fantasticshower

9 ms·

1.
by fantasticshower 3y ago
Thanks for that first link. I'm interested to see what the conclusions are.
2.
by fantasticshower 3y ago
Could a diet where you only eat the meat from one slaughtered cow be the ideal vegan diet? One consciousness killed. This approach would require purchasing a half from a local farmer who raises 100% grass fed animals and makes his own hay.
3.
by fantasticshower 3y ago
I should probably finish reading it but doesn't "Guns, Germs and Steel" give a totally non-racial explanation for what they are saying?
4.
by fantasticshower 3y ago
Part of me hates Walmart and part of me loves it. I love that I can go to one place and get 80% of whatever I'm looking for. But I also like the specialty stores my town has. N of one but since Walmart moved in ~20y ago I haven't
5.
by fantasticshower 3y ago
It is your opinion that your filters and methods for discerning truth or value are correct. But you think they are the method. We disagree about the methods obviously. Because we disagree you think there's something wrong with my c
6.
by fantasticshower 3y ago
I don't know you but I think you have categorized me as one of "them" (people who don't think critically) and have been arguing with me from that perspective. I think you have a rigid idea of what the right idea is with
7.
by fantasticshower 3y ago
It's so interesting to me that your conclusion about me is that I'm not a critical thinker. If you knew me in real life you'd rank me among the most critical thinkers you know (or my whole life experience is wrong). I think i
8.
by fantasticshower 3y ago
More examples of you assuming the worst about me. I'm well aware of what you posted. My sarcasm didn't go through. I mean no one has written a published and cited paper about our conversation. Therefore no one should make any deci
9.
by fantasticshower 3y ago
Probably best to just ignore everything we've both said (including this advice). There haven't been any published and cited papers about this thread yet so it's too early to tell whether there's anything of value here.
10.
by fantasticshower 3y ago
For anyone left reading, let this be a live demonstration of how it can be a waste of time to try to convince someone on the Internet their thinking is wrong. I'm pretty sure Zetice hasn't changed their mind on anything. I haven&#
11.
by fantasticshower 3y ago
I guess we'll have to disagree about whether I'm capable of investigating their claims. Maybe you aren't and that's well and good for you. If you cannot investigate their claims, I don't think there's much more
12.
by fantasticshower 3y ago
It's a logical fallacy to assume what they are saying is false because they might stand to profit from it. They might be biased but can't we investigate their claims independently?
13.
by fantasticshower 3y ago
We certainly have different types of filters. Your filter apparently catches blogs and that's fine. I feel I've been exposed to many interesting things on blogs. I'm sure others would agree. Your model/filter may be bett
14.
by fantasticshower 3y ago
You may just ignore this (dear thread-reader may not!) since it's on a blog but how do you fit this into your mental model of market phenomena? https://allocatesmartly.com/diving-deeper-does-the-day-of-th...
15.
by fantasticshower 3y ago
If you're open-minded, give the paper a read. They suggest a method, that you can verify yourself, for figuring out which months are likely to be worse. The paper you shared defines "in the market" as long equities and "
16.
by fantasticshower 3y ago
A lot of people would be better off it they just took a $100 a month and put it under their mattress, i.e. throwing money into a pit. There are obviously many better ideas than that. Thank for for that paper, I'll give it a read. The n
17.
by fantasticshower 3y ago
I'm not sure why I feel the need to convince you. I think your confidence in the face of contradictory evidence that I've seen triggers something on an emotional level for me. I also feel confident I am correct but you disagree. H
18.
by fantasticshower 3y ago
I'll admit I haven't read the book completely or in a long time but is it not about how the EMH is true and so anything other than B&H low-cost index funds is a fruitless pursuit? Doesn't he back that up with the random w
19.
by fantasticshower 3y ago
Perhaps they were some of the most functional humans despite their alcohol consumption.
20.
by fantasticshower 3y ago
I don't believe the EMH is settled nor that markets follow a random walk. There is academic literature to back up both sides of both of those beliefs. Things aren't as settled as you make them out to be, and that's OK. What&#
21.
by fantasticshower 3y ago
For the curious thread-reader, here are some websites that offer ideas that might make you question whether all "timing the market" is the same and equally bad long term. - https://portfoliocharts.com/portfolios&#x
22.
by fantasticshower 3y ago
I am more worried that when I want to start selling them so I can retire coincides with the beginning of a long drawdown. I suppose one way to address this risk would be to save even more and don't retire until you have way more than y
23.
by fantasticshower 3y ago
I think we're agreeing that you need a strategy and you need to stick to it. Where we differ (I think) is you think my strategy is objectively bad and yours is objectively good. I don't think we really know what each others strate
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by fantasticshower 3y ago
I do think it's important to be aware of our emotions when it comes to money and investing. I've realized that I won't be comfortable enduring drawdowns much more than 20% and so I've found alternative strategies that le
25.
by fantasticshower 3y ago
We all choose what investment strategy to follow. I have chosen other strategies that have smaller drawdowns. In the case where I have to tap into my retirement account because of unlucky life circumstances, I'm happier that I'm s
26.
by fantasticshower 3y ago
> It is thus to your advantage if the ETF is really low for a really long time. As long as you don't start retirement at the beginning of one of those decade-long periods where the market is flat. It would hurt to have to start sell
27.
by fantasticshower 3y ago
I hear people say, in finance and in other domains, that sticking to the plan is the key. I think it's an essential principle to keep in mind to be an effective human. Many diets will work if you'll just stick to them. Find an inv
28.
by fantasticshower 3y ago
It seems kind of like circular logic to me. What is the market? The market is something like the returns of the S&P 500 index. How do we get the returns of the market? Make a fund that tracks the S&P 500 index. Why do we have funds
29.
by fantasticshower 3y ago
> I held all my stocks because, well, what else was I going to invest in? I recently learned about a class of investment strategies called tactical asset allocation. One aspect of TAA is to switch to some other asset when your main one
30.
by fantasticshower 3y ago
My thinking used to be this way but then I experienced some things in life that made me consider the non-zero possibility that something could happen to me that would require me to tap into retirement savings. If my retirement strategy invo

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