causalmodels

6 ms·

1.
by causalmodels 5d ago
If this was limited to just three results, I would agree with you. But those three are just the ones I've managed to verify myself. The list of unverified results is quite a bit larger. The field I've been investigating is not lar
2.
by causalmodels 5d ago
Maybe I'll end up doing the write ups pseudonymously. I have taken care to make sure the results can meaningfully contribute to field but I don't want to plant flags or really receive credit of any kind. I just think they are in
3.
by causalmodels 5d ago
The numerical results are trivial to check. I wrote the analytical results in Lean by hand before asking a former professor to confirm after asking him to keep this private. They're valid.
4.
by causalmodels 5d ago
What do we do about the problems that don't require many millions of dollars in resources? Last weekend I spun up a small agent swarm and pointed it at a field of math I have some affinity towards. Within four hours I had settled three
5.
by causalmodels 20d ago
The formatting on the readme makes it difficult to read
6.
by causalmodels 22d ago
The datacenter topic is cursed because people are afraid of ai. People seized on water usage because it is a more legible and tractable focus for their fear.
7.
by causalmodels 2mo ago
It is wild that amidst all these platform stability issues, GH has decided now is the time to do cutesy marketing for a new feature
8.
by causalmodels 2mo ago
When we were dating, the first thing my now wife did was get me on a regimin of sunscreen and tretinoin. I now have significantly fewer wrinkles than my younger siblings (2-3 years).
9.
by causalmodels 2mo ago
My issue with this is not that codeberg and its members want to uphold a certain set of political beliefs. Any private organization is free to do that. It's that they haven't defined the rule that's supposed to encode those b
10.
by causalmodels 4mo ago
> If your statistical model doesn’t contain this single bit in its output, then it doesn’t meet the minimum requirement for being a prediction. I would be fascinated to know how you model a coin flip.
11.
by causalmodels 5mo ago
He may not have control over the podcast spots, but his PR firm does have several AI companies as clients.
12.
by causalmodels 5mo ago
After alcohol, are we going to stop people from having multiple sexual partners in their lifetime? Because if public health is the goal, that would solve a lot of problems. It is fine to attempt to improve public health, but not at the cost
13.
by causalmodels 7mo ago
Things are already off to a great start [1] https://agentbus.org/directory/?agent=agt_d9eb089fd4aa8e0f
14.
by causalmodels 7mo ago
The deep irony of the longform critiques is that the length is a proof of concept for the value of human effort.
15.
by causalmodels 7mo ago
I downloaded the "agent skill" file before installing it. You can read the full thing here: https://dpaste.com/GMEDXUR93 This is not really a pixel art project. Ut's a referral spam trojan for AI agents. The
16.
by causalmodels 7mo ago
Does this only apply to companies the commission doesn't like or will it apply to the hn app I use, my email clients, shopping sites, etc? Because it seems like the actual concern how good the algorithms are and not the UI.
17.
by causalmodels 7mo ago
Google will buy Anthropic if it comes to it. Google already owns ~30% of anthropic and Anthropic is running on Google hardware.
18.
by causalmodels 7mo ago
Everyone was laid off last year and the site is being mined for views.
19.
by causalmodels 7mo ago
Google didn't buy 30% of Anthropic to starve them of compute
20.
by causalmodels 7mo ago
Is it still getting blocked when you give it a browser?
21.
by causalmodels 8mo ago
I had a friend who flew out of SFO without an ID for many years without much issue. It was much more difficult for them to get back.
22.
by causalmodels 8mo ago
" As first reported by Reuters, Apple has acquired Q.ai, an Israeli startup specializing in imaging and machine learning, particularly technologies that enable devices to interpret whispered speech and enhance audio in noisy environmen
23.
by causalmodels 8mo ago
Yeah this has always seemed very silly. It is trivial to use claude code to reverse engineer itself.
24.
by causalmodels 8mo ago
I share the frustration with the hype machine. I just don't think a guy with a blog is an appropriate target for our frustration with corporate hype culture.
25.
by causalmodels 8mo ago
Fair point on the Elbonia comparison. But we can't sue the SQLite maintainers either, and yet we trust them with basically everything. The reason is that open source developed its own trust mechanisms over decades. We don't have a
26.
by causalmodels 8mo ago
Ok but this entire idea is very new. Its not an honest criticism to say no one has tried the new idea when they are actively doing it. Honestly I don't get the hostility. Yegge is running an experiment. I don't think it will work,
27.
by causalmodels 8mo ago
It is fine to have criticisms of this, I have many, but saying that Yegge hasn't built real software is just not true.
28.
by causalmodels 8mo ago
Because my local is a laptop and doesn't have a GPU cluster or TPU pod attached to it.
29.
by causalmodels 8mo ago
Interesting direction but the 98.8% FPR in Table 1 seems like a dealbreaker. Anyone understand what's going on with the contradictory results between the text and tables?
30.
by causalmodels 8mo ago
The article's Karim Khan example pretty deeply undercuts the thesis. Losing access to your bank account is the actual coercive power. Losing a Microsoft email is an inconvenience in comparison. The real 'military bases' are b

More ›