mcastillon

6 ms·

1.
by mcastillon 7mo ago
Before you know it, we're going to have a real world proof of the infinite monkey theorem https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Infinite_monkey_theorem
2.
by mcastillon 2y ago
I think this underrates how many emails are literally just replies of "sounds good". Small snippet replies seem to be the vast majority of automatically suggested responses in gmail
3.
by mcastillon 3y ago
538 actually did a terrific job accounting for those polling phenomena, finding that in spite of that narrative around right-leaning polls arising, polls that cycle were pretty spot on https://fivethirtyeight.com/features&#x
4.
by mcastillon 3y ago
Nate got his start in this world doing baseball forecasting ( https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/PECOTA ), well before he delved into politics. Jay Boice definitely doing much of the heavy lifting these days, and deserves mor
5.
by mcastillon 5y ago
Reading some more, it does look like Zillow was in fact leveraging humans in the loop https://venturebeat.com/2019/12/11/why-explainable-ai-is-ind... . What seems like a likely explanation is that the proper b
6.
by mcastillon 5y ago
I'm surprised that nothing here has been written about human in the loop. All time series models are flawed in some capacity, and are going to have difficulties in the current market given how it won't necessarily match historical
7.
by mcastillon 5y ago
I think in general just limiting your world view to singular topics is also just not a great way to learn about the world. We all have our blindspots, and it's exacerbated by that sort of curation
8.
New Hampshire State Tax Collection Software Begins to Rolling Off COBOL(concordmonitor.com)
2 points by mcastillon 7y ago|0 comments
9.
by mcastillon 8y ago
It could be argued that by focusing on the wide release, they inherently doomed the product. Hard to build a cohesive community of 300M when the stickiness factor doesn't exist yet. Arguably would have been better to focus on limited r