fasthands9

6 ms·

1.
by fasthands9 1y ago
I do think Apple needs a better Siri, but I think ultimately they were smart not to plow tons of money into it trying to do it themselves. A better Siri is an expense to keep up the premium brand, not something that they will monetize. For
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by fasthands9 1y ago
Fun idea. The memes are very funny, but I also am unsure what to make of it. Is the "unusually busy" feature mean like once a year business or one out of every ten days?
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by fasthands9 1y ago
I am not bearish on AI by any means, but don't really get why Apple needs the best AI in-house other than to improve Siri. That doesn't take 500B. As long as you can download apps and set permissions for communication between apps
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by fasthands9 1y ago
I definitely read less than I used to. I think in the past some books didn't need to be the length they are. I still like narrative non-fiction and for those the level of detail is the point. It is harder to get back into reading, but
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by fasthands9 1y ago
>The provision was squeezed into the bill, nicknamed the “Big Beautiful Bill,” in May. It is designed to prohibit states from “[enforcing] any law or regulation regulating [AI] models, [AI] systems, or automated decision systems” for a d
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by fasthands9 1y ago
I think this is mostly right, but also I'm not sure I agree completely with the premise. Humans have years of conversations they've heard before they attempt to read or write. They already have a concept of what a 'dog'
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by fasthands9 1y ago
If anything I imagine law and cases to get more complex. Less lawyers may be needed for any one case, but that should just make it more possible for lawsuits for smaller amounts of damages to be brought. The blog post brings up the Daniel P
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by fasthands9 1y ago
This is my favorite type of art.
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by fasthands9 1y ago
It is interesting. My two theories would be a) people at top schools follow these meta-discussions more and are therefore are more likely to be ahead of trend b) someone who could do comp-sci at Stanford could easily become something like a
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by fasthands9 1y ago
I've long thought that if AI can start solving unsolved math problems we are in for a very weird (or bad) future, since at that point it really can come up with things that no one has thought of before. And perhaps, it would also be ab
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by fasthands9 1y ago
I'm not anti self-driving cars in general, but I do think as they get more popular they should be taxed extra for every mile they drive without a person (or at least without cargo). A self-driving car may decide to drive around an empt
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by fasthands9 1y ago
Yeah. For understandable reasons that is covered a lot too, but AI 2027 is really about the risk of self-replicating AI. Is an AI virus possible, and could it be easily stopped by humans and our military?
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by fasthands9 1y ago
I feel like that's true for most economic things but is that necessarily the case for things such as computation? For instance, my understanding is that computers have been getting exponentially faster for 70 years. I realize the thing
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by fasthands9 1y ago
I do agree generally with this, but AI 2027 and other writings have moved my concern from 0% to 10%. I know I sound crazy writing it out, but many of the really bad scenarios don't require consciousness or anything like that. It just r
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by fasthands9 1y ago
There is an element that when it becomes cheaper/easier it cancels each other out. Spam became cheaper/easier but that just meant people were less trusting of random emails. It probably is true that some populations are more vulne
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by fasthands9 1y ago
>For their study, the team assigned three groups of participants – students 18 to 39 years old from five universities in the greater Boston area – to write an essay, with the first group tasked to leverage LLM – ChatGPT, to be precise –
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by fasthands9 1y ago
Even then you have to be careful. It would be trivially easy to build an algo that beats the market 90% of years but 10% has huge losses. Just construct a slightly levered portfolio, with some protection against minor losses, but totally ex
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by fasthands9 1y ago
In college (about 15 years ago) I worked for a professor who was compiling precint level results for old elections. My job was just to request the info and then do manual data entry. It was abysmally slow. This application seems very good -
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by fasthands9 1y ago
I wouldn't touch Uber stock, but the PE ratio is only 15. My guess is the market is expecting them to be able to still grow in the next few years even if they eventually face tough competition. I think there's also the fact that i
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by fasthands9 1y ago
Interesting Q - though I predict they will largely look the same. They may have more battery charging stations or replacement batteries (especially for stations on an interstate) but otherwise I think it will just be a nicer version of what
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by fasthands9 1y ago
That's very fair. Index funds are conventional wisdom now, but I do suspect there was a long time where they were undervalued because fees were high. Now, everyone is encouraged to invest in them and do think the conventional wisdom in
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by fasthands9 1y ago
When I was born in 1990 my grandparents spent like 5k on government bonds that my dad didn't tell me about until I was 30. It was a very nice treat, but when I did the math to see how much more it would have been if just invested in th
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by fasthands9 1y ago
The thing is I imagine the LLM would be able to write a code that counted the lines and outputted what is on line 27. It seems inevitable (in a way that scares me) that a good model in the near future would know enough to write that file an
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by fasthands9 1y ago
I find these discussions hard to decipher because usually the headline is not capturing what really happened. At the same time, I really can easily imagine many scenarios where AI agents cause catastrophic harm in the real world.
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by fasthands9 1y ago
I feel like there is a market effect where people gravitate away from fake content. There are a lot of subreddits where people post text stories. Ten years ago I think these were more authentic, but today they are overwhelmed with fake stor
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by fasthands9 1y ago
>Invent rejuvenation I definitely don't think we have succeeded in "invented" this, but it surely has happened slowly over time. People in theirs 60s today are surely sharper than they used to be, with less chronic physica
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by fasthands9 1y ago
I don't think this is material to the user? Say I own a house and I just rent it out a few weeks a year. Even if it's not a source of income I am still going to price it to the highest amount that people are willing to pay.
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by fasthands9 1y ago
This is a very good point. But I still think it was inevitable that cities caught up, either by restricting AirBNB units or giving in and allowing more hotel construction. There was no path for Airbnb to grow for 30 years without it ending
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by fasthands9 1y ago
I disagree. In the long run there was never a way for individual hosts to compete with hotels on price. Hotels have economy of scale so of course they are going to be better bang for the buck in places where both are options. I think airbnb
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by fasthands9 1y ago
That link isn't showing most of the options. I believe there were at least 10 above him. Just individually look at the lines for Zuppi, Pizzaballa, Sarah, etc.

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