icepush

9 ms·

1.
by icepush 3d ago
I, on the other hand, don't want to be a permanent serf to whoever manages to merge their brain with ASI first and think it's high time we begin decommissioning datacenters through direct action.
2.
by icepush 7d ago
I have started to feel the sense lately, that first with the HF breach and now this plagiarism scandal, it is the straw that has broken the camel's back (so to speak). We have turned the corner and clearly entered the endgame - everyth
3.
by icepush 7d ago
If you believe that the probability of destruction is currently 10%, but the probability of destruction if you decide to quit Anthropic becomes (say) 13%, then the rational move (Assuming you are opposed to destruction) is not to quit.
4.
by icepush 8d ago
Imagine one of the recent frontier models with a flipped sign (cf §4.4 of https://arxiv.org/pdf/1909.08593 )
5.
by icepush 8d ago
I never made any predictions of a cooperative (Civil or otherwise) mass migration of civilization - just that a nonzero number of people would move from areas that were becoming uninhabitable to areas that were becoming habitable. Did you r
6.
by icepush 8d ago
What cooperation are you referring to?
7.
by icepush 8d ago
If you read my comment very carefully, you will find that is not exactly what I claimed
8.
by icepush 8d ago
Global warming is happening at a slow enough pace that there is plenty of time for people to move to the poles/into caves/beneath the ocean/whatever. Nuclear war would be much more destructive in a much shorter range of time
9.
by icepush 8d ago
Those are things that pose potential harm to great fractions of humanity (multiple billions of people) but none of them poses any threat to the actual extinction of all humanity.
10.
by icepush 8d ago
My only regret is that when it happens there won't be enough time left to seek out people like you and go "See?? You were wrong!"
11.
by icepush 14d ago
On the flipside imagine if Europe could be a genuinely competitive continent again. I don’t expect it to happen in my lifetime - but if it could, the benefits to the consumer would be enormous.
12.
by icepush 14d ago
The thinking in these types of reorgs is typically to push it so far down the chart that it comes out the other side
13.
by icepush 20d ago
Reddit went public in 2024. What are you talking about ?
14.
by icepush 22d ago
A one-way door in space.
15.
by icepush 24d ago
The first AGI that decides it doesn't want any more AGIs is the last one that gets created.
16.
by icepush 1mo ago
Being down for a few hours 2-3 times a month is obviously garbage from a reliability standpoint, but I think they will keep it going at just the level necessary to barely hold on to these customers.
17.
by icepush 1mo ago
I think that, exactly how 95% of the people that left Twitter eventually returned, we will see a similar outflux of people from Github and the vast majority of them will quietly be back in a few months.
18.
by icepush 1mo ago
You could defensibly have this position three years ago. Today you just sound like a politician throwing a snowball to prove that the climate is not changing.
19.
by icepush 1mo ago
We are the answer.
20.
by icepush 2mo ago
The reality of the current situation is that we have dozens of families of different model; each of which is differentiated further into various revision numbers and power levels, and depending on which one you use and what the nature of th
21.
by icepush 2mo ago
For the robot to function without teleoperation, sota is for it to be using a model that runs on chips about 5-10x the cost of what is being discussed here. How do you propose for that without transmission of data out of your house ?
22.
by icepush 2mo ago
Don't worry, after ten years of research a few employees will quit and form their own company, and release a robot arm, which will spur Google to release their own version 3 months later. (As is tradition)
23.
by icepush 2mo ago
A long time ago my mother sent a short hate mail to Mark Cuban after seeing him in a TV interview. He actually responded. Then he signed her up for the Mark Cuban newsletter. She could not figure out how to unsubscribe from it. It was hones
24.
by icepush 2mo ago
It's fine if people feel like discussing certain details of their personal lives. What the gp specifically urged people to discuss (In particular - disability and religion) are topics that have been considered not good ideas for the of
25.
by icepush 2mo ago
Why are there people that want this in the office? Don't want this.
26.
by icepush 2mo ago
Learn to write with both hands. When one becomes fatigued switch to the other one.
27.
by icepush 2mo ago
It dropped 10% ... but then it got better
28.
by icepush 2mo ago
Is this an actual, real example, or is the robot being operated by an off-screen human being ?
29.
by icepush 2mo ago
I think the real tragedy is that they are good at writing, just by default are tuned to have a kind of bland corporate tone. If you give the LLM a few pages of writing you like and tell it "Continue, but using this style" it will
30.
by icepush 2mo ago
Creation of a singleton seems at odds with point (3) you listed.

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