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"These models aim to replicate human reasoning and understanding of the physical world, a project LeCun has said could take a decade to mature." What an insane
by 1zael 10mo ago
"These models aim to replicate human reasoning and understanding of the physical world, a project LeCun has said could take a decade to mature."
What an insane time horizon to define success. I suppose he easily can raise enough capital for that kind of runway.
- lolive 10mo agoThat guy has survived the AI winter. He can wait 10 years for yet another breakthrough. [but the market can’t] https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/AI_winter https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/AI_winter
- DaSHacka 10mo agoWe're at most in an "AI Autumn" right now. The real Winter is yet to come.
- asadotzler 10mo agoWe have already been through winter.Ffor those of us old enough to remember, the OP was making a very clear statement.
- smartmic 10mo agoWinter is a cyclical concept, just like all the other seasons. It will be no different here; the pendulum swings back and forth. The unknown factor is the length of the cycle.
- lolive 10mo agoJava Spring. Google summer. AI autumn. Nuclear winter.
- rsynnott 10mo agoI assume they’re referring to the previous one.
- lolive 10mo agoI still have to understand why you think another AI winter is coming. Everyyyybody is using it, everybody is racing to invent the next big thing. What could go wrong? [apart from a market crash, more related to financial bubble than technical barriers]
- rsynnott 10mo ago> apart from a market crash, more related to financial bubble than technical barriers _That is what an AI winter is_. Like, if you look at the previous ones, it's a cycle of over-hype, over-promising, funding collapse after the ridiculous over-promising does not materialise. But the tech tends to hang around. Voice recognition did not change the world in the 90s, but neither did it entirely vanish once it was realised that there had been over-promising, say.
- lolive 10mo agoSo you imply the current LLMs are underperforming? Ummm, ok...
- KalMann 10mo agoThis seems like a strange comment to make since the above comment in no way suggests that we are currently in an AI winter.
- ahartmetz 10mo agoA pretty short time horizon for actual research. Interesting to see it combined with the SV/VC world, though.
- whizzter 10mo agoI suspect he sees a lot of scattered pieces of fundamental research outside of LLM's that he thinks could be integrated for a core within a year, the 10 years is to temper investors (that he can buy leeway for with his record) and fine tune and work out the kinks when actually integrating everything that might not have some obvious issues.
- siva7 10mo agoZuck is a business guy, understandable that this isn't going to fly with him
- jb1991 10mo ago10 years is nothing.
- snapcaster 10mo agoAre you some kind of timeless being? it's a meaningful fraction of a human life