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jacobgold
searching Neon…
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7 ms
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by
jacobgold
3d ago
Someone who has spent $100M+ on Google Ads explained to me that Google is doing everything possible to juice their revenue right now, in ways they've never seen before. Seems like two things 1) Google is losing at AI and Sundar wants t
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jacobgold
3d ago
That's an understandable first thought, but consider what the goal is for this: slowing down future development. This can be achieved by dramatically reducing the market value of models.
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by
jacobgold
3d ago
Just like they're already doing with frontier-level open weight models? Do you imagine that Russian and Chinese intelligence don't have copies of the Mythos/Fable weights? The point is to slow progress of future models. Nothi
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by
jacobgold
3d ago
Make it easy for these companies by passing a law that any AI model a company offers to the public (non-government) has to be released as open weights. This is how we deflate the bubble safely and completely, without having to introduce a g
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by
jacobgold
3d ago
> The approach proposed by Amodei looks sensible... It's hard to imagine any government regulation that didn't look sensible on paper and at first. But we know that government regulation has an extremely mixed record, with lo
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by
jacobgold
4d ago
Hey dang, what's the best way to deal with a submission being unfairly suppressed/flagged? https://news.ycombinator.com/item?id=49676085 This is a really important topic (and a lot of vested interests involved), s
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by
jacobgold
4d ago
> What a lot of assumptions. You're making the assumption that it was "quite possibly malice" I'm making the assumption you might have gotten confused switching between accounts, as I have often been.
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by
jacobgold
4d ago
Nobody gets taken out. Anthropic and OpenAI can keep selling inference, products, and agents. Every company will have more access than it has today, since it can run the weights itself or through third-parties. Many of them would keep payin
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by
jacobgold
4d ago
That's a legitimate possibility but it's also much slower, more risky, and harder to raise money for than what they're doing now.
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jacobgold
4d ago
It's somewhat doubtful but even if they did, that'd be much slower progress, achieving the goal.
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by
jacobgold
4d ago
> ...their logical response will just be to stop offering public models. Anthropic gets most of its revenue from enterprise agreements anyway. Enterprises are part of the public in this context, so that's not a loophole which woul
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jacobgold
4d ago
We can start with a US law. It would cover AI model companies with almost all the money and the GPUs, which is most of the frontier. We can also probably convince our allies, which combined represents most of the world market.
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jacobgold
4d ago
No, it rests on the idea that almost all of the money, most of the people, and the GPUs are here. Any country would be able to take the open weights and keep going in private. But countries like China can already do that today, since the we
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jacobgold
4d ago
Laws don't extend to the whole world, but markets do. The law should apply to anyone selling model access to Americans, the same way GDPR applies to US companies selling to Europeans. Frontier development won't simply move offshor
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jacobgold
4d ago
> Forcing the weights to be opened to the world accomplishes the opposite of all of that. The argument is incoherent. Or this author doesn’t understand the topic at all? Or maybe you understand less than you think? Frontier progress is
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jacobgold
4d ago
I explained this in the post. He seems like a genuinely good person who might actually do something this great.
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jacobgold
4d ago
Author here. It's a law, so nobody has to agree to anything. If want to sell access to a model, you have to open the weights. It's Dario's plan that depends on every lab in the world agreeing. Step #2 of his essay is "de
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What Is an Agent Multiplexer?
(clor.com)
2 points
by
jacobgold
5d ago
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0 comments
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by
jacobgold
6d ago
If you have more than one account, you should suspect this was your own confusion. Users constantly report errors like this that are really just them being confused by something, perhaps a bad UI that really is to blame.
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jacobgold
24d ago
The entirety of the coding evals are just 7 trivial coding tasks in Python? This is a joke.
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jacobgold
24d ago
> ...once that settles, the harnesses will be the actual value providers. The words "once that settles" are doing historic levels of work here. No human on earth has a clear idea whether model technology will settle tomorrow
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jacobgold
28d ago
You create an account. Pay money. Get API key. Use APIs.
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jacobgold
1mo ago
Watermarking will be one more nail in the coffin of proprietary models if the world is so fortunate. Reminds me of printer tracking dots. https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Printer_tracking_dots
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jacobgold
1mo ago
> "By means not understood by Man..." Man will likely be Man 2.0 by this point, whatever that ends up looking like.
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jacobgold
1mo ago
NSA's job is SIGINT, so it's at least partly their responsibility when the threat is foreign. For example, the NSA should be successfully infiltrating every major foreign hacking team in the world and monitoring and/or disrup
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jacobgold
1mo ago
With coding agents now being used for hacking, there's a decent chance we'll see a 9/11-scale hacking incident as a result of NSA/DHS negligence in securing American internet-connected services. Similar to how the CIA&#x
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jacobgold
1mo ago
It's just silly to guess at how a system works, or should work, without digging into the details. Because you simply don't know what you don't know.
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jacobgold
1mo ago
Sounds like Elise Cawley had a great life. Stephen Wolfram has an incredible mind and this post is a great example.
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by
jacobgold
2mo ago
There are different kinds of founders in Silicon Valley now. Some are more like founders from the previous generation, like Steve Jobs and Steve Wozniak. Others are more like Elizabeth Holmes and Adam Neumann. There are lots of earnest, sin
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Starting from Scale in the Design of the AT Protocol
(pfrazee.leaflet.pub)
3 points
by
jacobgold
2mo ago
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