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peakok
searching Neon…
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1.
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by
peakok
18y ago
There is a hypocrisy in libertarianism à la Mises. When you read his hyper-logical texts (wich should be appealing to the HN crowd btw), he claims that we should remove any sort of ideology from our political and economical systems. Reason
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by
peakok
18y ago
I'm sorry if I sounded offensive, and I indeed was, I was tired when I wrote my last comment and my words didn't reflect my tought. I'd like to elucidate this problem once and for all, I really do believe we can both agree on a conclusion.
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by
peakok
18y ago
"Somebody is wrong on the internet". I'm wasting my time and this is my last answer. If you haven't noticed, I only use strict mathematical arguments and I invite you to do the same if you intend to answer. Pure and clear maths please, no l
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by
peakok
18y ago
This is the reason I'm buying the less possible games from Steam, because I know Valve could be bought buy Google or EA some day, and you have no control over it . You have absolutely no guarantee that the service you are using will be the
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by
peakok
18y ago
If you include m and f in the universe of possibilities, then you must add the following combinations as well : 7) m/f 8) f/m You are not allowed to skip arbitrarily some of the combinations of your universe (wich is now [M, F, m, f]). Prob
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by
peakok
18y ago
Basically you're right, and Paul is right too. This is just a matter of convention, it depends on what you want to hear in the question. If Jeff said "one of the children is a girl", but added " but we don't know wich one of the two is ", t
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by
peakok
18y ago
Ok this thread is confusing. Actually, your second algorithm wasn't the point of my argument. You're right that according to your second formulation, the probability is 1/2, of course. My point is that there is nothing wrong with Jeff's que
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by
peakok
18y ago
I'm willing to bet $5 that the probability (according to the current statistical science corpus) is still 2/3 (even if you're right that announcing the child doesn't alter the sex of the other). See my comment in the main thread.
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by
peakok
18y ago
This is precisely the first subtility you encounter when you learn probabilities : they are not identical. Paul is right that the formulation of the question doesn't refer to the Monty Hall problem at all, this isn't the same algorithm. But
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by
peakok
18y ago
You are right about the question ("Announcing the gender of one child does not magically alter the gender of the other child"), but wrong about the statistics, even in your second formulation the probability is 2/3, not 1/2. This problem, t
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by
peakok
18y ago
I'm French and I know Todd, the title sounds correct to me. Todd predicted the collapse of USSR (when it was a minority position among intellectuals), and it has been several years he is "predicting" the collapse of the U.S (way before the
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by
peakok
18y ago
I don't know why you're being downvoted. It's cool for the guy, but I found the speeches of Obama completely dull as well. Maybe the talent resides in writing speeches that will offend absoluetly nobody while masking the fact that they tell
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by
peakok
18y ago
I might be downmodded to hell with this message, but whatever... I feel about the same. Do you have some sort of nobility in your ancestorship (or in the army) ? I noted that this feeling would be more frequent among descendants of aristocr
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by
peakok
18y ago
I'm French and I enjoyed the article. This Loic LeMeur guy has always been a self-proclaimed ambassador of whatever he wants, but he's just blow hard. He needs the bad press so he'll disappear sooner (I hope so). And you're right about the
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by
peakok
18y ago
A = You have a good sperm B = You are intelligent In logic, the argument translates to : A <=> B ( quality of sperm depends on your intelligence ), B <=> A ( and vice versa, intelligence depends on your quality of sperm ) &#
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by
peakok
18y ago
The quality of a man’s sperm depends on how intelligent he is, and vice versa It is unfortunate that an article talking about intelligence starts with a tautology.
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by
peakok
18y ago
yes.
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by
peakok
18y ago
Interesting, but definitly not surprising. When I was younger I found a way to hack a poorly designed online quizz, tied to a very famous french radio quizz. It was pay per play, with a 1000 euros weekly winner (400 euros for the second, 10
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by
peakok
18y ago
So true. Even with the best spam filter in the world, I'll always have to check for false-positive. We need something else...
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by
peakok
18y ago
What is the adsense of life ?
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by
peakok
18y ago
Is it just me, or his response to criticism on the Wikipedia page is not reassuring at all, to say the least ?
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by
peakok
18y ago
You give too much power to politics. I think that the dramatic increase of productivity and the creation of much more wealth in the post-industrial society is the main factor in the emergence of the "adolescent". Suddenly families didn't sp
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by
peakok
18y ago
It is naive to assume that "adolescence" was a concept invented out of the blue, then deliberately experimented by some politics, it never works this way. The opposite is true : at some point we needed a word to describe a change in socie
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by
peakok
18y ago
This is so Red Alert :) http://gaming.wikia.com/wiki/China_Infantry_ (Command_&_Conquer:_Generals)#Hacker
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by
peakok
18y ago
This is an analysis you won't find outside of the U.S. Typically, the car industry is known for having strong union labors in a lot of other countries (especially in Europe), and while auto makers are always in trouble during recessions, no
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by
peakok
18y ago
As a european, I see at least one action that makes McCain quite open minded. When the US Army decided that Airbus won the contract against Boeing, Obama took a protectionist stand and voted for the cancelation of it, while McCain said that
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by
peakok
18y ago
1 million users. Profitable.
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by
peakok
18y ago
Wow, what an exciting field to be in. It is definitly one of the big thing of the future.
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by
peakok
18y ago
Japanese executives often have desintoxication "cures" when they come back from Europe or the US, so that they don't become addicted to "the good life". The culture of work is insane over there. Calling them a "slacker" nation is a misunder
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by
peakok
18y ago
the center is claiming the footage isn’t faked, and that it’s the best evidence yet that we are not alone in the universe. Ok, let's think "outside of the box" for a moment : we wouldn't expect a different behavior from time travelers as
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