counters

7 ms·

1.
by counters 9d ago
There's another tool which seemed to coordinate with the launch of WeatherNext 3 last week, the "Operational WeatehrBench" from Brightband -> https://owb.brightband.com/ It features a couple of AI and NWP
2.
by counters 9d ago
It's their two weather models, WeatherNext and MetNet.
3.
by counters 9d ago
They are, as are plenty of folks in the community. I expect to see some good talks on this at the AMS Annual Meeting in January, based solely on my own peer network and what colleagues have mentioned they're working on.
4.
by counters 10d ago
Please share some of that evidence.
5.
by counters 10d ago
There is little to no evidence that the current degradation of the US upper air backbone is regularly contributing to degraded forecast skill. That might change as we head into the more active northern hemisphere winter.
6.
by counters 10d ago
> I've heard some commentary in the past that 5G interferes with data measurements heavily used for weather forecasts (something about satellite measurements?) The short version of the "spectrum" issue is that 5G is being
7.
by counters 10d ago
WeatherNext 2 was based on the FGN architecture described in [1]. It was explicitly designed and trained to produce ensemble forecasts (it was trained in such a way that the output ensemble optimized a CRPS metrics). In fact, it was a set o
8.
by counters 10d ago
> Problem is that the WN3 grid is still quite rough (5km) - but a that's a brutal improvement for many places compared to many other global models. That's a pretty apples-and-oranges comparison. One would almost always use a hi
9.
by counters 10d ago
Why should they be such a boon? High-resolution, regional NWP with fast refresh has been a standard tool for over a decade.
10.
by counters 1mo ago
No, because 100% of the data that Google trains their models on comes from federal research investment.
11.
by counters 1mo ago
It was also forecast by virtually every NWP system multiple days ahead of time that it would make this intensification.
12.
by counters 1mo ago
I wish there was a way that your comment could be pinned. The context is so important here and radically re-frames the impact of GDM's results. Folks need to understand that with modern forecasting tools, we anticipate tropical cyclone
13.
by counters 1mo ago
For what it's worth, that paper is a spiritual successor to Keisler (2022) which was the first published work that took this approach: https://arxiv.org/abs/2202.07575
14.
Operational Weather Bench(owb.brightband.com)
3 points by counters 1mo ago|0 comments
15.
by counters 2mo ago
If there is an active attempt at privatizing NOAA then you should be able to point to specific, real-world things that are happening to effect this change.
16.
by counters 2mo ago
> Their budget proposals trying to slash a quarter of NOAA budgets doesn't seem like a cherry-picked issue... Because these aren't part of a plan specifically targeting NOAA. They're broad attacks on government infrastruct
17.
by counters 2mo ago
Before I rebut, I want to make very clear - I'm correcting the record because _in the future_ there could be serious threats to NOAA. Crying wolf today when things are tenuous but steady actively harms the community's preparation
18.
by counters 2mo ago
You do understand how this isn't an example of what I'm asking for, right? In 20 years worth of history - you can't identify a single piece of legislation or a single executive action to demonstrate an ongoing threat to NOAA?
19.
by counters 2mo ago
> Meanwhile you fully acknowledge they attempted to radically downsize twice in less than two years and acknowledge they've massively expanded the existing forecast commercialization. "No signs whatsoever" while you point
20.
by counters 2mo ago
And I dare you to find another attempt in the intervening 20 years. Santorum's bill was laughed out of Washington. It stands alone.
21.
by counters 2mo ago
I don't know who runs that website, but it has flat out falsehoods on it. If you search for "NOAA", two items come up with notes [1]: 1. "Note: The administration is firing NOAA employees and closing NOAA offices; reconc
22.
by counters 2mo ago
There have been no signs whatsoever that these types of changes would be happening. The only noticeable changes at NOAA - and anyone who works in the world of meteorology in the United States - have been a doubling down on existing, vetted
23.
by counters 2mo ago
And that literally isn't happening.
24.
by counters 2mo ago
Biased about what? There really isn't any Earth observation you could make that can't be grossly compared with other types of observations. There is literally no value in taking "biased" observations; where's the ma
25.
by counters 2mo ago
> The problem is that those very same private companies are trying really hard to ban the government from providing the same data for free to the general public, because it would be "unfair competition". In general, they aren&#
26.
by counters 2mo ago
There has not.
27.
by counters 2mo ago
I'm not aware of any private company that has a contract with NOAA or the NWS to privately disseminate the agency's weather data (either acquired itself or purchased commercially).
28.
by counters 3mo ago
Can you share more about who you are and what your firm does? Apologies if this interpretation is off-base, but I don't think it's a good thing that there is a nascent cottage industry of "software dev firms" that are el
29.
by counters 3mo ago
But not even. At least in the domain I work in, there is virtually no interest of engaging with these NSF programs. Regardless of what's put in writing in the calls for applicants, there's still a significant prejudice that NSF -
30.
by counters 3mo ago
That would be a crappy trade; today, the public benefits multiple times over as commercialization of technology drives the innovation economy. Who cares about sharing a measly fraction of direct profits when we all get long-term growth of o

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