kasey_junk

7 ms·

1.
by kasey_junk 13d ago
Do you have code formatters, linters and static analysis? I can get extremely dumb models to get our code style correct because of those guard rails and a specific style document.
2.
by kasey_junk 19d ago
That’s a take for sure…
3.
by kasey_junk 19d ago
Aluminum smelters have run their own power generation for ages and don’t get to skip epa regulations.
4.
by kasey_junk 20d ago
8 is about my limit but I never have less than 4.
5.
by kasey_junk 20d ago
America can feed every person in the country easily, we import luxury goods cause we like coffee and out of season vegetables not because we’ve lost the production capability. If anything we are over subsidizing calories. We also have enoug
6.
by kasey_junk 20d ago
Tariffs are much more regressive than our normal tax policy. Which is probably the reason this administration prefers them.
7.
by kasey_junk 22d ago
Social safety net isn’t rigorously defined in the first place so acting like the definitions are being twisted isn’t a reasonable counter argument. Pick what labels you want to throw social security, Medicare and Medicaid into. That bucket
8.
by kasey_junk 22d ago
Chip and snap combined is less than 2% of the budget and shrinking fast. You can tell it’s nowhere near 90% because even if you counted every single non-DoD dollar as social safety net it would only be 84% of the budget.
9.
by kasey_junk 24d ago
New Zealand is having a bumper apple crop this year. Literally one of the best in 30 years. And umm American apple season hasn’t started yet. https://www.thepress.co.nz/rural/360955858/bumper-harvest-ap...
10.
by kasey_junk 24d ago
Sadly most of us do realize it. But this is why tariffs are so pernicious. Because you hate me, you are going to tax yourself. It’s a negative sum world view. It’s bad enough that Trump believes the nonsense, he’s been able to export it.
11.
by kasey_junk 24d ago
Nope. Not how prices work. If you have a replacement good that would be cheaper but you artificially inflate it with a tax you are forcing that tax on every transaction. Again, if you think that tax is valid, feel free but tariffs costs are
12.
by kasey_junk 24d ago
Defense spending used to be a higher percentage of our budget than now, so if anything you should assign more of that to the debt. About 16% of the spending is straight up defense spending and about 5% is the VA. I personally think it’s cra
13.
by kasey_junk 25d ago
Social security is a welfare program. As is Medicare. They are odd regressive forms of them but they are tax funded welfare programs full stop. As for fund deficits there are basically 4 things the federal government pays for, social securi
14.
by kasey_junk 25d ago
More than 50% of us federal spending is in social security, Medicare and Medicaid and it’s debt service. You’d have to be counting pretty far afield things to get up to 90% but it’s easy to get to “a majority”.
15.
by kasey_junk 25d ago
That’s a reasonable reason to apply tariffs. But don’t assume it’s _us_ paying that tax. It’s you. We get to get taxed on the other side by paying more for Canadian goods.
16.
by kasey_junk 25d ago
Mangoes and South Asian fish don’t grow close to you no matter what. You don’t think bull shipping Mexican tomatoes via the ocean isn’t going to cost more than the same tomato shipped by the US land route? If you were going to take that tar
17.
by kasey_junk 25d ago
You’d have to tariff fruits and vegetables like crazy to make the American varieties more expensive than oceanic shipped produce. That seems a fairly steep price for the Canadian consumer. Which highlights the problems with tariffs, they ar
18.
by kasey_junk 26d ago
This is not what most public libraries do with donation books. They mostly just recycle them. The very act of cataloging donation books takes a huge amount of resources that the collection managers don’t have. Many public libraries don’t ha
19.
by kasey_junk 29d ago
I work for a large enterprise and fable/mythos are specifically banned because of the difference in data retention agreements from those models to other Anthropic models.
20.
by kasey_junk 29d ago
The biggest difference is I view any interaction with an llm that doesn’t produce an artifact that can be verified with skepticism. That is I very rarely even use a “chat” interface anymore. Under the covers I’m still using the mainline age
21.
by kasey_junk 29d ago
I have found it extremely helpful to keep the “token prediction machine” metaphor front and center in my work with llms, not because it expresses some fundamental limit of the technology but because it allows me to have a mental model about
22.
by kasey_junk 1mo ago
I tried but was thwarted by Abe Froman.
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by kasey_junk 1mo ago
Correct, so the BRICS angle I'm responding to is not what the market is showing.
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by kasey_junk 1mo ago
Brazil, India and South Africa all have 5 year bond yields that are higher now than 5 years ago. Russia is obvious outlier you can’t price well. If there is any news this month in Chinese bonds it’s a) a crazy upward move that corrected and
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by kasey_junk 1mo ago
But have you biked on lower lower wacker?
26.
by kasey_junk 1mo ago
You know _traders_ who came from wealthy backgrounds? That's a completely incongruous outcome in my experience. At least in the markets I'm aware of from my career (commodities and fx) the trading component has effectively alway
27.
by kasey_junk 1mo ago
By the time of the Suez incident the uk hadn’t been the dominant global economy for going on 70 years. The second Boer war is probably a better example of shocking poor outcome for their empire by that timeline. Queen Victoria was still ali
28.
by kasey_junk 1mo ago
It’s going to paying for an aging demographic and medical care. The same as literally every western country. Which is why I don’t view this as a particularly American issue. America is doing a bad job of addressing this, but it also has mor
29.
by kasey_junk 1mo ago
Did the US lose control of the most populous part of its “empire” in the last 20 years? Did it get its population and infrastructure destroyed across 2 generations in world wars in the last 50? Has the US just come off of required rationing
30.
by kasey_junk 1mo ago
Because I don’t assume lack of agency in the rest of the world? You’ll note I put that in my original comment.

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