mo ago
Absolutely. My kid just started high school shortly after our social media ban started, and they only interact with their friends outside of school via phone calls and text, without the interference of addiction-optimised algorithms. It&#x2
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by iamthemonster 5mo ago
I will forever remember my experience with the development of a new tool in my job as an engineer in hazardous gas processing. We had a consultant who was developing this tool that worked in a double-act with one of our engineers, and they
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by iamthemonster 5mo ago
The Noongar calendar from the south west of Western Australia is, of course, a much better fit to the local climate. We are just starting Djeran, with probably the best weather of the year, then it'll be Makuru, with by far the most ra
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by iamthemonster 5mo ago
I've got a 12 year old in Australia and the social media ban has been amazing. Since the algorithm-distraction-machine is parasitical on users' social network, the kids just have little interest in it because their social network
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by iamthemonster 5mo ago
My solution to this is that I ring my bell when I'm far from people, usually twice while I'm still a fair way away. It just gets pedestrians conscious that there's a bike around, while also being far enough away that it'
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by iamthemonster 6mo ago
Sorry I didn't see your comment until now, apologies for the late reply. A classic messy judgement call would be: 1. Input information includes some word of mouth info that I have no reason to doubt, but also absolutely no way of verif
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by iamthemonster 7mo ago
I'm an engineer in the oil and gas industry. Some of my job involves messy judgement calls that I would never involve LLMs in, but some of my job boils down to integrating different items of data that exist across documents, drawings a
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by iamthemonster 7mo ago
This reminds me of the opposite, which is how the cost of hydrogen for home heating is surprisingly high enough that there are several consumer goods that yield more Joules of heating value per dollar. I once worked out that burning the IKE
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by iamthemonster 7mo ago
Sadly international diversification is far less effective during downturns, which is exactly when you need it. It really turns out that the old adage "when the US sneezes the whole world catches a cold" is borne out by the eviden
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by iamthemonster 9mo ago
I was interested to hear Trump mention Australia's retirement system the other day (amongst the endless stream of what he normally talks about, it really stood out). In Australia you have a universal Age Pension which is a backstop aga
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by iamthemonster 10mo ago
I've benefited a lot from my specialist area (energy industry) in which consultants and analysts will post genuinely informative and thought-provoking articles. It works to enhance their technical reputation and give them publicity, an
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by iamthemonster 1y ago
I was very surprised at how many statistical methods are taught in undergraduate psychology. Far more statistics than I ever touched in engineering for sure. Yet the undergrads really treated statistics as a cookbook, where they just wanted
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by iamthemonster 1y ago
I don't own guns myself but I know someone who runs a gun club and a policeman. They are both in agreement that the latest legislation changes have introduced absolutely no improvement, for example a recent lifetime ban for somebody wh
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by iamthemonster 1y ago
Absolutely superb. The 'hot bricks in a box' concept of very high temperature thermal energy storage has been really coming into its own with the fall of solar PV costs, and it's quite suitable for industrial consumers of me
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by iamthemonster 1y ago
Porter's a well known climate denier, this article about her gives some background: https://www.desmog.com/2023/06/22/climate-sceptic-goes-uncha... We're really past the point of climate denialism n
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by iamthemonster 1y ago
Yes - I'm a senior member of my team too (to the extent that I've previously been the team lead of similar teams) and it's so freeing to be able to: 1. Give plenty of credit to the juniors when they do good work, even if they
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by iamthemonster 1y ago
In Australia you start with a birth certificate and photo, and that leads to passport and driving licence. The three of those are the holy trinity of ID (though you'd very rarely be asked for your birth certificate). With passport and
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by iamthemonster 1y ago
For the rest of my life, AI will be coming for my job and full-self-driving cars will be just around the corner.
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by iamthemonster 1y ago
I can't believe we're still asking Elon about when we'll get full-self-driving, he's already answered that question every year since 2013. It's coming next year.
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by iamthemonster 1y ago
He came to talk at our school in the mid-90s and a journalist from the local rag was allowed to sit in the audience for some reason. The journalist asked about 1987 and Michael Fish visibly deflated and looked around the room with a look o
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by iamthemonster 1y ago
we fired all our junior devs so we can't write code any more
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by iamthemonster 1y ago
I'm also a blow-in but I've been in Australia 14 years. "The BoM" is a fascinating Australian cultural artefact and even in weather-obsessed Britain (where Michael Fish was a household name in a similar category to Hitl
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by iamthemonster 1y ago
This is pretty useless to be honest. It's good for telling whether a number is even, but in our industry we need more powerful functionality. We also need to know whether a number is odd.

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