nullbio

5 ms·

1.
by nullbio 3d ago
I'm sure it has nothing to do with their $500,000+ salaries and millions of dollars in equity. It's all solely because they're deeply concerned about next token prediction.
2.
by nullbio 3d ago
Joe Benton left Anthropic a day before Dario's post, to work for METR evaluations. He was with Anthropic for over a year. He did the same thing that Jacob did (big song and dance about AI apocalypse, media interviews all over the place
3.
by nullbio 3d ago
After DeepSeek v4.1 Flash too.
4.
by nullbio 4d ago
Great point.
5.
by nullbio 4d ago
> Right, so human data creation would also have to scale up exponentially, and that's not gonna happen. It doesn't need to. We're not even close to exhausting the useful synthetic data within the human data we have, let al
6.
by nullbio 4d ago
You're not well informed. Helps to keep an open mind if you want to keep up to date.
7.
by nullbio 4d ago
What claim do you have a problem with? There are plenty of research papers on synthetic data that show its value, do a search on arxiv for "synthetic data". There are plenty of open-source post-training pipelines that incorporate
8.
by nullbio 4d ago
> Every time the labs try this we see model collapse The latest studies demonstrate model collapse is not a given and synthetic data can be used just fine. The latest models are proof of that, they're all trained on large swathes of
9.
by nullbio 4d ago
The models have not plateaued, and they are not even mildly close to any sort of ceiling. Right now the barrier is data and compute. Quality data can be created synthetically at an exponential rate as models improve. Humans are actively fee
10.
by nullbio 4d ago
* Frontier models need infinite high quality private IP to keep them fed. Forcing an IP theft funnel ensures big lab survival and model intelligence growth. * Open-weight models are 1month behind frontier models. Cheaper, faster, private (n
11.
by nullbio 4d ago
These people are so fucking exhausting. And then Dario wants to recommend METR as the "independent evaluator" while he stacks their org full of ex-Anthropic (aka, secretly still on the Anthropic payroll with huge equity) employees
12.
by nullbio 4d ago
Ah and would you look at that, 1 day before this post from Dario, one of his safety leads quits, gets pumped all over the media with another doomer social post, and announces he's going to work for METR. So he's literally stacking
13.
by nullbio 4d ago
Oh, would you look at that, 1 day before Dario's blog post, Joe Benton leaves Anthropic with the same fear campaign playbook, gets blasted all over the media, and declares he is joining METR to do independent eval of risks. So, put you
14.
by nullbio 4d ago
Pure cope. > Suppose a big foundation both funded clean energy technology, and also NGOs encouraging people to decarbonize. Is this just a cynical attempt to rig the game in their favor? Not comparable. The clean energy technology compan
15.
by nullbio 4d ago
Founded several years after Anthropic. Like I said, look into where their funding is coming from. I can promise you it all leads back to Anthropic through their chain of NGOs. Are you aware that Dario's sister, president of Anthropic,
16.
by nullbio 4d ago
> In early interviews with people like Dwarkesh he's the likable geek gushing about scaling laws, animated and able to maintain eye contact with the interviewer. He is now a different person - a political manipulator with a bizarre
17.
by nullbio 4d ago
When I was reading this I was chuckling to myself imagining how China would be interpreting it as they read it. It was something like: Fuck you. I hope China tells him to go kick rocks. From everything that has happened, they are the only o
18.
by nullbio 4d ago
That's the -only- way it should be paced. But then regulatory capture wouldn't happen, so of course they won't suggest this one.
19.
by nullbio 4d ago
And getting to choose his own "embedded evaluator" org that has deep ties to everyone in the doomer media campaign. It's all so obvious.
20.
by nullbio 4d ago
You have to be living under a rock to believe a word this pathological liar says.
21.
by nullbio 4d ago
Couldn't be more obvious.
22.
by nullbio 4d ago
>> Each frontier AI company commits to giving ongoing, employee-like access to a team of embedded third-party evaluators (such as METR). Someone needs to look into who is funding METR (mentioned in Dario the Book Burners post explicit
23.
by nullbio 4d ago
No, we should make it illegal to say unsubstantiated things that are highly extremist and cause mass societal panic that further ensures we really do end up in a situation that screws everybody over because power becomes centralized into th
24.
by nullbio 4d ago
Indeed. I'm just talking about in general, as to how this should be approached in the future.
25.
by nullbio 5d ago
The enshittification continues. Nothing good ever comes from businesses desperately trying to protect their moats rather than making their products better so they don't need to.
26.
by nullbio 5d ago
Either of them should be held liable, depending on circumstance. If it's the result of behavior from a harmless prompt to an AI system hosted at a provider, it should be the providers fault. If it's the result of a malicious promp
27.
by nullbio 5d ago
Yeah, they shouldn't be given free rein over the open internet without having to be held responsible for what the agents are doing on the open internet. I think we need laws that hold individuals to account for the actions of their AI
28.
by nullbio 5d ago
> I keep seeing this take, but it’s more likely that they just underestimated their models’ capabilities and/or overestimated their own safeguards. This is all from around the same time as the HuggingFace incident and is being trick
29.
by nullbio 5d ago
It's unlikely for a serious hack that lands them under scrutiny individually, but people are suspicious because Anthropic is knowingly doing it, and funding doomer NGOs - but the difference is their reported "hacks" are caref
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by nullbio 5d ago
His complaint is a very weak argument. If the complaint is about AI just giving answers and not good understanding around them, or frameworks that lead to more solutions from them, then that means there is a gap that can be filled by human

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