dalyons

5 ms·

1.
by dalyons 5d ago
and thats fine by me! if we covered just the average daily cycle with batteries (like cali is closing in on) then you're talking like a 95% non-fossil production for the year. We've effectively won the climate crisis at that point
2.
by dalyons 5d ago
is is often repeated in these threads, baseload generation is an obsolete term. Base load itself is real - the minimum demand on the grid, usually in the early am. Base load generation was a term given to a class of generators (mainly coal
3.
by dalyons 5d ago
Do you think in the current situation they are more or less likely to try for a nuke than before?
4.
by dalyons 5d ago
Then why is California down to 25% fossil generation from 60% a few years ago? And still dropping fast as more and more batteries and renewables come on line. Tell me again how baseload generation is still a relevant concept
5.
by dalyons 5d ago
Nah, it’s coz they were almost all built in an era before renewables became cheaper than coal in the last few years.
6.
by dalyons 6d ago
A one party state where the plants are owned, insured, backstopped and cleaned up for free by the government doesn’t have the same economics as free market builds. And even with all that their total share of nuclear is declining y/&amp
7.
by dalyons 12d ago
Or they could get with the times and build a ton of battery like California. Down to 25% fossil in 2026 due to the massive success of shifting solar into the night with batteries. the answers exist, euro states just can’t get out of their o
8.
by dalyons 13d ago
Australian electricity in 2026 is about 45% renewable. And rising fast. 40% of Australian homes have rooftop solar. How is this “not much progress”? Yes more could be done but that is massive progress Also, I’m not sure what point you’re ma
9.
by dalyons 15d ago
Nuke fanboys hate this one weird trick (economics)
10.
by dalyons 15d ago
The peak of ICE car sales (which includes hybrids) was in 2017 and it’s been downhill since then, and it’s going to plummet from here as EV share keeps growing rapidly. Bev share is growing significantly faster than hybrid. I personally wo
11.
by dalyons 15d ago
I find this a correct and astute observation, and I don’t think you’re getting enough credit for it. I started noticing this SV C level groupthink a few years ago too. It’s just so _weird_ how lockstep everyone is, it’s like there isn’t a s
12.
by dalyons 15d ago
Is that supposed to be an example of a good decision? Outside the US hybrids are quickly becoming irrelevant. The decision is looking like it will cost Toyota the crown
13.
by dalyons 17d ago
How about you try to explain how this changes the economics of nuclear, and I’ll wait.
14.
by dalyons 17d ago
You just keep moving the goalposts and not responding to arguments. Until you have some idea of how nuclear is ever going to be cost competitive on today’s grids, good day to you.
15.
by dalyons 18d ago
This is some “both sides” absolute bullshit. The Biden administration passed the IRA, huge incentives for personal and commercial renewable energy production, EVs, all kinds of things. Trump is paying people to burn more coal, blocking sola
16.
by dalyons 18d ago
Cars probably. My car reads and sends iMessages via Bluetooth.
17.
by dalyons 18d ago
thats, not true at all. Safety costs a little, but they are fundamentally massively complicated, huge, specialized, EXPENSIVE things to build. They require 100s of staff to run at all times. The insurance is so expensive only nation states
18.
by dalyons 19d ago
i know they are (or claim to be). Im extremely unconvinced that meaningfully changes the flawed economics of nuclear power. I would love to be proven wrong and a wave of innovative economically competitive nuclear technology emerges... pos
19.
by dalyons 19d ago
The latest figures from ember etc are not only “sun shining”, they’re talking about 24hr firmed solar-storage costs, and they’re still mostly cheaper than fossil in most geos. It is true that we will have to pay for having gas fill the gaps
20.
by dalyons 19d ago
I mean, sounds kinda cool. But that 2023 idea is very clearly not going to happen in the current US political environment. We’re in an era of brutal capitalism, and nothing else matters but price. Not even emissions sadly. Green compacts l
21.
by dalyons 19d ago
which is great, but as i understand it will still lead to an overall decline in share of nuclear power. The scale of their power production is unfathomable
22.
by dalyons 19d ago
Solar produces incredibly cheap power for the daytime hours, pushing any nuclear off the grid (why would a data center buy expensive nuke power in the hours when cheap renewables are available?). Nuclear needs to be running and selling powe
23.
by dalyons 19d ago
it is not at all a perfect match for nuclear. Solar produces incredibly cheap power for the daytime hours, pushing the nuclear off the grid (why would a data center buy expensive nuke power in the hours when cheap renewables are available?)
24.
by dalyons 19d ago
boy am i tired of hearing that Dunkelflaute word as if its some kind of gotcha. Even ignoring the fact that you can continue to source power from other geographies during a localized phenomenon..... Just burn gas in peaker plants for the fe
25.
by dalyons 19d ago
You think the guidance was written as a good faith interpretation of the law? Cmon.
26.
by dalyons 20d ago
Most developing nations are below too now!
27.
by dalyons 21d ago
You know the answer to this. It’s only going to be anti immigrant dog whistles
28.
by dalyons 21d ago
Yeah it’s usually just 3-6ft on the edges of the roof. But this whole roof is tiny. Covering a 12x12 roof would be much less than one edge run on a big house . Also they only turn on when there’s actual snow falling so doesn’t use as much p
29.
by dalyons 22d ago
also idk, tons of people up here have regular sheds for various purposes and they seem to survive just fine
30.
by dalyons 22d ago
well it just has to stop significant buildup over multiple days right? IDK, seems pretty effective here in tahoe where ive seen it applied on parts of peoples houses

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