cthor

6 ms·

1.
by cthor 2mo ago
Switching costs are still low. Anthropic can only do this while they maintain frontier status, and while they do, they can charge whatever they want. An Oracle or Broadcom would fall behind and lose all its customers in an instant.
2.
by cthor 4mo ago
These are sensible criticisms and things one should be mindful of when using prediction markets as a signal (I would also add an awareness of how discount rates affect the reliability of markets that trade at low probabilities), but none of
3.
by cthor 4mo ago
That is not surprising. If your point is that 10% is not 5% and the odds change over time then you have unreasonable expectations. It's not an oracle. Where did I say it was? I said it's a quick and robust signal. Of course there&
4.
by cthor 4mo ago
The utility is a fairly robust signal about the probability of certain events occurring. It's pretty helpful for grounding your beliefs about the world (in certain domains). For example, I had a lot of people ask me about the Hantaviru
5.
by cthor 4mo ago
They are worried about both risks.
6.
by cthor 5mo ago
This is an insane response to someone having their carefully written work casually bastardized by an LLM that rewrote the entire design spec without even being informed. The amount of institutional noise generated by such carelessness far e
7.
by cthor 8mo ago
I read what you wrote and read it as sophistry. You reply by adding more. "It's why you believe [...]" But you don't know what I believe. "Scott Adams claimed [...] because of a response to a survey question [...]&q
8.
by cthor 8mo ago
Winning a primary would be nice.
9.
by cthor 8mo ago
They do. They understand you cited ADL in lieu of an argument. If it could stand on its own you wouldn't need the citation and guilt-by-association. They understand the culmination of all the surrounding context reduces to a schmittian
10.
by cthor 8mo ago
This demonstrates where a lot of the mismatch in impressions of this tech arise. The thousandth amateur Wonderwall rendition is not at all interesting as a piece of recorded music, but for the performer (and those listening around them) it
11.
by cthor 8mo ago
Not that this affects the political calculus (where perception may as well be reality), but the cost burden specific to universal healthcare is actually opposite this intuition. Things like obesity, smoking, and alcoholism all kill you befo
12.
by cthor 9mo ago
https://cthor.me/SSG Getting someone else's SSG to do exactly what you want (and nothing more) takes longer than just building it yourself. Juice isn't worth the squeeze.
13.
by cthor 1y ago
You must not have looked very far. Here's one example from circa 2011 https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=iN9E3vJzxk0 People respond to a camera shoved in their face. It's not felt the same as simply being looked at.
14.
by cthor 1y ago
See em dash in text Think text much more likely from robot than first thought Grug say this change too big from just one em dash
15.
by cthor 1y ago
Just because you want that to be "the key" doesn't make it so. You make that your singular focus and you let antisocial behaviour off the hook. That is your prerogative. For me, the key is the bait and switch. It's like
16.
by cthor 1y ago
Yes, yes. And a person who's pick-pocketed may well do better to protect their pockets. This does not absolve the thief. Reasonable people can disagree about the degree to which vendor lock-in is antisocial or the degree to which there
17.
by cthor 1y ago
Vendor lock-in is a thing. Switching costs are a thing. They know this. That's the whole business model. They're expecting that the cost of switching to outweigh the cost of the subscription. I get that this business model is fash
18.
by cthor 1y ago
Surgeons mark where on the body they're operating. This didn't used to be a standard practice. Asking "Did I mess up my left and right?" or "Is this the right patient?" feels like a stupid question to ask. I&#x
19.
by cthor 1y ago
Stopped reading at the graphic. None of those descriptions for dishes sound anything like what a developer would write. Just pure obscurantist nonsense. "Cow secretions" to refer to cheese? Really? Even though that's more amb
20.
by cthor 1y ago
It's a pretty good outcome, yeah. Kind of makes one wonder why copyright needs to be 70 years + life, when the overwhelming majority of sales are in the first year...
21.
by cthor 2y ago
It's a signal whether you like it or not. Saying "well shucks anything could go out of business" is meaningless. What partners and customers want to know is the liklihood of that happening. Moreover, going out of business
22.
by cthor 2y ago
You can short without tail risk, e.g. buying puts.
23.
by cthor 2y ago
There are no programs that will fully transpile Perl to not-Perl, because that would require parsing Perl. A code converter that kindof-sortof-but-not-really transpiles (like Python's 2to3) would require a lot of debugging of ugly mach
24.
by cthor 2y ago
ExifTool is merely a bunch of Perl code, which can't be parsed nor compiled to a program, i.e. computer instructions. There is nothing to port. The only other option is a rewrite. Does that really sound easier?
25.
by cthor 2y ago
> if a summary could fully capture the report, the author wouldn't have written the report, they'd just have written the summary That is not my experience with corporate writing in the slightest.
26.
by cthor 2y ago
Many people have an intrinsic motivation to share knowledge. Have a look at Wikipedia. There are enough of these people that we don't need to destroy the open Internet to accommodate those who only write when they expect to be paid.
27.
by cthor 2y ago
The odds of "the data" being gathered in a rigorous enough manner to have any truth value is exceedingly low. It's mostly a tactic to avoid accountability, much like consultants and committees.
28.
by cthor 2y ago
Rather than totally ignoring the slug, I prefer sending a 302 to the correct slug if the slug is absent or incorrect.
29.
by cthor 2y ago
Just because you don't understand it yet doesn't mean it isn't useful. An ideal version of CSS would remove the need for SASS, BEM, and any non-thematic framework. That we have to use those right now is a problem to be fixed.
30.
by cthor 3y ago
Maybe the author is a good writer with interesting things to say, but has a bad speaking voice?

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