nrenegar

7 ms·

1. 1.▲
   by nrenegar 2mo ago

   It should be clarified that a number of those were puts.
2. 2.▲
   by nrenegar 7mo ago

   You should financialize this by creating a prediction market around it.
3. 3.▲
   by nrenegar 1y ago

   It's extremely incorrect. 98% accuracy on when "you'll" die would imply an R^2 of 0.98 for individual-level lifespan predictions. We are nowhere close to that.
4. 4.▲
   by nrenegar 2y ago

   A couple friends and I reviewed hundreds of pubmed studies on this. We have a summary at: https://shaperhealth.substack.com/p/life-in-plastic-its-not-... There have been a number of papers from China showing that phtha