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kahnjw
searching Neon…
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1.
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by
kahnjw
6y ago
I could have been more clear. My point is that aggressively reopening might still be dangerous, but it'll take a while for the public to convince themselves it's safe enough to start going out, even though it isn't. I'd
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kahnjw
6y ago
This perfectly illustrates the "opening up" paradox. If you, as a Government, aggressively open but the public still sees risk, not much will change. People won't go outside much because they perceive risk. We'll have to
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by
kahnjw
6y ago
Becoming a massively profitable megacorp isn't the only winning formula. Were Linkedin, Instagram, Beats by Dre, WhatsApp, Tableau, Skype, GitHub, MuleSoft all failures because they were acquired for billions, making lucrative paydays
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by
kahnjw
6y ago
Let's leave it at this then: if capital is completely miss-allocated and a bubble has been inflating over the last 5-10 years as you claim, then we'll hear the proverbial pop in the next three to six months as a rapid pullback in
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by
kahnjw
6y ago
Ask that to someone trying to find housing off Sand Hill Road in Palo Alto.
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by
kahnjw
6y ago
Are we talking about investment strategy or cherry picking data for the sake of arguing? 1. There are plenty of companies on the path to IPO that didn't take 1B+ in VC money 2. The "sharing" platforms are expensive investment
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by
kahnjw
6y ago
I'm not sure what you're getting at. Here are the facts: Companies following these accelerated growth trajectories now make up a total of 4 trillion in market capitalization depending on how you count it. That's really just t
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kahnjw
6y ago
Except for dozens of counter examples that make up for literally multiple trillions of dollars in market capitalization.
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by
kahnjw
6y ago
Correction: Dominos not Pizza Hut.
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kahnjw
6y ago
I'd counter that Pizza hut has a key logistical advantage of vertical integration. A delivery service is a very different business than a restaurant chain that does its own delivery. I agree that GrubHub, Doordash, and to some extent U
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by
kahnjw
6y ago
Some private companies offer RSU grants. I've been offered them.
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kahnjw
6y ago
There are other factors at play. Most employers offering options don't pay as much in total as those employers offering straight up RSUs.
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kahnjw
6y ago
I got an RSU offer from Pinterest a couple years back when they were private, though I turned it down.
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by
kahnjw
6y ago
Words matter, concretely define "open ended"? Did you just add that phrase to preemptively nullify evidence to the contrary? Deep learning has surpassed human level performance on many tasks [1][2]... (could add more you get the p
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by
kahnjw
6y ago
From all appearances this is more or less what China is doing today. Lockdown until the number of new cases in a geographic area is zero, then slowly loosen the grip of suppression and calibrate based on new information. When the second wav
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kahnjw
7y ago
This is only true if you don't count the cost of massive casualties that are impossible to fully quantify the cost of and only count of the cost of running the healthcare system at existing capacity. Let's cook up a fantasy scenar
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kahnjw
7y ago
Sure but what happens if we do nothing for a month and let the virus spread rampant. Then we bankrupt the entire country paying for healthcare assistance packages for those who cannot afford it and are the hardest hit. Or would you recommen
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kahnjw
7y ago
Not sure why this is getting voted down, this is absolutely the case. Either you kill exponential growth via isolation/inoculation or damn near everyone gets sick in an exponential explosion and the healthcare system is overrun. This i
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kahnjw
7y ago
What's the reasoning here?
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kahnjw
7y ago
>Connectivity will be the great equalizer in the future. These words could have come from an article about: the internet, mobile phones, telephones, morse code With minor modification also: automobiles, the printing press, the steel plow
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kahnjw
7y ago
I see your point though POSIX imposes very few (if any) architecture decisions on application developers. The kind of design choices we’re talking about are very different from those of POSIX-like utilities so I’m not sure if that analogy i
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kahnjw
7y ago
You could achieve the same with basically any decent concurrency model on a single machine.
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by
kahnjw
7y ago
Why don't you just checkpoint the model every n steps? NNs fail for a myriad of reasons, you can easily reduce risk by routinely saving state.
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by
kahnjw
7y ago
Is "graph picture book" the new medium for conspiracy theory videos or something?
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by
kahnjw
7y ago
This does not answer my question. The identifying characteristic of capital cost is: does not change over small time intervals, it is fixed up front and amortized over the lifetime of the asset. This article and OP are talking about price s
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kahnjw
7y ago
As you can read above, I wasn't implying you were. Merely pointing out another, perhaps better, analogy.
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by
kahnjw
7y ago
I can't make sense of the sequence you've laid out but what do does capital cost have to do with daily (or even momentary) fluctuations in price? Also, energy prices can be higher on average than elsewhere and dip to zero in some
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kahnjw
7y ago
How about UPS/FedEx? They certainly test new products on public roads and have no requirement to make public the resulting data.
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kahnjw
7y ago
Maybe but then we’re no longer making an argument about performance, which is what I was responding to in your initial claim about “everything counts” and numpy shuffle being slow. That’s a straw man argument that has zero bearing on actual
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kahnjw
7y ago
In what circumstance would one measure end to end time budget in training? What would that metric tell you? You don't care about latency, you care about throughput, which can be scaled nearly completely independently of the "wrapp
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