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33MHz-i486
searching Neon…
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33MHz-i486
13d ago
seaplanes aren’t more broadly used because they don’t have a good safety profile.
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33MHz-i486
14d ago
thank for your lovely ad-homenim and downvote. truely a thoughtful intellectual debate on the merits of the premise.
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33MHz-i486
14d ago
has Uber had a positive ROI on the billions invested in it? I am pretty sure the return on the preferred price from the late rounds 10 years ago is basically zero. Net income has always been negative or close to zero. From a consumer per
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33MHz-i486
29d ago
Amazon’s decision making is beholden to growing its share price and the trite careerist ambitions of (8 reports per manager) ^ (5 layers of management) = ~32768 middle managers. It’s destined to become a cesspool for consumers. The only
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33MHz-i486
2mo ago
- thats not a sustainable strategy - china’s homegrown tech industries already achieved escape velocity from it a long time ago, after China fenced off its market for Alibaba and Baidu in the ‘00s. some of their AI innovation at the edges
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33MHz-i486
2mo ago
pretty sure the lesson of that book was for the boy, to not indulge freeloaders. not for the mouse, to not accept free services
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33MHz-i486
2mo ago
with all the new taxes the city and the state have piled on, compensation above $1m is going to be taxed (federal + state) at a marginal rate of 56% by 2030, which I believe will be the highest in the country. Not to mention the state is i
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33MHz-i486
2mo ago
closed source harness + RL fine tuning on customer prompts on said harness is becoming a kind of economic moat (?)
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33MHz-i486
3mo ago
The startup I started working for has a fake health plan,(no network, prior authz and reimbursement issues for everything serious). So I just priced our family of 4 for rudimentary PPOs on the BCBS in our state. Our COBRA offer was 2400,
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33MHz-i486
3mo ago
the business people took over tech and somehow convinced us Jack Welch’s management philosophy (targeted attrition, layoffs for financial engineering) was a best practice even though he and his proteges drove numerous old guard tech compan
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33MHz-i486
3mo ago
I would speculate this is about the costs that (a weakly safeguarded) Mythos imposes on them. Amazon is, among other things, a net guarantor of cyber security for AWS customers (large enterprises and government entities). Taking a ~10e7 s
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33MHz-i486
4mo ago
they’re crap on a lot dimensions of how they treat customers but data privacy/security is one thats taken pretty seriously at AWS, perhaps owing to the massive reputational damage that would result if they played loose with it.
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33MHz-i486
4mo ago
if you dig into whats actual safe to distribute after inflation and taxes, or conservative FIRE mid-life recommendations, its around 1-2% of principal per year . From 14m, 10-20k/month, about the budget of the white collar household
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33MHz-i486
4mo ago
that is incorrect, the 0.1% (>50m) live purely off capital. the 1% are still mostly highly paid specialized labor and despite high savings their capital would not sustain their lifestyle outside a brief retirement.
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33MHz-i486
4mo ago
i think the narrative of “all white collar employment replacement in the near future” can sustain their public market valuation for many years, regardless of how profitable they are in the medium term.
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33MHz-i486
4mo ago
seems like a rube-goldberg esque way to consume 10x tokens. is this really where the industry is heading?
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33MHz-i486
4mo ago
well … batteries take up a lot of volume within the chassis and they need ultra low drag to compete on range. all the EV designs converge to blob
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33MHz-i486
4mo ago
I think it’s simplest to view these companies 2020s layoffs cycles through the lens of a political battle between executives and middle managers. Middle managers always want to grow ICs because it’s their main stake to higher title and more
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33MHz-i486
4mo ago
the problems with the meth epidemic are 3 fold. two problems are intrinsic to meth and one is a matter of public policy. 1) meth is highly addictive and there is no pharmacological intervention for that addiction. there is no clinically ef
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33MHz-i486
4mo ago
its sickening that these companies making 10s of Billions in profit annually at 60% gross margins are going to throw their employees that got them there under the bus. layoffs are for at risk companies undergoing restructuring not semi-annu
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33MHz-i486
4mo ago
middle management is hired to delegate but persists mostly grow itself and its influence
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33MHz-i486
4mo ago
opus 4.7 caliber models are trillions of params, and a single instance would likely run on multiple h200s. $100k of hardware. not coming to your laptop anytime soon.
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33MHz-i486
4mo ago
college educated “thoughtleaders” charged $300/hour by the plumbing company, HVAC, car service department and thinks the trade jobs make that much. yeah no they more often start at $30/hour
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33MHz-i486
5mo ago
I remember Travis Kalanik spouting the talking points about self-driving in 2017, that after Waymo, Tesla had the advantage because they had the best data, that they were going to crack self-driving soon. Then I remember Dara scuttling Ub
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33MHz-i486
5mo ago
I recall a lot of the original funding (Billions of dollars) was spent on 3rd party consultants to run various multi-year long review processes (environmental, legal compliance, eminent domain, community agreements etc.)
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33MHz-i486
5mo ago
probably the main thing is just having low-level engineers competent enough to run operations on the dozens of poorly maintained 50k LoC codebases per team, hundreds of bespoke internal dependencies, processes, and custom tooling. build eco
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33MHz-i486
5mo ago
the way in which Mantle was built is highlighted internally by PEs as some sort of triumph but really its a fairly tone deaf indicted of AWS’s engineering culture ... “To achieve a meaningful result in a reasonable amount of time we had to
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33MHz-i486
5mo ago
theyre getting high on their own supply, and instead really need to hire some senior engineers
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33MHz-i486
5mo ago
at this level they just decide and spin up a swat team to execute it in a couple weeks without politicking. the bureaucratic ways, reviews are just for the low levels, to keep them busy with feature scraps while they mostly do operations
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33MHz-i486
5mo ago
I think the subtext of the last few weeks is the Anthropic was becoming severely capacity constrained (or approaching that). They seem to have had to sign two somewhat adverse contracts with Amazon and Google in short succession. suddenly m
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