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daxfohl
searching Neon…
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1.
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daxfohl
19d ago
That's exciting, and kind of makes sense in retrospect. Sometimes a "fresh pair of eyes" on a problem can be all you need. Someone who comes in with a different background and can understand the problem in different terms and
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daxfohl
1mo ago
My manager said "load-bearing" during a presentation the other day and I almost lost it.
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daxfohl
1mo ago
Pretty sure this was LLMs musing about LLMs. A little too slick with the analogies and a lot of the "you don't get x, you get y" mic drops.
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daxfohl
2mo ago
Also, find the right manager and the right role. With a manager that expects a highly regimented routine, you probably aren't going to do so well. With a manager that lets you explore and be more creative, you might do a lot better. I&
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daxfohl
3mo ago
To be devil's advocate, two things may offer a glimmer of hope: First, math, generally, is useless. I mean, yes there are of course practical uses of basic thru undergrad-level math, and some beyond that. But for many mathematicians, t
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daxfohl
3mo ago
"We broke our monolith into microservices and wish we hadn't"
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daxfohl
3mo ago
Microsoft has their own Durable Task framewor[1] for that kind of stuff, and it supports both running as a self-hosted standalone service like temporal, and running serverless on Azure Functions. It actually predated airflow, temporal, etc.
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daxfohl
4mo ago
Google should bring back Google Reader. But make it only for bots. And then drop it again once it gets popular.
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daxfohl
4mo ago
For me, besides creatine which has been genuinely transformative at age 50, I've gained a lot more from the stuff I've dropped (dairy milk, ~2/3 of my caffeine (mostly by drinking reduced-caff coffee or tea and eliminating so
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daxfohl
4mo ago
> [CEOs] expressed more extreme concern about the labor market impacts of A.I. in private conversation, but suddenly became optimists once I turned on the mic. At some point once the rate of investment capital starts to decline, they
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daxfohl
4mo ago
So far there's no moat though. A lot of that kind of stuff is available open source too if you look for it (and was available before claude desktop). And for anything that doesn't exist, with coding agents now you can write one up
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daxfohl
4mo ago
Reminds me of the old short story "With Folded Hands" from 1947. https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/With_Folded_Hands_ ...
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daxfohl
4mo ago
Agreed, and assuming local open AI models start catching up, which they seem to be doing, the foundation models' hold on society gets a lot slipperier. If there's a "what to do about all this" from an engineer's sta
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daxfohl
4mo ago
One mitigating factor is the increased productivity leads to consolidation, aka layoffs, meaning fewer people to align with. (Leading to further increased productivity, more consolidation, and so on ... Whether this is a virtuous cycle or a
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daxfohl
4mo ago
That's the trillion dollar question! Not enough, then they're hamstrung before they can start. Too much, and the world ends. Extractable value is inversely proportional to how close you get to the critical limit. It's just im
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daxfohl
4mo ago
No need for insurance. Just start a prediction market, wait for an insider to play their cards, and traverse or not based on that.
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daxfohl
4mo ago
Though humans have each other to normalize ourselves. What these things did is probably not that far off from what humans in solitary confinement, forced to DJ 24/7 based on nothing but a news feed, would do. Especially DJ Claude, it&#
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daxfohl
4mo ago
> Part of the problem with this weak business performance, we think, was the harness we used for the first months. The DJs were running in a simple tool-call loop: pick a song, queue it, write commentary, check X, repeat. So we moved all
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daxfohl
4mo ago
Yeah and any detailed design is still likely to skip over "obvious" things like "only admin users can use admin features". Both the PM and the engineering team will understand this implicitly. But with AI, you never can
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daxfohl
6mo ago
I don't think there is a protection. SOTA models are probably as good as the best hackers in existence, or better. Once those can run locally, all you need is a prompt: 1. Clone yourself to as many machines as possible. Search the web
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daxfohl
6mo ago
Yeah I don't even think you'd need to train it. You could probably just explain how SVG works (or just tell it to emit coordinates of lines it wants to draw), and tell it to draw a horse, and I have to imagine it would be able to
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daxfohl
6mo ago
You could create an agent template for each incident you've ever had, with context pre-cached with the postmortem report, full code change, and any other information about the incident. Then for every new PR you could clone agents from
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daxfohl
6mo ago
Sounds like we've just gotten into lazy mode where we believe that whatever it spits out is good enough. Or rather, we want to believe it, and convince ourselves that some simple guardrail we put up will make it true, because God forbi
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daxfohl
6mo ago
He basically said that himself: "Reading, after a certain age, diverts the mind too much from its creative pursuits. Any man who reads too much and uses his own brain too little falls into lazy habits of thinking". -- Albert Einst
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daxfohl
6mo ago
I guess you need two things to make that happen. First, more specialization among models and an ability to evolve, else you get all instances thinking roughly the same thing, or deer in the headlights where they don't know what of the
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daxfohl
6mo ago
And "maintaining guardrails" may be far more grandiose than it sounds. It's like if we have this energy source that could destroy the planet, but the closer you get to it without going past some threshold, the energy you get
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daxfohl
6mo ago
I think the word "entirely" is missing from the last line. A significant amount of white collar tasks are getting replaced, and eventually that leads to a need for fewer white collar employees, which subsequently also leads to les
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daxfohl
6mo ago
I was there for three years. Every year a new top-level initiative, every year the new initiative failed to make a dent in the market. I think this shift was just an admission that the business is now in maintenance mode, harden up the exis
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daxfohl
6mo ago
Actually it occurs to me that even if we did have AGI, or even if ASI, heck if ASI even moreso, we'd still need desk jobs to maintain the guardrails. Intelligence is one thing, being able to figure out how get a task done (say). But un
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daxfohl
6mo ago
No, independently of OpenAI's definition. If we have AGI there's no reason we'd need to have humans working jobs that only involve typing stuff into a computer and going to meetings all day*. And if all those jobs are elimina
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