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I'm cautiously optimistic that this is the beginning of a much needed correction toward sobriety with regards to AI investment. The macro effects of all the mon
by elliotec 2mo ago
I'm cautiously optimistic that this is the beginning of a much needed correction toward sobriety with regards to AI investment. The macro effects of all the money going into AI are apocalyptic. Maybe we can take some deep breaths and move forward a little smarter if the hype fest slows down a tad. And if we're lucky, eventually be able to afford RAM again.
- cautiouscat 2mo agoI hope you’re right. It does seem like we’re finally coming down off the peak of the hype cycle. I use Claude Code daily, but man I am just tired of hearing about AI. I’m tired of holding off on backing up my home server because disks are so expensive. I’m tired of HN being 50% articles about AI.
- BLKNSLVR 2mo ago> holding off on backing up my home server because disks are so expensive I think there are so many people in this same situation, not just with disks (and RAM), but all of the components because of bottlenecks of upgrading one without others, that there's going to be this on-going surge in demand starting from corporate and then trickling through decreasingly sized businesses and then finally the consumer market and this could keep prices higher for longer than most people are expecting. I recently bought some second hand ex-terminal servers to run homelab stuff. I'd have preferred to get one big-ish thing to run it all, but it was more cost effective to get a handful of smaller, lower-spec devices since that's not what people are trying to get their hands on at the moment.
- greesil 2mo agoOr written by AI. Or commented on by AI.
- broodbucket 2mo agoI'd love a flag for "Show HN"s that indicate the author actually wrote it themselves so I can go back to being impressed by them
- cppluajs 2mo agoI think at this point writing like stream of consciousness / having imperfect grammar acts like a soft signal and I am inclined to pay it more attention.
- broodbucket 2mo agoI feel for those who genuinely liked using emdashes in their writing
- grey-area 2mo agoEm dashes are not the problem, nobody cares about their use. Shoddy and melodramatic writing that doesn’t even make sense is the problem.
- broodbucket 2mo agoThe point is that nowadays people will see anything with emdashes and assume it is slop even if it's hand written
- phil21 2mo agoCertainly has changed my writing style. Now I just vastly overuse commas in inappropriate ways!
- randusername 2mo agoI'm tired of friends, family, coworkers, and neighbors being revealed as soulless time-optimizing automatons. 2026 has been the year "you're not just X, you're Y" creeped into sermons and birthday cards. I want off this roller coaster.
- anon373839 2mo agoI'm tired of this too, but don't judge your friends too harshly. What I've learned is that many folks are copying slop because they feel insecure in their abilities. They think that the AI will do a better job than they can, not realizing that the human touch is what the recipient actually wants.
- RiverCrochet 2mo agoNo empathy. If you want to merely appear skilled instead of actually being skilled, and use false artifacts of skill to reap rewards, you deserve very harsh judgement.
- dmix 2mo ago> The macro effects of all the money going into AI are apocalyptic The doomer discourse around AI is about as overhyped as the investors are. It's two parties getting pumped up by social media who will be disappointed it's just some new higher economic tier rather than a quick boom or bust. It always takes twice as long for new markets to fully mature. Industries need to actually adapt technology before they see serious productivity gains (including coding). For now lots of businesses are haphazardly slapping AI on everything and early failures due to immaturity are being used to project long term negative outcomes. While chip and energy development will take even longer as unlike software it's full of the usual baggage of developing things IRL (long term high capital costs, local politics, regulatory compliance, supply chains, etc).
- broodbucket 2mo agoThe doomers aren't the one investing billions, so I think they're a slightly lower cause for concern than the ones significantly reshaping the economy.
- apercu 2mo agoTrillions in some cases.
- elliotec 2mo agoI'm mostly talking about incredibly environmentally destructive data centers and energy use on the current trajectory. Not even thinking about water problems, the gas and coal requirements alone are climate disasters. [1] [2] But if it is a bubble, which many would argue is the case, an AI capex bust with it's circular financing collapse is one of, if not THE top threat to global financial stability. ~$725B combined hyperscaler capex in 2026 against roughly $25B of AI service revenue in 2025 on $250B+ of infrastructure spend. Not exactly a promising situation. [3] [4] This is immediate-picture, I'm not talking about a singularity extinction event. Just what's actually happening right now and the trajectory of the next 4 years. [1] https://www.publicpower.org/periodical/article/electricity-demand-data-centers-worldwide-set-more-double-2030-iea https://www.publicpower.org/periodical/article/electricity-d... [2] https://www.iea.org/reports/energy-and-ai/energy-supply-for-ai https://www.iea.org/reports/energy-and-ai/energy-supply-for-... [3] https://www.tftc.io/bis-annual-report-2026-ai-bubble-circular-financing-sovereign-debt https://www.tftc.io/bis-annual-report-2026-ai-bubble-circula... [4] https://alcapitaladvisory.com/research/intelligence/ai-infrastructure.html https://alcapitaladvisory.com/research/intelligence/ai-infra...
- winfredJa 2mo agoslow down in investment will happen only when token usage plateaus, until then companies will keep pouring money into this fire pit
- cosmicgadget 2mo ago> move forward a little smarter Based on everything I've seen, this is an all-out sprint to whatever the goalpost is - superintelligence, AGI, singularity. Whoever is first will win, everyone else will lose. I don't know if it's true or not, but it seems to explain the current direction of tech and leads me to believe no CEO is going to allow his company to slow down.
- andix 2mo agoAt some point the "money people" are going to stop setting huge piles of money on fire. Big tech can finance a lot of AI investments themselves, but they can't keep up the current investments just by themselves, without compromising their non-AI business.
- indemnity 2mo agoI had to buy an SSD and some RAM to help my son build a PC. The SSD cost 30% more than I paid two years ago and was half the capacity (1TB). The RAM cost double what I paid two years ago, was slower, and was half the capacity (32GB).
- tehlike 2mo agoI bought 12 sticks of 64g lrdimm for about 400. Now each stick is likely over 240$