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fanzhang
searching Neon…
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5 ms
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1.
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fanzhang
2mo ago
It's not just RNG. Men are known to have more variance so top record holder can be a very different spread than the 10th best person of each gender.
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fanzhang
1y ago
If they put the sign up first, you wouldn't know how much more information you'd need to give before doing a search (just a string), and that seems like it would undersell themselves. This seems a lot better than those quizzes or
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fanzhang
1y ago
Bingo -- analysts of Trump are way too overeager to attribute "4D Chess" super analytics driven goals to Trump. In reality, he's doing exactly what is on the tin: reducing tariffs, and doing what he wants to do, because he fe
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fanzhang
3y ago
Mostly because the definition of decent life has shot upwards way faster than economic standards. From fixed standards, the median kid being raised today is doing way better than 100 years ago, even though people chose to have way more kids
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fanzhang
3y ago
Agree that this is how papers are often judged, but strong disagree on how this is how papers should be judged. This is exactly the problem of reviewers looking for the keys under the lamp post (does the paper check these boxes), versus wh
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fanzhang
4y ago
Yes -- all the people I know withdrawing from small banks are going to Chase or Morgan Stanley. These largest banks have to mark-to-market their losses and have a lot of cash (short duration) assets, and are literally too big to fail.
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fanzhang
4y ago
Does this show that current markets are working? Seems like the lowest cost energy storage solution are NG peakers, and it does seem like the US has a lot of gas energy production: https://www.eia.gov/tools/faqs/f
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fanzhang
4y ago
If this were a concern, a user can easily bypass this by having a work-for-hire person add a minor transform layer on top of the DALL-E generated images right?
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fanzhang
4y ago
A lot of replies on twitter critique dang on moderating their comments. But in reality, I think this is a good thing. There are already enough near-total-free speech zones on the Internet (and we see how many of them turn out). It's
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fanzhang
4y ago
The Copenhagen interpretation of ethics: you're automatically morally neutral if you don't take action. https://blog.jaibot.com/the-copenhagen-interpretation-of-eth...
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fanzhang
5y ago
Ah okay thanks for replying. That's great to hear you're speaking from experience then. Did you need to convince your spouse of it or was your spouse for it all along? Sometime I think having these conversations is hard. Also
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fanzhang
5y ago
Is this something you've done yourself (either cohabing or getting married is fine), or is this more theoretical / speculative?
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fanzhang
5y ago
Well for almost any service, people would rather prefer it to be free than paid, so it's almost an instinctive emotional reaction. Google being huge makes it a particularly easy target.
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fanzhang
5y ago
When I first heard about LIBOR in 2002, I was surprised that the number is just based on a survey of bankers. Surely there would be accuracy issues with that? But at that time I was young and had no finance experience, so though that the a
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fanzhang
5y ago
Some classes must be more equal than others!
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fanzhang
5y ago
Another view is that it's a great illustration of the relative price trends in the last 50 years. Healthcare has gone way up in price, and tech way down. What was a supercomputer 50 years ago is now a small fraction of the cost of a
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fanzhang
5y ago
Technically anything is "possible" -- but what does the Bayesian weight of evidence say at this point?
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fanzhang
5y ago
Is there any evidence of this in the data above (or elsewhere)? Labor productivity is a low degree-of-freedom datapoint and your explanation is indirect and has a lot of degrees of freedom.
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fanzhang
5y ago
Is there not a single dimension in which the paper is novel? If not, it seems like a mistake to publish this.
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fanzhang
5y ago
It would be way more convincing if the Arthur used primary historical source documents to justify this as a myth. For example, if he could find an old architect who wrote that the spiral staircases were for aesthetic reasons or for making
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fanzhang
5y ago
Your hypothesis of "bullwhip effect" would predict that global inventories are increasing (thus causing a surge in demand). However it doesn't square with all the graphs in the article that show inventories across the world
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fanzhang
5y ago
First, a nitpick about a theme prevalent in psychological research: drawing sweeping conclusions from a single specific experiment. Here the "broad conclusion drawn" is that depressed people see the world more realistically -- whi
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fanzhang
5y ago
Crazy. Was this just the result of a typo? Perhaps not, considering: - The transaction sender set both the max total fee and the max priority fee to above 10 million. Most UIs require at least two manual setting changes to do this. - The
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fanzhang
5y ago
Good point. To add an exception to the original article then, perhaps the only general method to detect fraud is the trivial method: assume everything is fraud. In practice though for most goals it's probably better to trade off Type 1
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fanzhang
5y ago
'Nothing incriminating" doesn't mean it it should be fully discounted. The suicide theory is the strongest one in absence of a better explanation.
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fanzhang
6y ago
Not sure if this study will replicate: The study had about 30 participants, with 15 in each arm, so that's not a lot of statistical power to begin with. Both the low-glucose-label and high-glucose-label arms showed a spike in actual me
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fanzhang
6y ago
I don't see the point of the essay as how brilliant of an independent thinker he is, or even that being an independent thinker makes you a better person. The essay is useful because has specific tactical points on how to think better:
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fanzhang
6y ago
Your solution would work well if everyone (or nearly all people) agreed to migrate to it. It may need to be in a few steps. The first step might be, for a 5 year period, mail clients display a warning saying the sending domain doesn't
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fanzhang
6y ago
What's the right policy solution to this? Genuinely asking. The proximal problems pointed out here are: - CA power transmission infrastructure is under maintained. - CA has overgrown forests of which anything can be a catalyst for for
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fanzhang
6y ago
Are you actually their marginal customer though -- as in are you going to buy one of their competitors with high chance? If so, then can you talk about which names you like more and they can do better. If you weren't in the market to
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