eldavido

7 ms·

1.
by eldavido 7mo ago
Yeah I think there are two problems First: we may have gone too far toward anti-pollution. China has more naval vessels than the US. Everything changes when peace isn't a foregone conclusion, as it has been for the past 30? 50? years.
2.
by eldavido 7mo ago
Vincent - nice work on this, there's clearly a good kernel of insight here, and I can tell you've been at this a couple years. I completed a (rather large) contract to reverse-engineer, and eventually rebuild, a hotel chain's
3.
by eldavido 7mo ago
I'd be interested to see concrete examples of this, if they exist.
4.
by eldavido 10mo ago
Hard agree with both points--this feels way closer to reality than most of what I've read. On recession: cost of living is becoming crisis-level. I read recently that 67% of Americans are paycheck-to-paycheck. 150k/yr is 12k/
5.
by eldavido 1y ago
The blue-collar version of this, which I think distills the essence well: "Does life start when you clock in, or clock out?" Very critical difference in mindset and the reason a lot of these conversations end up talking past each
6.
by eldavido 2y ago
It's 11 people. It's a band breaking up, not Microsoft choosing its fourth CEO.
7.
by eldavido 2y ago
I tried to automate a big chunk of property management (mostly commercial) over the past few years. The main thing I realized is that it's mostly a people business, and AI (or computers generally) are never going to stand over a vendor
8.
by eldavido 2y ago
I think these aren't more popular because actually, there are things that genuinely suck about small business ownership. Offhand: stress, uncertainty/having to make payroll, having a significant % of your net worth tied up in a si
9.
by eldavido 2y ago
A perspective I've found helpful is to think about a fund as a business, which it is. Let's assume a hypothetical case of running a $100 million tech investment fund. The first 10-11% of return should go straight to investors (not
10.
by eldavido 2y ago
This analysis sounds very "smart" but in my opinion, contains little of substantial value. Just make something a lot of people want, but can't currently get. That's the recipe.
11.
by eldavido 3y ago
Maybe the bigger lesson is that, beyond family and a few close friends, the world doesn't generally care how you feel? You way of saying it is nicer, granted.
12.
by eldavido 3y ago
Grad school...with all the politics to match.
13.
by eldavido 3y ago
So I think it's worth discussing this a bit. Maybe there was a time when this wasn't true. I spent a lot of the 2010s working in San Francisco tech jobs. It was quite enjoyable and I just got back from a guy's wedding who I w
14.
by eldavido 3y ago
I think this portends a larger culture shift in Silicon Valley tech that, in my opinion, cannot come quickly enough. Here you've got a guy, 18 years at Google, probably earning somewhere between 500k-1mil per year , probably $5-10 mil
15.
by eldavido 3y ago
Bit of unsolicited advice. It's very possible you've had a great career as a programmer. But for better or worse, high schools are academic environments where you can't write "elligable" and expect to be taken serio
16.
by eldavido 3y ago
Keep in mind this has to include downside protection to cover the very real risk of someone initiating a suit in case they screw up (which I'm sure happens from time to time). I think overall, what a lot of this entire discussion misse
17.
by eldavido 3y ago
Not really. 20-30% effective on income including CA's 9.4% at ~40k, plus 10-20k in property taxes, 10%+ in sales taxes, excise taxes on everything from gasoline to alcohol, and various "fees" that are really taxes including a
18.
by eldavido 3y ago
The problem with licensure is that there are many markets where the number of licensed professionals is zero. My wife reminds me of this--she grew up in rural Idaho, where many things I take for granted (e.g. electricians, medical care) gro
19.
by eldavido 3y ago
This is it. There's real skill in creating simple solutions to complex problems. Knowing the general landscape of what's out there, and easily available off the shelf, really does help. Developers grow. It starts with simple code
20.
by eldavido 3y ago
You want to make it hard on yourself, that's your business.
21.
by eldavido 3y ago
I think this is more in line with how hiring works for senior jobs. I've been part of 50+ hiring decisions and do it like this. Social stuff is absolutely the first thing I'm checking. It's a quick test to spot total lies, e.
22.
by eldavido 3y ago
I think we're going to see a lot of this. I worked in self-driving and the stuff always 95% worked. Never 100. This is useful in some ways. Thinking about situations like pre-release software testing, there are exploratory test cases t
23.
by eldavido 3y ago
Forget management. This post is about the proper exercise of power. Don't run from it. Parents, landlords, even political leaders deal with this stuff. First, good leadership is something we should celebrate. It is very hard, requires
24.
by eldavido 3y ago
I used to feel this way. But then I realized this is the natural push/pull of conservatism against progress. Incumbents get old and conservative. New companies crop up and try to do things differently. Sometimes the new ideas are stupi
25.
by eldavido 3y ago
Honestly, good luck trying. Seriously. (Fellow founder here.)
26.
by eldavido 3y ago
Came here to say this. I'm a small real estate owner (alongside running a tech co). I spent about 90 minutes yesterday reviewing an agency agreement giving a brokerage the exclusive right to market one of my units (commercial) for leas
27.
by eldavido 3y ago
I've been reading that this change (hub and spoke to decentralized) was already a big effect of COVID. I like trains, but an alternative could be electric buses, with Uber Pool-like dynamic routing. I'm not sure how the speed woul
28.
by eldavido 3y ago
I think this is right. I'm married with kids and have little desire to go to an office. It was indeed different when I Was younger -- I didn't cook at home as much so enjoyed office lunches with coworkers, I lived in a smaller apa
29.
by eldavido 3y ago
Narrowing down a bit, I think it's the "downtown business district" that's on the way out -- and the accompanying high office rents, long commutes, etc. My home is a place of rest and family, not work. Work happens at a
30.
by eldavido 3y ago
Electrical work, particularly high-end commercial/industrial. Well-paid, lots of the same structured reasoning/debugging as code, and demand is exploding.

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