bpodgursky

13 ms·

1.
by bpodgursky 4d ago
? I said IF the US and China agree to joint monitoring, THEN we could verify how much compute existed and what it was being used for. YES, China will catch up in chip production, but if each side allowed the other to track GPU production an
2.
by bpodgursky 4d ago
I mean it's very easy to comprehend and you don't need me for it. Just download claude code or codex and ask it to give suggestions about where to integrate agents into your workstream.
3.
by bpodgursky 4d ago
While it's an extremely hard problem, it's not completely unsolvable because there are a finite number of GPUs on the planet capable of doing frontier model development, and they use a lot of power. The vast majority of them coul
4.
by bpodgursky 4d ago
> It explains why the “we need to race China” concern suddenly vanished in the discussion Do you think you can just manifest narratives into existence? Like half of Dario's letter, that kicked off the whole thing today, is about Ch
5.
by bpodgursky 4d ago
If Fable doesn't add additional value in your workplace, it means you aren't being ambitious enough in how you integrate agents into your workstream. Yes, it's probably comparable to 4.8 if you are just using it to write code
6.
by bpodgursky 4d ago
Do you have any familiarity with Anthropic at all? At no point did they ever say open weights are a good idea. Their entire thesis is AI IS VERY DANGEROUS AND WE MUST DO IT RIGHT. You can hate it, but everything they do is consistent with
7.
by bpodgursky 5d ago
The Matrix is actually more of an optimist position, modal doomers don't think any humans will be left for any reason at all (the earth will get turned into raw materials for compute, dyson spheres, etc).
8.
by bpodgursky 5d ago
There is an implicit agreement that mathematics is funded, for the most part by the public, as a way to advance the state of knowledge and propagate (even if very indirectly) what has learned for the public good. It was never about helping
9.
by bpodgursky 5d ago
? "everyone is advancing but tied" is completely different than arguing we're at the top of an S curve
10.
by bpodgursky 5d ago
? What world are you living on.
11.
by bpodgursky 5d ago
You gotta touch grass and get outside and talk to normies. And then recognize that the normies you talk to are VASTLY MORE internet-savvy than the illiterate child soldiers on the front lines in Yemen. You have no concept of the info envir
12.
by bpodgursky 5d ago
You have far, far too much faith in the professionalism of armed forces in the developing world. 99% of it is just random 22 year old guys with guns and dual-use communication tech.
13.
by bpodgursky 5d ago
What do you think the chain of command looks like in the third world? Even in the Russia/Ukraine conflict they use Telegram for basic operations. All chat applications are dual-use.
14.
by bpodgursky 5d ago
I didn't say "in the greater Pittsburgh area" or "in Shenzhen". Again... "you're allowed to use common sense"
15.
by bpodgursky 6d ago
How is this a double standard? A cell of actors in northern Yemen building guided rockets was not working on a PhD dissertation. You are allowed to use common sense sometimes.
16.
by bpodgursky 6d ago
America is a stage for the world. Nobody knows or cares about drama happening in European tech companies. I say this neither negatively or positively, it's just that US news is, for now, the only international news, in both tech and p
17.
by bpodgursky 6d ago
I mean... the market was handed to the prime defense contractors on a silver platter for decades, and they utterly failed to deliver cost-effective or even working solutions. It's not some 4d chess play by VCs, they just finally realiz
18.
by bpodgursky 7d ago
So it's OK to roll out AI to nurses in the NHS and Canada? Their hospitals don't have shareholders, so that's a minimum baseline that meets all of your goals.
19.
by bpodgursky 7d ago
> but then the added productivity is used to justify fewer on-staff nurses Lower staffing levels per unit of care performed makes medical care cheaper for patients. If the goal of a healthcare system is to make healthcare more accessibl
20.
by bpodgursky 8d ago
Putting "wealth inequality" in the same bucket as nuclear weapons is just slop. The OP is talking about existential threats, not things that personally annoy you.
21.
by bpodgursky 8d ago
They do not try every viable combination on their own. That's why GoF is a bad idea. Viruses evolve in a highly locally-optimal way and simply do cannot add new functional proteins wholescale. It's too many steps, natural select
22.
by bpodgursky 8d ago
Design a novel virus which is far more lethal than COVID-19 (Ebola, smallpox, take your pick) and can evade existing vaccines.
23.
by bpodgursky 8d ago
It's a bigger deal for diagnostics than for drug development.
24.
by bpodgursky 8d ago
If you read the accusations that's like saying Ukraine and Russia are squabbling over the Donbas.
25.
by bpodgursky 9d ago
Anthropic is thought to be cash flow positive now.
26.
by bpodgursky 10d ago
They are obviously sandbagging the definition of "intern" for PR reasons
27.
by bpodgursky 10d ago
Congrats to Isar but I think you don't understand the scale difference here and the immensity of what it would take to be a neck-on-neck competitor to SpaceX. The orders of magnitude of launch efficiency are... starting to become stag
28.
by bpodgursky 11d ago
The Russians conscripted more German rocket scientists than the Americans got through Operation Paperclip, both programs were bootstrapped with German expertise. Americans got ~1,600, Russians more like 6,000.
29.
by bpodgursky 11d ago
Sorry but it's obviously stupider and more irresponsible to release them to consumers without testing them in conditions matching real-world use first.
30.
by bpodgursky 12d ago
OK, how do you expect to do full safety testing without giving them the same tools they will have in reality.

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