tristanm

6 ms·

1.
by tristanm 7y ago
If you start with a weak model that doesn't contain all the knowledge you have available, your anomalies will contain many irrelevant or already known things. If you start with a strong model representing the best current understanding
2.
by tristanm 7y ago
This is a good illustration of the core problem we have in "anomaly detection" in data science. Often we are presented with a challenge that if solved, would negate the presence of the challenge itself: We have to look for events
3.
by tristanm 7y ago
Two points I forgot to add: One, there seem to be a lot of people who commute via car / bart / caltrain from places in the south peninsula, san jose, or south-east bay (fremont area roughly). In these places, rent is lower than SF
4.
by tristanm 7y ago
There is one way that it would not solve the problem to build more housing. That way would be that most renters and homebuyers are basically irrational, or systematically overvaluing the location of their residence when better options exist
5.
by tristanm 7y ago
In the normal case of one innovation in the free market, there is a punctuated moment of growth followed by a plateau. The owners of the innovation get the biggest share of the rewards, but after the plateau the benefits become more distrib
6.
by tristanm 7y ago
You think so? I think if he thought hard takeoff was a real risk, he would be devoted to actually making their research "open", in the original sense of the word when Musk was in charge. According to the hard takeoff theory, it is
7.
by tristanm 7y ago
Yes. This is in the scenario where the benefits are widely distributed. But in that case the value of the entire planet goes up; You would not necessarily need to make an investment in OpenAI in order to reap benefits. Unless you think that
8.
by tristanm 7y ago
It's interesting that in order for his pitch to work (if you invest in OpenAI, you will get up to 100x returns), assuming they do build AGI, it still requires that their AGI acquires a very stable, virtually guaranteed advantage of lar
9.
by tristanm 9y ago
I think that bursts of technological progress follows more from the model of individualized intelligence, whereas continuous progress follows from the distributed, networked model of intelligence. A promoter of the distributed model of inte
10.
by tristanm 9y ago
The "hivemind" argument seems to predict that as society scales up (either through massive population growth or through faster and better interconnectedness, such as through the internet) that as a result we should be seeing muc