mikgp

6 ms·

1.
by mikgp 6d ago
A mental model I was thinking about was - I remember when Travis Kalanick was talking about using the chatbot to discuss “vibe physics-ing” on the all-in podcast. And like - I think there’s a presumption you could make that AI models could
2.
by mikgp 11d ago
The 70’s were arguably more Grim than today in life and film.
3.
by mikgp 27d ago
None of them! That was my point. High prices is unpopular, and datacenters are unpopular, so I’m trying to figure out why 1 and 3 are written in the negative and 2 is written in the positive. I’m just confused that’s all.
4.
by mikgp 28d ago
I’m trying to understand your position here. Resistance to datacenters is like wildly bipartisan popular the other two are inversely so. I assume you’re trying to make a satirical point, but what is it?
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by mikgp 29d ago
I’m curious if something akin to the Streisand effect is going to take place here. It’s not like you can stop them from knowing about the rest of the world and it sounds like current efforts are heavy handed.
6.
by mikgp 1mo ago
I think it was Kara Swisher and guest who made the observation that the reasons social media as it currently exists may not be long for this world is that part of the reason these lawsuits and laws to restrict access to children are making
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by mikgp 1mo ago
“ I have repeatedly argued for strong antitrust enforcement to keep industries competitive, especially Big Tech.” Has David Sacks actually called for stronger antitrust enforcement? Not that he has total control of this administration but
8.
by mikgp 1mo ago
I think SWE fundamentals matter - because it will be a long time before software is a closed system. And the problem is that as long as humans are in the loop building software that dynamic will have to be maintained. We use Loki for loggin
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by mikgp 1mo ago
“Debuggable? It can add extensive instrumentation in seconds. None of this requires expertise, prompting, or mention of TDD. It's the default.” I’m pretty sure it takes some level of expertise just to use the term “instrumentation” cor
10.
by mikgp 1mo ago
It seems like, particularly in scholarly works, we should cite AI contributions the same way we cite a third party, with similar consequences around plagiarism. If you’re copying AI whole hog, not quoting and citing it, and not catching ba
11.
by mikgp 1mo ago
The point on Radithor seemed suss to me: “Introduced in 1918, Radithor was William J. A. Bailey's biggest commercial success, selling 400,000 bottles between 1925 and 1930. The Food and Drug Administration (FDA) issued warnings against
12.
by mikgp 1mo ago
I don't know if this is sort of a nerds vs normies argument, but sometimes I think we get stuck on AI and not the simpler ideas it represents. Things are easier to validate in person so there's a sense you understand the context.
13.
by mikgp 1mo ago
On the one hand I want to believe in spec driven development - I think there’s this awkward gap between code and not code that is the cause of the sort of “code review crisis” that gets written about a lot. And But the reason you don’t hav
14.
by mikgp 2mo ago
I always find Superintelligence inevitability interesting. And the author dismisses George Hotz argument about supply chains and the way that in order for ASI to truly take off it has to dominate not just the world of bits but atoms as wel
15.
by mikgp 2mo ago
I think I learn a decent amount from AI so I’m legitimately torn on this, but I guess an analogy I might turn to would be something like “fork lifts are great! But don’t bring them to the gym to do your heavy lifting.” Cara are great! But
16.
by mikgp 2mo ago
I was accused of being AI a few posts ago. I think it’s hard get the cadence out of your head if you talk to AI a lot. Especially when making certain kinds of arguments. I was thinking about dropping a few more f bombs, maybe that would
17.
by mikgp 2mo ago
I think it’s a maturity model question, and an individual ability question. And maybe an industry tooling question. Individual ability? Newer engineers should read and write more code than experienced engineers. Maturity model? Teams with
18.
by mikgp 2mo ago
Slowing us down from what? In the context of many other measures I think speed is an important measure. Maybe even the key measure. I’ve even written a blog post entitled “reading code is an anti-pattern.” But if the metric is, slowing us
19.
by mikgp 2mo ago
The whole LLM development revolution has made me feel like I’m taking crazy pills, and this is one of those observations. And, as someone who does a decent amount of vibe coding - Are we really turning engineering into plain text and not a
20.
by mikgp 2mo ago
I don’t entirely disagree with this criticism, but it also feels to me like - progressivism is the flavor of modern bad studio films, but not a cause of bad media. Like going back to the early 90’s there was this incredible rash of bad film
21.
by mikgp 2mo ago
There’s something of a footnote in here that - raises a moral or even spiritual question. Scott says that one of the great things about superforcasters is that some people who regularly make bad decisions will be able to make better decisio
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by mikgp 2mo ago
> Why can't we have a red-queen's race where non-tech companies are implementing AI, but it's not increasing the total profits of those sectors, just meeting rising customer demands/fighting over the share of existing
23.
by mikgp 2mo ago
> How much do these models need to do before people throw their hands in the air and say, ok this is happening. It's quite interesting to me that your epistemology is basically "God in a box is inevitable" and not skeptici
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by mikgp 2mo ago
I mean he explicitly at the end says there will be a new era of prediction markets: "This, then, is my prediction for the AI superforecaster future: for basic questions, your off-the-shelf AI chatbot will be able to offer opinionated p
25.
by mikgp 2mo ago
I suppose on the one hand, I probably understand what this means? But I hate when guidance is totally verboten because like - “Babies should not be shaken at all in the first two years of life”. I think has a _significantly_ different impa
26.
by mikgp 2mo ago
It feels like Scott is taking the bull case here - but like “perfect” information will pervert markets in bizarre ways. As soon as the prediction market says “this path here has a 25% chance of curing cancer” all sorts of money is moved awa
27.
by mikgp 2mo ago
"You can absolutely write bad Pulumi code. You can over-engineer it. You can create abstractions nobody understands. You can make something simple feel clever for no reason. But that is not a Pulumi problem. That is a software design p
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by mikgp 2mo ago
Right, but if your real assertion is “we have no idea”, it seems you should point your skepticism significantly more towards the people betting $100 billion dollars that self-driving cars are coming next year than the ones who aren’t.
29.
by mikgp 3mo ago
I don’t understand the analogy you’re making, or maybe I think it’s wrong. This is the first time ive ever seen someone say you should outsource your thinking to an LLM, rather than say idea generation. No one thinks you shouldn’t do 8 dig
30.
by mikgp 3mo ago
How is EFF asking to police or restrict users use of technology? The only thing they seem to be asking here is for X to continue to generate reports in how they use (or misuse) PII. The concerns on Grok seem pretty specific: to not take fo

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