huitzitziltzin

11 ms·

1.
by huitzitziltzin 4d ago
Of all the things we’re never going to do… we’re never going to agree with China to pause AI research in a verifiable way that would mean they could trust us or we could trust them. It’s just never going to happen. With nuclear weapons you
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by huitzitziltzin 8d ago
Example 6 is a good one. Iran attacked water infra in the US recently and maybe they would have done a “better” job (from their point of view) had they used Fable. The “worst case” with 6 is potentially very bad but I think we are currentl
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by huitzitziltzin 8d ago
I’m an economist. On the basis of current evidence, I view AI as a complement to human labor, not as a substitute for it. That’s the source of my rejection of the wild labor market disruptions theories. I just don’t see any evidence yet t
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by huitzitziltzin 8d ago
I did know about the mass shooting but failed to mention it here. I’d put it in the “unlikely to be a widespread problem” category. If we’re in the “one AI driven mass shooting every four years” world for example it’s fair to call it a ra
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by huitzitziltzin 8d ago
“ No other human activity poses this level of danger.” I really, really disagree with that statement. I don’t think ai models come close to nuclear weapons or to run-of-the-mill, everyday carbon emissions in terms of danger to humanity. Wha
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by huitzitziltzin 2mo ago
It’s kind of a fun story but it doesn’t make sense. Was that the only data in a data center in the world that’s not backed up elsewhere? Did I miss that part?
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by huitzitziltzin 6mo ago
Newspapers have an extremely expensive product. They have to pay for it somehow! You can’t give away an expensive product for free forever! No one on the internet likes paying for access to content. After 35 years we have not found
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by huitzitziltzin 11mo ago
I stand by my statement. I’d love an estimate from you (or anyone) about the marginal effect on the profession’s “legitimacy” (which is what? and how’s it measured?) from having the prize include Nobel’s name vs. not including it. Really w
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by huitzitziltzin 11mo ago
Sure… Mokyr’s northwestern website has links to a lot of his papers. An extremely crude selection rule: Anything published in the American economic review, quarterly journal of economics, journal of political economy has the profession’s
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by huitzitziltzin 11mo ago
You can start with a used copy of an older edition of mankiw’s text which is a standard undergrad reference. Barro also has an old undergrad macro text which is good The gap between undergrad macro and professional macro is extremely large.
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by huitzitziltzin 11mo ago
Economist here… An unexpected (to me!) prize but definitely a good one. What’s notable is that mokyr’s research is very, very accessible to a layman. You can read his books and understand them nearly perfectly without needing substantial
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by huitzitziltzin 1y ago
If you read the review, you will see the author notes that issue pretty often and specifically discusses ways in which the oldest book he reviews (from 2014) both is and isn’t useful. It’s worth reading
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by huitzitziltzin 1y ago
Why stand up and not use your legs at all?? People have rowed it. This is a weird stunt that won’t prove anything. If he (magically) made it in a week people would still fly. What’s the point? Don’t say “raising awareness”. Whose min
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by huitzitziltzin 1y ago
Agree that these are very very hard industries in which to secure employment. At the least the anecdote is not that informative about the effects of AI, given the details.
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by huitzitziltzin 1y ago
(2021)
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by huitzitziltzin 1y ago
The funniest thing about the reaction from all of his neighbors is that none of them are willing to do the one thing that really would annoy Zuckerberg and probably make him move: build multi story, multi tenant housing (i.e., small apartme
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by huitzitziltzin 1y ago
Entirely useless recommendations and very dubious empirical claims here. Let’s take them one at a time…. - “The climate crisis and socio-ecological issues are broadly absent from economic curricula.” -> I don’t believe that for a second
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by huitzitziltzin 1y ago
I have a PhD in economics with a specialization in antitrust policy. Fact: “Matt stoller gets big, important issues wrong in antitrust all the time and his analysis shouldn’t be taken seriously.” Source: me You are welcome to cite that.
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by huitzitziltzin 1y ago
Not surprising at all to hear that Matt Stoller got the economics of an antitrust issue wrong. I appreciate the attention he brings to the topic and his diligence in digging up stories but his own analysis is often just totally wrong. I
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by huitzitziltzin 1y ago
I would love to see more of their game theory example. Having experience teaching the subject myself, what I saw on that page is about the first five minutes of the first class of the semester at best. The devil will very much be in the ot
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by huitzitziltzin 1y ago
Great question! And a great example of why the central question in any antitrust issue is defining the market . Define it narrowly enough, and Firm A buying Firm B might create a monopoly - the regulator cannot approve that. Define it br
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by huitzitziltzin 1y ago
(2018) And the title should be “…who speak many languages.” Speaking one language may be something of a mystery but to most of us it’s at least a familiar state.
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by huitzitziltzin 1y ago
How do you handle the very well known limits of LLMs in your especially-sensitive use case? Hallucinations are the leading example. Health queries are a really bad place to do even mild “imagining” of responses.
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by huitzitziltzin 1y ago
This feels like a “break glass in case of emergency” kind of moment. Sure there are no details yet, but I’m trying to imagine details which would make me think “that arrest makes sense.” If I were in Milwaukee I’d be in the streets.
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by huitzitziltzin 1y ago
Great piece and deserves to be complemented by the time series of daily outlays from the US treasury starting Jan 20 compared to the last two years. Elon Musk is failing to cut American spending https://economist.com/finance
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by huitzitziltzin 1y ago
The large tech firms get a surprisingly large amount of hate on antitrust issues on this website for startups so I appreciate your point bc I think it’s often missed.
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by huitzitziltzin 1y ago
The oil dividend (likely what they are talking about though I didn’t look) is something like $1,300/year. That’s not universal basic income in the pie-in-the-sky way the phrase is usually used. No one is interested in whether the Al
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by huitzitziltzin 1y ago
Of all the things which are never going to happen, I put universal basic income at the top of the list. Faster than light travel seems vastly more likely than universal basic income. I don’t believe we can pay for it, nor do I believe tha
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by huitzitziltzin 1y ago
There are plenty of people working on the application of ML in economics, including NN methods, and including in macro. That’s a totally different class of model to this agent based approach. People in the (small) agent based modeling co
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by huitzitziltzin 1y ago
I don’t agree that it doesn’t make sense. It’s a good approximation a lot of the time. Also: from your comment I’m pretty sure you don’t have the background (correct me if that’s wrong) and so don’t know what it really means in practice t

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