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johnleslie_pm
searching Neon…
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AI companies' DNS: 17 Anthropic-verified, 23% have spoofable email
(domainintel.vercel.app)
1 points
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johnleslie_pm
4mo ago
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1 comments
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Show HN: I built a free AI startup validator – it scored a dog walking app 4/10
(tools.predictionoracle.io)
1 points
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johnleslie_pm
4mo ago
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0 comments
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Show HN: Free Google Places API alternative using OpenStreetMap (no API key)
(bizdata-web.vercel.app)
9 points
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johnleslie_pm
4mo ago
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1 comments
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Are prediction markets well-calibrated? Analysis of 7,661 Polymarket markets
(polymarket-calibration.vercel.app)
2 points
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johnleslie_pm
5mo ago
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johnleslie_pm
5mo ago
This is a textbook oracle manipulation problem, and it's one that prediction market designers have been worried about since the early Augur days. The fundamental issue is that when market resolution depends on a single data source (one
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johnleslie_pm
5mo ago
The Kalshi-Fox News/CNN deal is the most significant development here. Embedding real-time odds into cable news transforms prediction markets from a niche trading venue into mainstream infrastructure. The comparison to stock tickers is
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johnleslie_pm
5mo ago
This is Kalshi trying to self-regulate before regulators do it for them. The timing is not coincidental -- the DOJ just arrested a Special Forces soldier for insider trading on Polymarket, and New York just banned state employees from predi