tmvphil

6 ms·

1.
by tmvphil 5d ago
Mens rea?
2.
by tmvphil 8d ago
What probability of beneficence would you want before kicking off RSI? I'd probably want more than 99%
3.
by tmvphil 8d ago
The optimistic outcome is the machines do the work and people can be freed from drudgery.
4.
by tmvphil 2mo ago
Cool, I like Keychron products, but can people really not even write a single tweet without using AI to speak for them now?
5.
by tmvphil 2mo ago
I appreciate the article, even though I disagree. The number of people who are absolutely certain of their position is just way too high. Anyway, I do think the heart of the practical question is what distinctions between machine / hum
6.
by tmvphil 2mo ago
Slowing down helps China catch up though. I'm also not sure that the CCP is really the most enthusiastic supporter of unlimited access to arbitrarily powerful LLMs
7.
by tmvphil 3mo ago
Wow, how I have I never heard of this, this seems like a way better model than mouseless
8.
by tmvphil 4mo ago
I have many objections. > if we confuse fluency at generating text with consciousness or moral agency, we’re at risk of assigning responsibility to entirely the wrong parties whenever anyone uses a chatbot Consciousness is independent of
9.
by tmvphil 4mo ago
A big 50% transfer of specific companies is probably too aggressive and arbitrary, but it's time to start thinking about how public ownership can work. Perhaps something like, "every year, companies over some size threshold must d
10.
by tmvphil 4mo ago
1/3 of food produced isn't eaten either.
11.
by tmvphil 4mo ago
I don't know where in my statement you saw the implication that we should not care about bad things happening to other humans, but it was a misapprehension.
12.
by tmvphil 4mo ago
It seems wild to me to write a (popular) article about consciousness in the year 2026 without addressing the elephant in the room: we are able to devise computer programs of increasing complexity that replicate more and more behaviors that
13.
by tmvphil 4mo ago
That's because the default is 99% the way the app is designed to be used. If the default is regulated, then they will just say "sorry the default is boring, click here to bring back the feed" and everyone will just click.
14.
by tmvphil 4mo ago
If the user selects "sort by algorithm" then I don't see how you've changed anything other than the default. I think it's pretty obvious just changing the default won't work.
15.
by tmvphil 4mo ago
LLM's are reducible to matrix multiplication in the same way that human cognition is reducible to physics. Reducibility does not imply understanding.
16.
by tmvphil 5mo ago
Yes yes the goal of life is to flourish and this metric doesn't measure flourishing directly so what's the point? And indeed is the fact that we talk about observable metrics rather than whatever else I had in mind not an indictme
17.
by tmvphil 5mo ago
I'm not super optimistic personally, but isn't the optimistic outcome obvious? If AGI takes over, solves robotics, (and doesn't kill us all,) then we could see the elimination of all human labor for the purposes of meeting ne
18.
by tmvphil 5mo ago
No, happiness increases linearly with log(money), well beyond basic necessities https://happiness-science.org/price-of-happiness/
19.
by tmvphil 5mo ago
Demanding that a bureaucracy promise to not fine you or pre-clear your behavior is just not how things are done in any other realm of business.
20.
by tmvphil 5mo ago
> To fully understand the difference between the embodied robot running an algorithm on a chip and the biological mapmaker, we need to remember that for the latter, subjective experience is a given, not because of abstract information pr
21.
by tmvphil 6mo ago
Have you considered that would do nothing to solve Donald Trump's political problem that he promised to make boomers feel like they were reliving their halcyon days one last time?
22.
by tmvphil 11mo ago
Zohran isn't proposing putting any new units under rent control (really rent stabilization), only temporarily halting raises to rents for existing stabilized units. This will make it harder for the city to attract new buildings to join
23.
by tmvphil 11mo ago
I'm optimistic that he will actually be a positive force in reforming how the city operates. I think he is pragmatic in that he understands that efficiency in government administration is something that progressives have insufficiently
24.
by tmvphil 11mo ago
I know this in the same way that even though I don't know the exact credence to assign the probability of particular bad effects from global warming, I can confidently say that an increase by a factor of 1000 of the CO2 emissions would
25.
by tmvphil 11mo ago
Tell me the nuance then. If people have concerns about Kessler syndrome at the starlink scale then why wouldn't something literally 1000x bigger be even more concerning.
26.
by tmvphil 11mo ago
See my edit. Just one starcloud would represent an increase in a risk factor of over 300 c.f. status quo. Then multiply that by the number of starclouds you think would be deployed.
27.
by tmvphil 11mo ago
Not sure what the slippery slope is here. The linked page imagines a 4km x 4km radiator/solar array. The cross-sectional area of the array is going to be directly proportional to the probability of impacting high velocity space debris.
28.
by tmvphil 11mo ago
How is a multiple square-kilometer radiator not just an inevitable Kessler syndrome disaster? Edit: Some back of the envelope calculation suggests that the total cross-sectional area of all man-made orbiting satellites is around 55000 m^2.
29.
by tmvphil 11mo ago
I simply do not care if advertisers form an accurate view of my desires and beliefs.
30.
by tmvphil 1y ago
I think for me personally, such a linear breakdown of the design process doesn't work. I might write down "I want to do X, which I think can be accomplished with design Y, which can be broken down into tasks A, B, and C" but

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