nwiswell

7 ms·

1.
by nwiswell 2mo ago
Here's my thinking: Cloud: - You cannot directly execute a remotely-hosted program. - You cannot run inference on an API-served model. --- Closed-source: - You can execute a program with the binary. You cannot generate a new binary, bu
2.
by nwiswell 2mo ago
You can make parallel arguments for binary executables.
3.
by nwiswell 2mo ago
I associate that phrase with Dr. Henry Killinger https://youtu.be/9FUik3QotBQ?si=27AcY47wLNov0Vzw
4.
by nwiswell 2y ago
I believe this is due to a surge in imports in response to looming tariffs - supply chains are trying to stockpile before they hit. I am skeptical that this stockpiling is significantly displacing real investment. The way that the figures a
5.
by nwiswell 2y ago
> Anyone who can pay this, can run private tests and compare scores. Yes, by uploading the tests to a server controlled by OpenAI/Anthropic/etc
6.
by nwiswell 2y ago
Companies with actual profits can, and do, simply buy back their own stock. Inflating market expectation of future cashflows is not the only way to realize asset appreciation.
7.
by nwiswell 2y ago
> i'm the one who set the password You, personally, set the password to a public internet-facing database to 'abc123'? And if you really did, how much do you estimate that increased your 'velocity'?
8.
by nwiswell 2y ago
> the comment I was replying to only mentioned as a benefit that Mars could be a second home The first and second sentences of that comment literally say > A Mars mission would benefit humanity, but less directly. The past lunar missi
9.
by nwiswell 2y ago
No, he clearly said that a "second home for humanity" is of dubious (but potentially nonzero) value. Rather, the main benefit would lie in the technological advances made in order to enable such a Mars mission in the first place (
10.
by nwiswell 2y ago
As of 1/1/2025 the residential average rate paid for the municipal utility of Santa Clara, CA is $0.175/kWh vs a residential average of $0.425/kWh for PG&E https://www.siliconvalleypower.com/residents
11.
by nwiswell 2y ago
If you come into contact with a harvester, it should be clear that it's a harvester, correct. If you come into contact with a dough mixer, it should be clear that it's a dough mixer. But if you come into a contact with a book, I i
12.
by nwiswell 2y ago
No, in other words, states and local governments are also bound by the Constitution in many of the the same ways that the federal government is. The major difference is the Tenth Amendment, which sets the states apart by specifying that any
13.
by nwiswell 2y ago
> * Having written all that, I will add that "government" above means the US Federal government, not all the other ones. State, local, have a lot of latitude to make whatever laws they want, unless a federal law specifically pr
14.
by nwiswell 2y ago
> A single house is exposed on five sides. Six. The most heat escapes through the roof, but thermal loss through the floor is generally about 10-15% of the total.
15.
by nwiswell 2y ago
> It’s too late. It was too late 18 months ago. Nvidia is over 30x bigger. Qualcomm is 2x, AMD is 2x. AMD came back from odds much longer than this. At its nadir, AMD's market cap was about a billion. A billion! Jensen's jacket
16.
by nwiswell 2y ago
Because it drives inequality. We're proposing a policy that explicitly benefits large owners of capital over small ones. Inequality is a natural outcome of capitalism, and critically it will get worse without limit unless there is sign
17.
by nwiswell 2y ago
My argument is 1) that something that takes in 500m in its useful lifetime should not be subject to a lower tax rate than something that takes in only 100k in its useful lifetime (in fact it should be subject to a higher tax rate, in line w
18.
by nwiswell 2y ago
Small owners of IP get to enjoy less value from their creations due to weaker IP protections. That's backward. Moreover the amount of tax paid as a fraction of total value realized is actually lower for the large owner of IP because th
19.
by nwiswell 2y ago
This clearly benefits wealthy owners of IP (disney, movie studios, game publishers, etc) over small-time artists (self-published authors, small bands, etc) since the period of time that IP protection remains an economic choice is strongly t
20.
by nwiswell 2y ago
> It realistically affects practically nobody alive Do people in the Global South not use GPS or consume weather forecasts?
21.
by nwiswell 2y ago
> A coding standard that assumes a 10 point font size would violate the Americans with Disabilities Act's 'reasonable accommodation' mandate. Would it? You can still set the size to 18, you just might have to scroll or lin
22.
by nwiswell 2y ago
Once physical hardware is involved, the problem gets a lot more complicated. If you're talking about $2M worth of 4090s you have to concern yourself not only with putting them in hosts, but also with adequate space, power distribution,
23.
by nwiswell 2y ago
While I'm sympathetic to democratizing access to simple fabrication technology, I have serious misgivings about hobbyists getting involved. There's the obvious stuff: you can't avoid HF, and it's nasty stuff. You can die
24.
by nwiswell 2y ago
Glass has a tensile strength more than an order of magnitude below mono-Si. The elastic modulus for soda-lime is within a factor of 2, but that's not usually what is meant by "strength", rather "stiffness". You&#x27
25.
by nwiswell 2y ago
> out of something that normally doesn't move (polycrystalline silicon) More commonly, bulk micromachined MEMS devices are monocrystalline. > and is very fragile at that Normalizing for density, monocrystalline silicon is stronge
26.
by nwiswell 2y ago
> if they don't make the numbers make sense soon then I don't see things ending well for OpenAI. This is pretty much obvious just from the valuations. The wild bull case where they invent a revolutionary superintelligence woul
27.
by nwiswell 2y ago
> Inside the battery is perhaps the best hidden, but you'd need to own a bunch of battery manufacturing facilities (expensive). Do you? What stops you from just taking a smaller battery and packing it with some plastic explosive int
28.
by nwiswell 2y ago
I don't doubt you meant well, but that's a lot to infer from a couple of sentences. I think what the parent meant to imply is that this seems like the classic case of "when all you have is a hammer, everything looks like a na
29.
by nwiswell 2y ago
Oh, that's super. I've been really impressed recently with the wisdom of our collective selections.
30.
by nwiswell 2y ago
This didn't sound right, so I did the math. The volume of all water is 1,386,000,000 km^3, which is then 1.386e+21 liters, or right about the same number of kilograms. The mass of Earth is about 5.972e+24 kg. So the percent fraction by

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