obblekk

5 ms·

1.
by obblekk 2mo ago
Maybe the most unambiguous "ai will automate work" example I've seen yet. Absolutely does not imply the workers are automated since they can now use the current models to do more complex tasks at the vast number of new AI tra
2.
by obblekk 7mo ago
Maybe I’m an outlier but I’d rather this than accidentally block legit sites. Otherwise this becomes just another tool for Google to wall in the subset of the internet they like.
3.
by obblekk 7mo ago
This is the first time in recent memory that software has had high variable costs so the surprise at these rules is understandable. In this case, a the difference in context cache hit rate between openclaw and antigravity. For example if op
4.
by obblekk 8mo ago
One big reason supersonic can be economic now is the increase in wealth in Asia since the 80s. Transpacific flights from California have no sonic boom population issues for 90% of the flight, and there’s already a large market of people spe
5.
by obblekk 10mo ago
I see 25-29% here https://www.swebench.com/viewer.html for models released in Nov 2024 albeit not verified. gpt4o (Aug 2024) was 33% for swe bench verified. Important point because people have a bias to underestimate the sp
6.
by obblekk 10mo ago
80% on swebench verified is incredible. a year ago the best model was at ~30%. i wonder if we'll soon have a convincingly superhuman coding capability (even in a narrow field like kernel optimization). this is the most interesting time
7.
by obblekk 1y ago
1yr timeline is ambitious if it means fully deployed. Clearly the right thing for Sweden and others to do. Also worrying that even 3yrs into the Russian invasion, bordering countries are urgently increasing their preparedness for future con
8.
by obblekk 1y ago
This is awesome. Coolest hacker demo I've seen in a while.
9.
by obblekk 1y ago
These critiques of zirp never explain what should have been done differently. It's very unlikely the Fed kept rates too low because inflation didn't exceed 2% for 12 years from 2008 to 2021. If the Fed had actually made money &quo
10.
by obblekk 1y ago
Have people been dropping cursor usage for Claude code? I have dropped to using cursor as just an ide with auto complete. Curious if others are doing this too.
11.
by obblekk 1y ago
In the abstract it discusses that most of the effect (16deg Celsius) is from reduced radiative heating and only a few degrees from evaporation. Mostly the benefit is instead of having the concrete under you absorb and emit the sun, the leav
12.
by obblekk 1y ago
A lot of normal consumers pay $20 a month for ChatGPT. I think most software gets bid down in price bc the marginal costs are zero. Where it’s not (llm token generation) prices don’t plummet and consumers build a different expectation.
13.
by obblekk 1y ago
this might be a good thing if viewed from the opposite perspective: people with kids/elderly parents usually can't afford to pay as much per person as people traveling alone for fun/corporate travel.
14.
by obblekk 1y ago
This is incredibly well written. The oil example is very compelling for import substitution. And the covid example is interesting in showing the savings rate only went up as an offset of gov spending. I'd love to see a follow up on (a)
15.
by obblekk 1y ago
> Having access to goods and service is what gives you a better living standard I think the good faith critique is access to imports can be taken away by the other country if they want. eg. rare earth metals. So being too heavily relia
16.
by obblekk 2y ago
The open source ranking library is really interesting. It's using a type of merge sort where the comparator function is an llm comparing (but doing batches >2 for fewer calls). Reducing problems to document ranking is effectively a
17.
by obblekk 2y ago
> Texas is the only state in the lower 48 that has no major connections to neighboring power grids. That means growing energy demand in Texas must be met by new power generation in Texas. > "Texas didn't [build solar farm
18.
by obblekk 2y ago
There should be a high sales tax on all advertising. It's the perfect thing to tax: - Luxury product companies advertise the most (utilities rarely do). The tax will decrease consumption of the most economically "unnecessary"
19.
by obblekk 2y ago
I hope someone reruns this on o1 and eventually o3. If o1-preview was the start like gpt1, then we should expect generalization to increase quickly.
20.
by obblekk 2y ago
Human performance is 85% [1]. o3 high gets 87.5%. This means we have an algorithm to get to human level performance on this task. If you think this task is an eval of general reasoning ability, we have an algorithm for that now. There'
21.
by obblekk 2y ago
The votes are strong majorities of both houses - great to see a functional democratic government act on such an important issue. They specifically don’t prescribe any particular age verification methods. This would be a great time to follow
22.
by obblekk 2y ago
Possibly at that price there’s not enough demand. Put another way, it’s possible there’s no price that covers the cost of maintenance per charge and attracts enough people to get enough charges.
23.
by obblekk 2y ago
Worth noting this model has 50% more parameters than llama3. There are performance gains but some of the gains might be from using more compute rather than performance per unit compute.
24.
by obblekk 3y ago
Very impressive if the benchmarks replicate. Some questions: * token cost? In multiples of Gemini pro 1 * memory usage? Does already scarce gpu memory become even more of a bottleneck? * video resolution? Sherlock Jr (1924) is their test vi
25.
by obblekk 3y ago
This might be true but paradoxically, there hasn’t been an observed frequency or intensity of Florida hurricanes in last 100 years [1]. Florida is worth looking at because they were industrialized and have had relatively robust meteorologic
26.
by obblekk 3y ago
This is super cool. I've often wondered why google scholar didn't use pagerank over the citations... and now you've done it! Props!
27.
by obblekk 3y ago
Tesla software has such a large surface area to attack compared to traditional OEMs where most subsystems are effectively air gapped. It’s their advantage when it comes to coordinated user experience, but might become a problem as the fleet
28.
by obblekk 3y ago
I agree with the sentiment more than the solution. In the American system, the gov should assess punitive fines for regulatory failures, revoke self regulation privileges, and impose consent decrees on company behaviors. The combined impact
29.
by obblekk 3y ago
Places with the saltwater don't want to build large pipelines to send it to places without. The places without are so dry they cannot drill, condense or truck in salt water, even though they have plenty of solar. That's a coordina
30.
by obblekk 3y ago
There should definitely be a plan for the brine. I'm optimistic we could: * Build ocean pipelines that disperse brine over much larger volumes of water to minimize impact on wildlife * Dump the brine water in engineered desert fields w

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