pgodzin

6 ms·

1.
by pgodzin 5mo ago
Are you sure you're not the one seeing the survivorship bias? Something that is 10% likely to happen ends up switching to the opposite outcome at the very end 1/10 times. There are thousands of prediction markets up at any given t
2.
by pgodzin 8mo ago
Vimeo's stock lost 90% of value after its IPO. Plenty of investors and businessmen paid the price.
3.
by pgodzin 8mo ago
There are much better ways to tell if a prediction market is well calibrated than a single anecdote. And if it works so poorly, there's a lot of easy money to be made.
4.
by pgodzin 11mo ago
last I checked the Figma MCP is read-only -- "look at this figma design and implement it"
5.
by pgodzin 2y ago
> The fact is the federal government seems to grow and spend without any limit or regard to logic. It doesn't -feel- like much has ever been done to address it. In terms of "growth", the number of federal civilian governme
6.
by pgodzin 2y ago
15% increase in productivity and increasing is extremely worth the hype, that's massive
7.
by pgodzin 2y ago
Also a good interview in Bloomberg: https://www.bloomberg.com/features/2025-sam-altman-interview
8.
by pgodzin 2y ago
The author is certainly doing his part fighting against capital (letters)
9.
by pgodzin 2y ago
sure, just wanted to point that out since someone who didn't read the article could have easily assumed that was an annual number, as in the US we are used to 2ish percent annual inflation being the target.
10.
by pgodzin 2y ago
Just to be clear, that's monthly inflation, not annual. Annual is still 193%
11.
by pgodzin 2y ago
Is it not possible for "proper" management, rather than mismanagement, to result in downsizing a bloated org that over-hired, or lowering compensation in an employee-friendly hiring environment where a bunch of senior employees wh
12.
by pgodzin 2y ago
https://transitcosts.com/
13.
by pgodzin 2y ago
Here's the one that some crypto folks were harking on earlier as the "true" inflation rate: https://truflation.com/dashboard Spoiler: 2.26%
14.
by pgodzin 2y ago
Compare the reaction to Bob Lee's death from someone who was murdered by someone he knew vs the lack of reaction to the most likely way any of us are killed. Traffic violence has become completely normalized, just the cost of doing bus
15.
by pgodzin 2y ago
The buses will be more reliable when they aren't stuck in traffic caused by congestion.
16.
by pgodzin 2y ago
Tire wear also contributes the most to PM2.5 pollution, and EVs are heavier and produce more wear
17.
by pgodzin 3y ago
What's being punished is the fraud, not the losses. We do not want to incentivize companies putting it all on red with customer funds they don't have a right to touch as long as they win the bet, we want to punish them for even tr
18.
The New Miko Mini(miko.ai)
1 points by pgodzin 3y ago|0 comments
19.
by pgodzin 3y ago
Hochul was trying to negotiate an amendment to the bill to limit it to people making under $250k, but the reason it died is because they couldn't agree on the language of what's included (bonuses, equity, etc)
20.
by pgodzin 3y ago
This is so dysfunctional. Does the other half of the company quit now? How can this board remain in place, but who can replace them?
21.
by pgodzin 3y ago
But what percentage of employees, even in unskilled jobs, are being paid minimum wage in each of those locations? The floor may be misleading.
22.
by pgodzin 3y ago
The valuable service is allowing the sale of merch within the venue, the table is free.
23.
by pgodzin 3y ago
Yes, it would make sure that development tanks across the US, just like you want it to happen in Hawaii.
24.
by pgodzin 3y ago
Should the FDA be immune from suits for the invisible graveyard of people who would otherwise be saved by drugs that take years longer than they should to get to market if at all?
25.
by pgodzin 3y ago
If we introduced regular cars for the first time in this political environment, we'd never allow them on the roads. Our existing cars on the road severely impede emergency vehicles, through regular stand-still traffic, double-parking w
26.
by pgodzin 3y ago
No one is saying the current level of government waste is optimal and not worth the cost to eliminate. Just that if you have eliminated 99%, the extra 1% may not be worth it.
27.
by pgodzin 3y ago
The alternative is likely not being able to work with the business at all due to their risk profile and chargeback rates.
28.
by pgodzin 3y ago
Part of the narrative was how they would all have guns too. It ignored the fact that most of those employees were actually customer service representatives, and you can see this year the huge increase in number of tax filers who were able t
29.
by pgodzin 3y ago
same time frame, their fiscal years just start at different times, so one's Q1 is the other's Q3
30.
by pgodzin 3y ago
That's a 25% annual rate of return, where can I find that with my 100k?

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