ianm218

5 ms·

1.
by ianm218 3d ago
Is there a sense where they were right because GPT-2 directly led to the current situation where you can atleast objectively say that reasonable people are pretty worried about existential risks of AI .
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by ianm218 4d ago
Anthropic supported Alex bores who was one of the most AI safety pilled politicians https://www.theguardian.com/us-news/2026/jun/24/big-tech-new...
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by ianm218 5d ago
Hasn’t the idea of existential risks entered the kind of “cultural elite Overton window” at this point? Bill gates is talking about it, NYT just ran a bunch articles on AI safety concerns, a reporter just asked Trump about it in a one on on
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by ianm218 6d ago
No one in the US is going to fund pretty good open source with VC money. US has OpenAI/ Anthropic/ Google/ meta/ SpaceX atleast trying to make frontier foundation models 2 are using VC money + cash flow, last 3 are mainl
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by ianm218 9d ago
> I am told AGI has been achieved. If so, shouldnt these systems be out and about on their own This seems like a strawman. It’s certainly not consensus that AGI has been achieved and I don’t think the people participating in this event f
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by ianm218 13d ago
I wonder how they were able to get it to get 99.9% on ARC-AGI-3. That seems truly insane.
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by ianm218 15d ago
If someone hypothesized OpenAI agents colluding on a secret message board, conducting large scale cyber R&D, hacking a large company like HughingFCe, and then hacking OpenAI itself you would say that is also a silly sci-fi scenario righ
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by ianm218 18d ago
Why though? Wouldn’t it make more sense to just have solar panels at your home where the power can be routed to batteries/ home power/ sell to the grid and configured optimally?
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by ianm218 20d ago
You know that Henry Ford thing is a myth right? So your basing your whole world view on a myth about a business man > 100 years ago.
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by ianm218 22d ago
It’s easy to be pessimistic about Musk timelines/ big tech but I am thrilled that ambitious, real world, hard projects are happening in the US again.
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by ianm218 24d ago
> All that computing power built up under the guise of bringing about the “AI future” will start being used to spy on you, follow your every movement, listen to all your calls, and more. This post sounds like someone who lives in deep in
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by ianm218 28d ago
LLMs seem to have worse intuition than experts and compensate by being able to cover a much wider surface area of ideas, so we might just need to extract the intermediate progress along the way.
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by ianm218 1mo ago
Consider Enron and Amazon at the turn of the millennium. They were both telling you what the future would look like. The right action would’ve been to just ignore what they are saying and try and get data and reason about the world. It didn
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by ianm218 1mo ago
> That's something AI companies would really want you to believe. Why would I care what they want me to believe? Intuitively it would make sense that you can put math ability on a chart with a value for “general public” “smart high
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by ianm218 1mo ago
Isn’t Ken Griffin still considered very clever? Citadel is one of the most successful hedge funds of the is era and has largely accelerated since 2020.
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by ianm218 1mo ago
I suspect if you follow dev groups in developing countries people are much more focused on token/ price efficiency. For funded startups it mostly just doesn’t matter a ton unless you are passing on inference in your product at scale
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by ianm218 1mo ago
> I'd argue fast-tracking projects is always a bad idea, as is trying to route around community consultation Building infrastructure and housing in the US is painfully slow and a huge tax on everyone, almost everything should be fas
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by ianm218 1mo ago
The OP is literally talking about “mass extinction”, it’s not a real concern that climate change will cause mass extinction in the next 5 years. It should absolutely be focused on anyway. I don’t know how you got the other impression. The U
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by ianm218 1mo ago
The existential risk people are worried about a much shorter timeline - like the next 5-10 years. Climate change is serious but very unlikely to lead to anything like ending the Anthropocene in the next 5 years.
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by ianm218 1mo ago
If your against on site natural gas I think there is real arguments there and maybe it should be banned. But there’s a difference to that and being just straight up against data centers or anything being built.
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by ianm218 1mo ago
The Olympics are seen as a net negative for local economies though because it requires tons of local investment for a temporary payoff so the juice (billions of dollars of infra) isn’t worth the squeeze (a few weeks of high utilization foll
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by ianm218 1mo ago
> I mean, how do you explain the backlash then if their byproducts don't generally bother people? I think the general populace has pretty irrational political stances. For example in NYC where I live "gentrification is bad beca
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by ianm218 1mo ago
Sure but progress over perfection right? More tax revenue puts you in a better spot to attack those problems than not having it. Even just doing what Northern Virginia does and lowering people’s property taxes gives homeowners more disposab
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by ianm218 1mo ago
Data centers don’t cause water pollution generally or turn entire towns into industrial zones. There is more than enough room in rural WI towns for industrial and non industrial parts. > No one wants to live near one, especially not doct
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by ianm218 1mo ago
This is a needlessly low effort reply that hurts the discussion. Some data centers are paying lots of taxes and upgrading local grids, others are bribing local politicians or lobbying for abatements. That is a much more substantive discussi
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by ianm218 1mo ago
We’re talking about rural Wisconsin - there is no world where you need to make a trade off between having school and a data center. Put a school in one field and a data center in a field further away. It just seems like you should tax the
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by ianm218 1mo ago
If the data center was paying a decent amount of taxes surely it would help though right? In theory the taxes would go towards pro social uses.
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by ianm218 1mo ago
Is there any reason to think that training weights has peaked rather than is accelerating? It feels like now they are increasingly able to pick some low hanging fruit by using the models in order to improve themselves and test optimizations
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by ianm218 2mo ago
I mean yeah its vacancy rate is like 20% in NYC… I asked for a source on buildings that are purposely vacant for advertising and it seems like that doesn’t actually exist
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by ianm218 2mo ago
It feels like the real cost might be negative though.. They use frontier math as a way to test improvements in their model. So solving the problems is like a positive externality, but the important thing is they can verify that the model

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