rybosworld

8 ms·

1.
by rybosworld 5d ago
SEO is not nearly as effective as it used to be. Organic click through rates have been trending way down since AI responses were added to the top of the search results. So this really isn't just a case of "you're holding it w
2.
by rybosworld 5d ago
I've suspected that google has been turning a blind eye to ad fraud for a few years now. In the early-mid 2010's, ad fraud wasn't nearly as common. And it's absolutely not the case that google can't detect ad fraud
3.
by rybosworld 8d ago
In chess, a grandmaster just needs to know at what moment in a game there's a critical move to gain a significant advantage over their opponent. They don't need to know the move itself. OpenAI got wind that a millenium problem was
4.
by rybosworld 15d ago
Instead of a new model that's going to have unreasonably shallow usage limits, I wish they would: 1) address the claude 20x plan usage being only 6-7x the ceiling of the claude pro plan 2) either fix opus 5, make it completely free, or
5.
by rybosworld 16d ago
Thanks for sharing I was not aware of this. This means 2 $100 plans provides more usage than 1 $200 plan. Very misleading.
6.
by rybosworld 24d ago
I've used all three extensively. Most of the benchmarks have exceeded their usefulness. Opus 5 beats fable 5 on many of them. Anyone who has used both models will notice immediately that this doesn't translate to the real world. O
7.
by rybosworld 1mo ago
> Why should they? Because utilities are regulated monopolies that exist to benefit society. The companies building data-centers are well aware that the system isn't setup to handle a customer that suddenly doubles or triples the el
8.
by rybosworld 1mo ago
Appreciate the links but I think we can both agree that there is no evidence that will come close to supporting "the entire left wing of politics" predicted the mortgage crisis
9.
by rybosworld 1mo ago
> The entire left wing of the political spectrum saw this coming Feel free to cite at least one reputable source.
10.
by rybosworld 1mo ago
I was too - and to be frank: it's dishonestly revisionist to say this was a topic in the public eye. There's a very good reason a book (and movie) like The Big Short was such a big hit. It's because it was about the handful o
11.
by rybosworld 1mo ago
That's the great recession
12.
by rybosworld 1mo ago
Right - my point is that if everyone is talking about it, then it isn't a bubble that's waiting to be popped. Anecdotally, I have family who don't follow the stock market at all and are talking about the "AI Bubble"
13.
by rybosworld 1mo ago
You have any examples? Because all of the biggest and most famous crashes were events that only a very small minority of people ever saw coming. Tulips, 1929, Dotcom, Great Recession, 2010's Flash Crash - none of these were in the publ
14.
by rybosworld 1mo ago
Right - black swans are by definition things that the majority didn't see coming. Ever since the 2008 housing crisis, people have been predicting the next bubble-burst/black-swan event. The one that really crushed the markets was
15.
by rybosworld 2mo ago
Agentic coding only became reasonably decent this past December. Even in tech, most organizations that have adopted the tools are still trying to understand how capable they are and how to use them. Point is it's too early to declare w
16.
by rybosworld 2mo ago
I'm honestly not trying to spark a political conversation - but the target user base is far-right
17.
by rybosworld 2mo ago
Hard to have sympathy for someone that chose to use Grok. The entire XAI team has been gutted and replaced how many times now?
18.
by rybosworld 2mo ago
One thing I can't square: if the cost to build an application goes to zero, we should see a proliferation of apps, especially from the AI labs. The fact that we aren't seeing an app explosion (I think) is evidence that building ap
19.
by rybosworld 2mo ago
A bit of a tangent but I'm surprised with how many layoffs tech has had the last few years, we aren't seeing the laid off folks form new companies.
20.
by rybosworld 2mo ago
That messaging is for investors. To a dev's ears, it's a meaningless thing to say. It reminds me when Elon took over twitter and made a comment to the effect of "we need to rethink the entire tech stack from the ground up&quo
21.
by rybosworld 2mo ago
Completely agree. The job isn't to write code. The job isn't to architect. Those are means to an end. Anecdotally: it seems like the most principled developers are having the most trouble adapting to agentic workflows.
22.
by rybosworld 3mo ago
I believed that $10-30 billion/year TAM figure is sourced from this research report: https://www.precedenceresearch.com/large-language-model-mark... The TAM figure they arrive at is ~$36 billion by 2030. And for 2026 t
23.
by rybosworld 3mo ago
I'm convinced that even if/when ASI is achieved we will still have mediocre engineers writing blog posts about how they have uncovered the secrets to using these tools "effectively".
24.
by rybosworld 3mo ago
> An optimistic view is that the jobs displaced by AI will be like the jobs displaced by industrialization: while fewer people will be needed to do the task, there will be more demand for the task over time, opening up new jobs with diff
25.
by rybosworld 3mo ago
Everyone processes the transition to the post-AI development world differently and on their own timeline. You just seem to be a late bloomer.
26.
by rybosworld 3mo ago
I think it's likely that what you call slop is more often than not "good enough". One thing a lot of developers aim for in their code, beyond "it does what it is meant to", is something along the lines of elegance (
27.
by rybosworld 3mo ago
Regardless, what they say here is genuinely true and it's worth knowing things like "police are allowed to lie to you". Some people find that sort of thing surprising.
28.
by rybosworld 3mo ago
One thing I'd like to pick at: > And so you're able to pay people extremely generously to help maintain the thing. This is optional, and requires the owner to be generous. It is more common for people to not be paid generously.
29.
by rybosworld 3mo ago
> Surely for these companies, if the founders get to several million or tens of million in revenue without hiring any more people, those people have successfully become millionaires and we can credit them as such, right? Or do you simply
30.
by rybosworld 3mo ago
I read this and see two possibilities. 1) PG honestly believes that his audience is unfamiliar with compound growth - i.e., an insult to the audience's intelligence. Or 2) PG honestly believes that the founder of a successful startup

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