snaking0776

4 ms·

1.
by snaking0776 3d ago
Two things can be true. Open AI is a huge company. 1. It has people in it who are career obsessed and who are willing to ruthlessly go after any opportunity to improve their standing/stock valuation. Using a 2 week old model to snipe a
2.
by snaking0776 4d ago
Fair, I was going off memory and was wrong. I guess I was mostly just trying to get across that communication seems to be more powerful than we give it credit for, but should’ve double checked.
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by snaking0776 4d ago
Yes I think this level of pessimism doesn’t actually hold up to the history of the last 100 years as it relates to nuclear weapons, cloning, wars etc. In fact I think the history actually points to the fact that believing such deals were im
4.
by snaking0776 6d ago
I think both Seb and Sam have said that it would’ve been simpler if the coauthor hadn’t worked at Anthropic so they’ve largely admitted they didn’t invite the collaborator as a coauthor because it would’ve look bad to have an Anthropic empl
5.
by snaking0776 8d ago
Generally I don’t think anyone is arguing about the for now part. I don’t think it’s crazy to extrapolate out a few years and ask what kind of danger we’ll be in then. A team of 10,000 agents just solved the Navier Stokes problem (sans bad
6.
by snaking0776 27d ago
While it would be insane to get a PhD if you had to pay for it, at least in the US you are paid a stipend (if not a good one) so you can generally avoid any debt. There is definitely an opportunity cost though.
7.
by snaking0776 1mo ago
I hope this is sarcasm. I sometimes can’t tell here
8.
by snaking0776 1mo ago
I’m not so sure this is trivial and strongly depends on the biases of the agents that the group is composed of. It seems like some species of animals (humans, ants, wasps, etc) seem to select for intelligence in group settings more than ind
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by snaking0776 1mo ago
Depends on who you’re talking about. How does the cost benefit analysis work out for someone while lives within a mile of a datacenter, owns no shares in the company, and pays rate fees for their utilities and will have to pay for maintenan
10.
by snaking0776 1mo ago
While I’m sure there are people profiting off these movements, there is very real grassroots support for blocking datacenters and generally anything relating to AI and I can’t blame anyone other than the companies building it. I think in 30
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by snaking0776 1mo ago
https://www.statista.com/chart/35117/levelized-cost-of-energ... Not sure what you’re talking about here. We can’t replace all energy needs with solar but it’s clearly one of the cheapest energy sources and with th
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by snaking0776 2mo ago
I like that rule. I’ve also found that for most things that are risky enough to warrant a second opinion it will probably take long enough to get in that you can schedule it several months in advance and then use the intervening time to lea
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by snaking0776 2mo ago
Having dealt with the medical system recently, if there isn’t immediate harm involved with waiting, always advocate for yourself and consider a second opinion. The doctors will think you’re annoying and that you trust the internet too much
14.
by snaking0776 2mo ago
Plotting it this way is just a shift and rescaling. As the other commenter already showed this will lead to a plot that looks pretty much the same in terms of difference relative to the past data. I think standard deviation makes sense here
15.
by snaking0776 2mo ago
I’m not talking about the media release in the direct link. If you click through “Read the paper” they make the same comparisons.
16.
by snaking0776 2mo ago
This is cool but I don’t know if the comparisons to conscious awareness really make sense here. Their definition of the J-Space is basically the expectation of how much a final logits output would change as a result of a small change in a p
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by snaking0776 3mo ago
There’s debate over how much timing actually matters vs the rate of firing. Some people do believe in precise spike timing but I would say the general consensus is that spiking rate is a better measure of the current state of a system. Ther
18.
by snaking0776 3mo ago
I feel like we’re all just operating on vibes at this point (including the government). These models are already powerful and could probably be used to do some bad things even without the next gen. Anthropic has successfully made their vibe
19.
by snaking0776 3mo ago
Oh good point, sorry got the years mixed up in my head somehow.
20.
by snaking0776 3mo ago
It’s not suppressed though, it’s just that the current evidence points in one way and much less in the other. There are plenty of review papers you can read to see how people weigh the evidence which you can of course disagree with: https:
21.
by snaking0776 3mo ago
I think it’s less that it’s impossible but more that we don’t have any clue as to what causes differences among groups and many people use such measured differences as evidence for pretty deplorable ideas. There’s much more evidence for soc
22.
by snaking0776 3mo ago
I see. I wonder how this works out in terms of risk/reward. I suppose if you take extinction as -infinite cost than it would be the only issue worth thinking about. Where I think this line of thinking gets challenging is when you need
23.
by snaking0776 3mo ago
I wonder if our difference in view could be an instance of the jagged nature of AI’s intelligence. I do computational research in a basic science so write code or build models basically all day that is (occasionally) novel. I would say that
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by snaking0776 3mo ago
That’s interesting. I commented something about this elsewhere but to me part of the exponential argument that loses me though is that it can often seem like a way to distract from issues that already exist which we should be working to fix
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by snaking0776 3mo ago
I don’t really think it has to do with general denial in this case. I think he’s likely right in that pushback against datacenters is partially the release of angst over the threats which these models pose but in an indirect fashion since p
26.
by snaking0776 3mo ago
I know this is likely just for IPO hype but when I read things like this I sometimes wonder if I must be missing something. I use agents everyday and find them really useful and they save me a lot of headache. At the same time I find that i
27.
by snaking0776 3mo ago
I’m more referencing the narrative that climate change is being used as a political point to enforce a global political state which stifles innovation (for example read the Project 2025 document around page 417 https://static.her
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by snaking0776 4mo ago
This strikes me as one of the recent moves by our political/capital class where they think that if they just remove the information that’s inconvenient for them, people will stop caring and let them do what they want. You only need to
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by snaking0776 4mo ago
Agreed I usually use Gemini for explaining concepts and ChatGPT for getting things done on research projects.
30.
by snaking0776 4mo ago
I’m pretty skeptical that we’ll have actual convincing simulations of human brains any time soon. We’re still in the phase of trying to figure out how mice decide to turn left or right in a maze. Not to mention that the ethical/allowed

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