mgontav

8 ms·

1.
by mgontav 7y ago
This was pretty much my experience as well: had to build a small scraper 2 years ago to alert me whenever spots for camping became available in Yosemite. Bear in mind that this was around 3-4 months in advance. Just for the sake of it I let
2.
by mgontav 10y ago
Thanks for reporting it, we believe to have fixed it in the meanwhile, feel free to keep testing.
3.
by mgontav 10y ago
Sure thing, shoot me an email at mgontav@unplu.gg and we'll see how we can help you out.
4.
by mgontav 10y ago
Well, if we provide confidence intervals it should provide some kind of "safety"... but even so, with forecasting the only assurance you can get is by testing it against known historical values and checking it's accuracy (and
5.
by mgontav 10y ago
We've been expecting this question all day long. As fate has it, we have no connection to FB's Prophet - we at Whitesmith have been working on unplugg for some time now and decided a few weeks ago that this week we'd share it
6.
by mgontav 10y ago
Remnants of working with energy consumption and smart meter data - our examples are still a bit focused on that. On the other hand, the current version is able to handle distinct/heterogeneous intervals, although it clearly does not pe
7.
by mgontav 10y ago
Yeah, it's kind of verbose right now :p We'll get around to it when we make sure the forecast is the best it can be. EDIT: But XML payloads are actually a really useful idea, it's going ASAP to the Trello board. :p
8.
by mgontav 10y ago
We could return a confidence interval for the forecasted values, you're right, it can help in cases where it would be used for simple anomaly detection (and it would give a greater sense of security/control over using the forecast
9.
by mgontav 10y ago
Not really. We're directing this more towards a completely automated use-case of forecasting with no human interaction, so it's not on our plans to release internal parameterization of the forecast.
10.
by mgontav 10y ago
Cool! Get back to us with feedback on how it went, we're looking for as much input as possible at this point.
11.
by mgontav 10y ago
Hey, you can still try it out as is, just request an API key and start using it. Unless you're worried about sending data out into unknown servers... in that case I can assure you we keep absolutely no information on the data we receiv
12.
by mgontav 10y ago
Our goal is to keep it as simple as we can, keeping the worries about model selection and tuning on our side as much as possible, therefore we don't go much into those details. I can share that our platform is built on top of ARIMA mod
13.
by mgontav 10y ago
We allow for you to specify the limit of the forecasting period, so you can experiment with that. However, due to how we model the forecast, it isn't realistic to expect ultra-long term predictions, as eventually the forecast will reve
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Show HN: Unplugg: An automated Forecasting API for timeseries data(unplu.gg)
100 points by mgontav 10y ago|34 comments