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mcbrown
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Exit polls aren't what you think they are
(nuttersandnuttier.com)
159 points
by
mcbrown
10y ago
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15 comments
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by
mcbrown
10y ago
Former professional investment manager here... The biggest problem with things like this, which almost nobody talks about in the context of investing, is publication bias. 100 people try to develop a profitable trading algorithm. 1 comes up
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by
mcbrown
10y ago
If you buy a MacBook Air: Once in a blue moon you might be stuck without access to power for hours and hours, and you will be thankful for the battery life. Every other day you will be cursing the subpar display and lousy performance.
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by
mcbrown
10y ago
Yes, like the fact that there is not a single accessible Uber vehicle in New York City... we THOUGHT the ADA had outlawed that sort of thing, but apparently not.
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by
mcbrown
10y ago
Because of malware delivered through unblocked ad networks. (FTFY)
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by
mcbrown
10y ago
'Truckers have to deal with a sort of standard "road safety dilemma" all the time...' I think you mean that truckers FEEL like they deal with that dilemma all the time. If they ACTUALLY dealt with an A or B dilemma, they
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by
mcbrown
10y ago
Without more context, the information here is titillating but not ultimately all that useful. Let's generalize the content so you can see what I mean: "A massive trove of documents was just leaked from a law firm that helps compan
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by
mcbrown
10y ago
BayesDB and BQL are great ideas in theory. But the problem with building any "general" analysis tool to abstract away underlying complexity is that it must either be (a) a least common denominator solution, or (b) the proverbial h
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by
mcbrown
10y ago
If so, it's the cohort I see (the "survivors") that are routinely underestimated by tech bros. Which suggests the problem is even worse: if it visibly affects the best of the best, how bad is it for the average?
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by
mcbrown
11y ago
"With age comes experience and also comes a strengthening of biases. Older people, so the stereotype goes, are inflexible and set in their ways, if very experienced in those ways." Like most stereotypes, it might be true in some c
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by
mcbrown
11y ago
This (partly) explains a major paradox I see: all the best software engineers I know are over 50, and yet the young'uns who dominate the tech zeitgeist assume these same people are incompetent dinosaurs. The young'uns have reached
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Is that data science, or #DataScience?
(medium.com)
7 points
by
mcbrown
11y ago
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0 comments
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by
mcbrown
11y ago
I will generalize his argument, since it's not really about MBA's: "If you make major life decisions against your clear preference in a vague effort to please your parents, you will probably regret it."
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by
mcbrown
11y ago
Well you're just engaging in the tactic of discrediting the defenders. You must be one of the foreign agitators threatening the community. Then again, the authoritarian dictator has to play up the credibility of the foreign agitators s
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by
mcbrown
11y ago
One simple solution would be to require employers to pay at least the workers' prior base salary for the duration they wish to enforce the non-compete. I've held senior positions where non-competes are to be expected, and that is
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mcbrown
11y ago
See my comment on why that is a poor example.
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by
mcbrown
11y ago
All the men I know who view the dating "game" as zero-sum in this way are divorced, on their way to divorce, or on their way to another marriage without having addressed any of the issues that led to their prior divorces (suggesti
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by
mcbrown
11y ago
I'm pretty sure the premium-only airlines have all failed because (a) it's hard to start an airline, (b) there are only a few routes where there is enough demand to fill a premium-only plane (which exacerbates all kinds of issues
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by
mcbrown
11y ago
That is just... stupid. Calling out a major corporation for deceptive practices is "stirring up trouble"? A non-profit organization is supposed to be "on the same side" as some company you arbitrarily annoint as the holy
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by
mcbrown
11y ago
The advantage of vine-ripening is a myth, as I have discovered first-hand by growing tomatoes in a home garden. For optimal flavor, tomatoes should be picked when they have just a slight blush of color but are still almost entirely green, a
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by
mcbrown
11y ago
Dense cities also have higher cost per unit of infrastructure. Just think about the cost of digging up a gas line in Manhattan vs. in the suburbs. Which effect dominates - revenue vs. cost? I don't know. But that article certainly does