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shadowsun7
searching Neon…
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shadowsun7
2y ago
This comment is for HN readers who might be interested in solutions. My two questions (a) and (b) were not rhetorical. Let’s get concrete. a) You are advising a company to “check back after a certain period”. After the certain period, they
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shadowsun7
2y ago
If you are interested in these ideas, you should know that this essay kicks off a series of essays that culminates, a year later, with an examination of the Amazon-style Weekly Business Review: https://commoncog.com/becoming
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shadowsun7
2y ago
And how are you going to tell that when you have a) variation (that is, every metric wiggles wildly)? And also b) how are you able to tell if it has or hasn’t impacted other parts of your business if you do not have a method for uncovering
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shadowsun7
2y ago
I should note that this essay kicks off an entire series that eventually culminates in a detailed examination of the Amazon Weekly Business Review (which takes some time to get to because of a) an NDA, and b) it took some time to test it in
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shadowsun7
2y ago
This is accurate. https://xmrit.com/articles/gift-exceptional-variation/
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shadowsun7
3y ago
What would you say if I told you Bryar has lots of stories of this style of thinking applied in early Amazon? This is pre-AWS Amazon, mind you — where they were trying to figure out how to build e-commerce web software at scale, from scra
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shadowsun7
3y ago
To be fair to OP, Wheeler never claims that for stable/in-control/predictable processes roughly half of the measurements will lie above the average. The only claim he makes is that 97% of all data points for a stable process (assu
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shadowsun7
3y ago
So I've got a dumb question here: what happens when you use vanilla XmR charts with J-curve shaped or sub-exponential distributions? My current simplistic (and very dumb!) solution that I've used for power-law type distributions —
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shadowsun7
3y ago
A couple of quick notes, from someone who has actually put this to practice — and in a non-manufacturing context, to boot! (From a brief reading of this thread, it seems like kqr, jacques_chester, and I are the only ones who have put this t
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shadowsun7
3y ago
I believe you may enjoy this, which takes SPC methods and extrapolates from it an entire path to becoming data driven: https://commoncog.com/becoming-data-driven-first-principles/
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shadowsun7
3y ago
Author here. Previous time this was on the front page: https://news.ycombinator.com/item?id=30930985 As an update, I temporarily relocated to a different city and spent four months training Judo for five hours every day and
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shadowsun7
4y ago
Yes, rest assured the previous article talks about exactly this. (I mean, the title of this piece should give you a hint: “Pay attention to deviations from mainstream incentives” because the mainstream incentives in F&B are just so, so
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shadowsun7
4y ago
Discourse is one of the best pieces of software I've ever used — I self-host, and it's never given me any problems. There's built-in backups to S3, I can upgrade the software 80% of the time from a web interface (even on my p
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shadowsun7
4y ago
This is actually predicted by the COR developmental model presented in the article. The terminology might be a bit wonky, but the basic idea is that ‘loss’ produces a stress response. In other words, if you passionately pursue a project, on
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shadowsun7
4y ago
> In response, some folk back into the weak form of the argument. The weak form is what you get when you hear someone say “history doesn’t repeat itself, but it rhymes” — that is, perhaps the lessons of history are too specific to a part
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shadowsun7
4y ago
The problem is that Dr Ung walks back certain elements of his report, as is summarised in the final judgment: > the High Court found that the appellant had borderline intellectual functioning; not that he was suffering from mild intellec
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shadowsun7
4y ago
I'd actually urge you to look into the details of the case — Nagaenthran had two psychiatrists and a psychologist evaluate him on separate occasions, each of them certifying that he was of borderline intelligence, but not mentally il
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shadowsun7
4y ago
Author here. Quite the contrary, actually — I’ve read all the above sources. On top of that, with the exception of Chambliss (which is a landmark work, to be clear), and Dreyfus (which I prefer to look at adaptations of; Accelerated Experti
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shadowsun7
5y ago
I disagree with this assessment. (Or, more accurately, I’d like to see a more comprehensive counter argument). The article you link to is essentially a response to 2 pages in the book, where Hoffman et al mention, almost in passing, that CL
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shadowsun7
5y ago
Readers who are interested in the actionable aspects of this topic should probably read the last instalment in this series: https://commoncog.com/blog/accelerated-expertise/ The basic idea is this: 1. Deliberate p
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shadowsun7
5y ago
This is an interesting question! The answer is to hold conclusions loosely and test; always test. One way to pick who to pay attention to is ‘believability’ — meaning that you listen to those with at least 3 successes, and a coherent explan
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shadowsun7
5y ago
Ok, since I have to spell it out for you: I have not included any such theories because I have not found them useful. The links are to say something simple: my entire epistemology is pragmatic. That is, true knowledge should lead to effecti
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shadowsun7
5y ago
https://commoncog.com/blog/the-hierarchy-of-practical-eviden... I would ask the OP a simple question: what organisations have they built, and where are they now? Longer, but establishes the epistemology of the blog: h
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Accelerated Expertise
(commoncog.com)
2 points
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shadowsun7
5y ago
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shadowsun7
5y ago
I would recommend the series first — AE assumes familiarity with the recognition primed decision making model (or RPD) which I cover in the series. If you want to read books to prepare yourself, read: - Sources of Power by Gary Klein - Powe
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shadowsun7
5y ago
Pedagogy means 'methods of teaching'. Pedagogical development means that there is a some body of knowledge around how to teach the skills of the domain. For instance, in tennis, there is some understanding of how to teach serves,
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shadowsun7
5y ago
<3 I've actually been putting some of the CTA methods mentioned in the Oxford Handbook to practice! See: https://commoncog.com/blog/john-cutlers-product-expertise/ for one accounting; I'm currently tr
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shadowsun7
5y ago
Most of these techniques are co-developed in industry applications, and are seeping out from military research into business. In tech, John Allspaw has done a huge amount to take these training methods and skill-extraction techniques and ad
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shadowsun7
5y ago
I think you'll be surprised to learn that most applied expertise research in the years since DP was first discovered has focused on training methods that do not depend on mature pedagogical development, which DP does. This is the pri
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shadowsun7
5y ago
If you want alternatives to DP that work much better, it might be worth it to take a look at: 1. The Tacit Knowledge Series (which argues that methods from Naturalistic Decision Making are more useful when you are in a skill domain with no
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