scared_together

5 ms·

1.
by scared_together 3d ago
I agree that models are improving. But is the improvement truly exponential?? Are the improvements we have seen from September 2025 to September 2026 really as significant as the improvements from September 2024 to September 2025? I’m genui
2.
by scared_together 4d ago
The comment I was replying to was complaining about appealing to the masses, emotional arguments, and compromising on certain issues to get progress on other issues. If you view a regime as fascistic, you still need to be able to do all t
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by scared_together 5d ago
> It's a herding/shepherding game where the only people willing to play are compromised. This is how all politics is, and frankly the existential risk crowd needs to learn how to play the game instead of complaining about it.
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by scared_together 12d ago
The comparisons to anti-vax and flat earth are absurd. And what exactly is the benefit to you to having a data centre specifically in the area you live? Seems to me that far from “irrational hordes”, the protestors are standing up for t
5.
by scared_together 14d ago
If the causal analysis is the real value, then it could be presented without a prediction, or at least without a specific prediction. In 2024, if Ed Zitron presented all his analysis of AI companies without the specific “model capabilities
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by scared_together 14d ago
> Not sure how you constructed that specific sentence from my message. Fair enough, I didn’t. > most big decisions aren't that sensitive to small timing changes That makes sense for a single year at least.
7.
by scared_together 14d ago
The added value other than the stock market would be in making major life decisions. In the case of the 2008 crisis, specific knowledge of the timing could matter for buying or selling a house. In the case of technological predictions, spec
8.
by scared_together 14d ago
The post is titled “How accurate have Ed Zitron's AI skeptic predictions been?” not “How accurate will Ed Zitron’s AI skeptic predictions be in the future?” or “Is the entire AI industry build out justified?” If Patrick Boyle, Aswath
9.
by scared_together 14d ago
First of all thanks for actually replying with a full list. > Claiming it's a fail for being 1 second late is not a rational position and not at all in the spirit the predictions were made. I would keep to the level of precision the
10.
by scared_together 14d ago
They’ll never get better if not held accountable.
11.
by scared_together 15d ago
> The prediction was early, overestimated how long of a tail RIM would experience, but how wrong was it? Was the prediction of some utility? Wrong enough that the utility is seriously diminished. Predicting a specific quantity dropping t
12.
by scared_together 15d ago
You "asked"? Who (or more likely, what) did you ask? Dan Luu's analysis of Kurzweil is in this article: https://danluu.com/futurist-predictions/ In the "Appendix: detailed information on predictions
13.
by scared_together 15d ago
I can agree that the Gemini usage number is a marketing number NOT to be taken at face value. And so does Dan Luu, in the "Some reactions to Zitron" section of the article: > BTW, a funny thing about Gemini hitting 500M users b
14.
by scared_together 17d ago
Hey, thanks for taking the time to respond to feedback. I believe there is a societal problem here, not specific to your particular actions. The expectation that communications should be “cleaned up” and “professional” in the first place co
15.
by scared_together 18d ago
> AI is a tool. It outputs things only when asked to. This is not entirely accurate if we consider agentic loops. > Asking it requires skill. Considering the realm of writing a blog post instead of programming, what is the skill? I su
16.
by scared_together 1mo ago
I currently don’t use ad blockers. The only time I used ad blockers was when a previous employer specifically asked me to, when using a company machine. > Can't understand why they put up with it To see which (rare) sites don’t put
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by scared_together 1mo ago
It may be an artistic/engineering choice to demonstrate what minimizing bloat to an extreme degree looks like. https://danluu.com/web-bloat/
18.
by scared_together 1mo ago
Is Gruber actually against AI-built apps? He was against the unofficial Mac port of Notepad++ but that had many problems other than being AI-assisted.
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by scared_together 2mo ago
The essay is more concerned with the definition of “technology” than the definition of “science fiction”. It merely points out that distinguishing between hard and soft sci-fi by the presence of technology is folly, since even Bronze Age te
20.
by scared_together 2mo ago
Have you read the article? > For years now, the testers at DoesItPlay have been documenting this trend, testing thousands of physical game releases to see which ones live up to the promise of full “plug and play” functionality without an
21.
by scared_together 2mo ago
> That’s how we train Pangram: for every element of our dataset of commercially licensed human-written texts, we generate an AI double that is as close as possible to its source. The doubles are the same length, same tone, same topic, bu
22.
by scared_together 2mo ago
> I think part of the answer is that AI chat doesn't need to be general-purpose. It turned out that people really liked using a chat UI that seems to be general purpose, but you don't need to make answering any question a user
23.
by scared_together 2mo ago
It’s the “decoy text” intended to trick LLMs, from the arricle: > The decoy message serves as a final trick for a determined agent. When looking for a hidden message, it might first find the decoy message and think that that is the real
24.
by scared_together 2mo ago
The article mentions bronze production (thus indirectly mentioning copper and tin) not as a root cause, but rather a factor that spread the crisis from one region to another: > What is clear is that once the collapse started, it was cont
25.
by scared_together 2mo ago
> my kids love using this fantastic learning tool > The friendly interaction between the Ello character and my kids gives them a fun motivation > AI drives a love for reading I cannot trust someone to assess a love for reading, if
26.
by scared_together 2mo ago
> I design my code so that I always know which number will be larger than the other. That’s good discipline, but with better tooling and languages such conditions could be enforced by the compiler such as with Dafny. But Dafny is overkil
27.
by scared_together 2mo ago
There was a related article from the other side of the debate a while back: https://news.ycombinator.com/item?id=47989154 It’s pretty sad that after all these years, dealing with fixed size integers is still so complicated.
28.
by scared_together 2mo ago
> Eventually someone important enough will force digital resales to become reality Honest question: why? Why would anyone important enough to hold that power actually use it to force resales to exist? Who actually has the incentives to m
29.
by scared_together 2mo ago
The problem of false advertising is resolved but the problem of consumer freedom remains. If all digital marketplaces for a particular art only offer rents, without any option to buy or any physical media to serve as an alternative, tha
30.
by scared_together 3mo ago
You could use separate tools for those tasks. JIRA/Bugzilla/etc. for issue tracking, Sublime Merge or equivalent for comparing a dev branch to a main branch, and CI/CD with Azure Pipelines or whatever the “modern” equivalent

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