woeirua

5 ms·

1.
by woeirua 22d ago
It'd be way better if the clusters showed the average price for all the stations underneath each cluster. Then you could get a sense of prices nationally immediately.
2.
by woeirua 26d ago
I thought ARC-AGI-3 was explicitly a test of raw model performance excluding the harness? Adding the harness back in doesn't tell us anything new. We've known that agents are capable of long horizon reasoning with sufficient harne
3.
by woeirua 1mo ago
Is there any scenario in which Github doesn't start yanking features out of the free tier to protect the core service for paying users?
4.
by woeirua 1mo ago
Not really. Grad students are already essentially working for free.
5.
by woeirua 2mo ago
This makes no sense. To believe this you have to think that the models are somehow being overfit explicitly on academic mathematics and it doesn’t carry over at all to more practical software engineering. I wouldn’t make that bet.
6.
by woeirua 2mo ago
No bud, it’s just the beginning!
7.
by woeirua 2mo ago
So… your model is 100% vibes based. Got it.
8.
by woeirua 2mo ago
Anthropic: "Look at how dangerous our models are!" Anthropic next week: "Why did you ban our models Mr Trump Daddy?"
9.
by woeirua 2mo ago
A lot of people are slowly realizing that code generation was not the bottleneck in their internal development process, and waving a magic wand to make that go faster doesn't actually lead to more revenue.
10.
by woeirua 2mo ago
This is also at the end of the tokenmaxxing era, so I'm not sure I would draw a straight line out from here. A LOT of companies are clamping down on token costs right now.
11.
by woeirua 2mo ago
A couple anecdotes: I noticed that were a lot of traditional, non-tech companies interviewing for AI engineers in the Feb/March timeframe that have halted hiring in those roles entirely. It seems that if those roles didn't close b
12.
by woeirua 2mo ago
I don’t get it. There’s no moat here. OpenRouter isn’t hard to rebuild.
13.
by woeirua 2mo ago
Yes, but the market prefers store bought bread despite the fact that homemade bread is: cheaper, tastes better, and nutritionally better. That's the exact point. Homemade bread should objectively win but it doesn't!
14.
by woeirua 2mo ago
Agents will make all of these migrations trivial. I expect margin collapse across a lot of tech darlings.
15.
by woeirua 2mo ago
There’s actually a strong case that agents will erode cloud providers’ margins because the lock in migration cost will be much lower in the future. No one ever migrated before because you’d spend $$$ to save $$ then the new vendor would gra
16.
by woeirua 2mo ago
So then your argument would be that we could see a bifurcation in the SP493 where those who adopt AI see increasing margins and those who do not have their margins crushed. What's funny is that in that scenario, the aggregate market mi
17.
by woeirua 2mo ago
I can't take these indexes seriously when Germany is about to outright ban an entire political party. The US takes the first amendment very seriously.
18.
by woeirua 2mo ago
Thatched roofs don't exist in CA.
19.
by woeirua 3mo ago
>Mythos level really doesn't seem that scary. This is not a serious comment. A model capable of chaining exploits together is capable of causing massive damage through cyber attacks.
20.
by woeirua 3mo ago
This assumes that AGI is not a winner takes all or winner takes most scenario. We just don't know that. If RSI actually happens, then it really could be winner takes all, and in that case being 6 months behind is the same as not even p
21.
by woeirua 3mo ago
How many people are going to call Jeffrey Kessler? lol.
22.
by woeirua 3mo ago
You are delusional if you think China is going to let Europe have access to Mythos level models for free.
23.
by woeirua 3mo ago
The choice of the name Sol is interesting for those Raised By Wolves fans out there… “Praise Sol!”
24.
by woeirua 3mo ago
I’m surprised Claude worked on this… in the not too distant past my attempts to build human-CAPTCHAs triggered safety refusals. What model did you use?
25.
by woeirua 3mo ago
That's fine, but there are a lot of used EVs that have more features in the low-mid 20s now. You really have to want an _EV_ truck.
26.
by woeirua 3mo ago
Slate was far more compelling when we still had the federal EV incentive. Now... you can get a far better equipped Ford Maverick hybrid just around $30k (maybe less with dealer discounts). Hard to see what the market is for the Slate.
27.
by woeirua 3mo ago
You can think that AI is a transformative technology and still come to the conclusion that the AI industry's economics don't pan out. I do think that we will eventually develop AGI. But I think the current scale up economics won&#
28.
by woeirua 3mo ago
Well... Elon showed with Twitter that there's probably a large number of companies out there that have had negative ROI on employees too for a long time. Most companies would be hard pressed to show concrete value from each marginal em
29.
by woeirua 3mo ago
This is all fine and dandy until a single line of code somewhere in the stack causes a production outage and management wants to know why it happened. Management won't accept you shrugging your shoulders and saying "the AI did it&
30.
by woeirua 3mo ago
It's not an affordability crisis, it's a financial crisis. The models get cheaper super fast. By this time next year Fable 5 will cost less than Sonnet does today. That's not the problem. The problem is that many companies ar

More ›