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searching Neon…
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1.
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by
confiscate
6y ago
as an extreme example if Remdemsivir cures 100% of all Covid-19 cases, halfway through the trial, they would have enough data to show a net positive benefit. They don't need to finish the whole trial to declare Remdemsivir useful the f
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confiscate
6y ago
yes but, if in a trial, if one arm performs substantially different than the control arm (e.g. 50% or even 100% lower death rate), the large difference between arms can lead to investigators ending the trial early ironically, this happened
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confiscate
7y ago
can't laugh when you are breathing with your mouth, my friend :)
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confiscate
7y ago
care to give some examples? Because I am a curious reader who does not live in Iceland and don't have the context to be able to identify the embellishments
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confiscate
7y ago
consumers vote with their wallet, at the of the day. by and large consumers don't care if the company is for social change or not. it's difficult for a company to succeed in getting customers to pay based purely on social change i
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confiscate
7y ago
that makes no sense like you said in 2008 there wasn't anything there. They lose millions the whole company dies now Tesla operates in billions of dollars. They lose billions it's still only 10%
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confiscate
7y ago
by that logic, the 1st email was "leaked" intentionally? The 1st leaked email about burning cash over 10 months, causing the stock to crash even more "where there's a will there's a way". So by your logic he wa
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by
confiscate
7y ago
Maybe the 1st email was leaked intentionally, according to your logic? The 1st leaked email about burning cash over 10 months How convenient that email leaked when the stock price is getting clobbered, adding insult to injury. How convenien
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confiscate
7y ago
is this true?
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True? Elon Musk 2018 pay was more than next 65 highest-paid CEOs combined
(businessinsider.com)
3 points
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confiscate
7y ago
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2 comments
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confiscate
7y ago
in reality he is getting paid minimum wage. He only gets stock if he hits milestones that are set impossibly high
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NY Times Claims Elon Musk Breaks CEO Pay Record
(linkedin.com)
5 points
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confiscate
7y ago
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2 comments
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confiscate
7y ago
First of his name. Protector of the realm (of the valley) :) Congrats Geoff! Much deserved. Looking forward to seeing great things at YC
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confiscate
7y ago
Agree. Do you think price is the limiting factor for lackluster demand? Maybe if they can make model 3 cheaper than 35k demand will rise
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confiscate
7y ago
Wait where are the links to these analysts? The original post and every article online is citing Elon's email Sensational headlines declaring Elon says Tesla will die, are headlines that generate clicks and views
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confiscate
7y ago
I thought they had 2B in the bank before the raise. Granted, I am sure Elon exaggerates numbers, but shouldn't that be factored in?
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confiscate
7y ago
sounds like a misleading headline The original letter says the 2.4 billion raised a few weeks ago, would be used up in 10 months at current burn rate. It's for the money recently raised, not the entire company's bank account. Head
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confiscate
7y ago
I disagree. That would feel like going back to the year 1999
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confiscate
7y ago
No the graphic was posted to make an argument. That was the purpose of why that graphic was posted: "I found this simple graphic a great distillation of why Lyft and Uber may be considered overvalued"
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confiscate
7y ago
What you said actually proves my point. If Lyft becomes the next Pets.com and goes bust, its stock would be worth $0. If that happened, it would be laughable to say that Lyft is under-valued, simply because Ford is valued in the billions. F
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confiscate
7y ago
Yes, either case is possible. Lyft could become Pets.com or Amazon. You can argue that Lyft will become Pets.com, due to other reasons, such as growth potential etc. That would make sense. BUT, the argument in your graphic, that a company i
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confiscate
7y ago
that graphic is simple and naive Here is an 60-minute interview, in 1999. The journalist/expert made the same argument as in your graphic, that a software company is overvalued because its market cap is higher than traditional companie
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confiscate
7y ago
agreed
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by
confiscate
7y ago
ya, but testing for product-market fit is much more uncertain than buying/providing labor. It's still harder
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confiscate
8y ago
That makes no sense. Even now you are saying above, that it's extremely hard to build and sell Model 3 for 35k. Even now you are listing many reasons why Tesla can't do it based on unit economics. But when Tesla actually does it?
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confiscate
8y ago
Agree Nissan Leaf is a good car. It's a shame Nissan didn't sell more varieties of electric cars after the success of the Leaf. Would have been nice if they expanded on the success of the Leaf
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confiscate
8y ago
Ya but in the end they always delivered. The 35k model 3, scaling up manufacturing to over 5k cars a week, not going bankrupt. They missed the deadlines but eventually they delivered as promised. Why is missing their self-imposed deadlines
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confiscate
8y ago
I disagree. California's green car incentive drove most companies to invest in green car tech as a toy, but it was always a hobby. A side project for R&D. Car manufacturers never took green cars seriously and never felt the need to
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confiscate
8y ago
ya but neither of those 2 things (Toyota's Prius 2, and California's green car incentives) were successful in making car manufacturers wake up and go electric. It was only when Tesla started making money that every car manufacture
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confiscate
8y ago
what was your experience with public defenders? Just curious because you said it was a pro-tip to never take one
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