microprediction

9 ms·

1.
by microprediction 3y ago
Here's why. https://medium.com/geekculture/is-facebooks-prophet-the-time...
2.
by microprediction 3y ago
For unmanned missions into GPT returning structured data.
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by microprediction 4y ago
As of today I have permission to make public my somewhat mischievous entry in the year-long world-wide stock and ETF forecasting contest … the sixth major M-competition in a storied history stretching back to 1982. The intent of my entry wa
4.
by microprediction 4y ago
Some reviews: https://github.com/microprediction/building_an_open_ai_netwo...
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Quant Book of the Year(rebellionresearch.com)
1 points by microprediction 4y ago|2 comments
6.
by microprediction 4y ago
Microprediction named Quant Book of the Year by Rebellion Research.
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by microprediction 4y ago
I'm the author. AMA.
8.
by microprediction 5y ago
Hi I'm the author of the Prophet article https://www.microprediction.com/blog/prophet which for better or worse is why many people have recently questioned Prophet as a time-series method. (There are better, and c
9.
What is the probability a horse finishes last?(medium.com)
5 points by microprediction 5y ago|1 comments
10.
by microprediction 5y ago
What is the probability a horse finishes last, or 7th, or 5th? If you think you have a good approach, there's probably a paper in this.
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A test of human intuition for mean-reverting processes(microprediction.medium.com)
2 points by microprediction 5y ago|2 comments
12.
by microprediction 5y ago
You are asked one mathematically subtle question about mean-reverting processes. Results will be part of a submitted academic paper. Thanks to all who participate.
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by microprediction 5y ago
It's stand up to Facebook week, people!
14.
by microprediction 5y ago
The details of the M6 Forecasting competition have been announced. This time it is the hardest possible test and it’s good to see that we’re going real-time.
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Tbats tops Elo ratings for forecasting(microprediction.github.io)
1 points by microprediction 5y ago|1 comments
16.
by microprediction 5y ago
The Elo Ratings in this table are produced transparently in the repo timeseries-elo-ratings and based on k-step ahead prediction duels using live time series data. See METHODOLOGY.md for interpretation of Elo ratings. The table named univar
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The future of forecasting contests, according to the experts(microprediction.com)
1 points by microprediction 5y ago|1 comments
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by microprediction 5y ago
A recent paper by Spyros Makridakis, Chris Fry, Fotios Petropoulos, and Evangelos Spiliotis considers the past evidence from forecasting competitions and lays out some design principles for future ones.
19.
by microprediction 5y ago
Jackpot is going up $100 every day
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Time-Series Package Recommender(colab.research.google.com)
1 points by microprediction 5y ago|1 comments
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by microprediction 5y ago
Recommends open-source time-series packages
22.
by microprediction 5y ago
Takedown of Towards Data Science sums up the data science landscape.
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Towards Data Science cops a meme hit(linkedin.com)
1 points by microprediction 5y ago|1 comments
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by microprediction 5y ago
Towards Data Science cops a meme hit
25.
by microprediction 5y ago
Here's a colab notebook that will recommend a black-box optimizer for your objective function. The recommendations are based on the Elo ratings for derivative-free optimization packages (see https://lnkd.in/ghgmKfN ) wh
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Notebook that chooses an optimizer for you(github.com)
1 points by microprediction 5y ago|1 comments
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Stop Shy of the First Down(microprediction.com)
1 points by microprediction 5y ago|2 comments
28.
by microprediction 5y ago
On the first down, NFL teams should tell their players to stop shy of the first down marker, unless they can get three more yards.
29.
by microprediction 5y ago
And then there's https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Messiah_Prophet
30.
by microprediction 5y ago
Stronger than "Prophet"? I began writing this post because I was working on integrating Prophet into a Python package I call time machines, which is my attempt to remove some ceremony from the use of forecasting packages and compa

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