comfysocks

7 ms·

1.
by comfysocks 7d ago
Here’s my theory about AVP. Apple’s strategic position is to be the main device by which apps and AI can gain access to end users. This puts them in a nice position to charge a toll on everything that passes through their device. Now if s
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by comfysocks 15d ago
Yes, “consistent with”. Thanks.
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by comfysocks 15d ago
To be fair to Ed, I’d describe his usual argument (at least currently) as saying that Meta, MS, google are “mature” companies trying to be maintain the high valuations and growth of a young company, which they no longer are. If you take thi
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by comfysocks 1mo ago
Agreed. With steak, the main point is to let the quality of the meat speak for itself. Too much input from the cook and you just get in the way of this.
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by comfysocks 1mo ago
Absolutely. I don’t know how strong their case is or isn’t, BUT if you hire Jony Ive and a bunch of Apple device people in order to build something that is a threat to the “Apple tax” revenue machine, they are coming after you without a do
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by comfysocks 2mo ago
It seems like the widely-covered news stories that support OpenAI’s narratives originate from things that happened inside OpenAI. It wasn’t an outside benchmark evaluation, or an external security researcher that uncovered the rogue agent b
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by comfysocks 2mo ago
And you need a rich person to do the exploiting. The power differential is a key ingredient.
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by comfysocks 2mo ago
> Can someone breakdown to me how this makes any sort of economical sense? Capital markets are excited by AI. By tying his rockets to AI with his vision of “orbital data centers”, Elon turned an $8 per share IPO (at least according to fi
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by comfysocks 3mo ago
Fair enough. I too use LLM coding tools all day everyday. If we’re specifically talking about the arguments in this thread, I have experienced both sides of the argument. Some use cases are more in-distribution than others. I wouldn’t d
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by comfysocks 3mo ago
Somewhere, someone may be painting an equally reductive picture of you and your position. You two are obviously smart people, but have you considered that maybe you are unconsciously being backed into a position that is just as absolutist a
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by comfysocks 3mo ago
> foreign labs Apparently not just foreign labs. It looks like xAI distilled Anthropic models to train grok. https://opentools.ai/news/xai-trained-coding-models-claude-o...
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by comfysocks 3mo ago
There are many possible futures, but the one that will come to pass is the one we collectively allow to happen. To a degree, of course. A future that I like to imagine is one where LLM scaling laws hit a plateau. Plateau-level LLMs become
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by comfysocks 3mo ago
Similarly, xAI “attacked” Anthropic and OpenAI to train grok. https://opentools.ai/news/xai-trained-coding-models-claude-o...
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by comfysocks 3mo ago
I had a similar experience at a bank some time ago. To sign up, you had to sign a digital pad without seeing what you were signing first. You could get a copy mailed to you later. At that future time, I was told, you could you cancel the
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by comfysocks 3mo ago
A bullied kid finds refuge in sci-fi and fantasy books. This kid builds a mental fantasy world where they get revenge on their tormentors. In this mental fantasy world, every self-serving thing they do is “righteous”, because it undoes the
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by comfysocks 3mo ago
Tesla has a problem. Its sky-high valuation is based on the potential upside from “visionary” sci-fi future programs. However, the narratives are losing credibility. Once upon a time, Robotaxi and Optimus sounded like visionary futuristic
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by comfysocks 3mo ago
If you apply Occam’s razor, this explanation stands out.
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by comfysocks 3mo ago
> "We need an approach to make sure AI doesn't destroy the world and wipe humanity to extinction." "Yeah, and quotas on web scrapers!" —— I see it as: “Let’s do a study on abstract future concerns.” Vs. “Let’s ta
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by comfysocks 3mo ago
I hate this kind of thing too, but realistically this is every newspaper/digital that I’ve subscribed to ever. In a way, I get it. The new media landscape has put traditional news organizations in an existential crisis. I would hate
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by comfysocks 3mo ago
An easy way out might be to just ask the candidate how they got from one step to another. That way you can differentiate between “toxic, so smart i can’t communicate” and “non-toxic, so smart that i honestly thought the step seemed trivial
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by comfysocks 3mo ago
When the author says “crimes”, I didn’t take it to mean a literal criminal enterprise, but instead casual-speak for something like “bad governance”. It’s like if you saw some bad programming practices and casually called them “programming
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by comfysocks 4mo ago
Sure, indiscriminate tokenmaxxing is a gamble that can pay off sometimes. However, I think that the decision to take any gamble should be made by someone who will bear responsibility for the downside as well as the upside. I would prefer
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by comfysocks 4mo ago
That reads a bit like: an equal role in external politics, but not in internal church politics. It’s hard to have a role in politics if you don’t have a voice.
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by comfysocks 4mo ago
>>I have found that, for many of the statements about what AI should do, I would actally be happier if the letters "AI" were replaced with "companies" Perhaps, but at the moment AI is at the forefront of the pre-re
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by comfysocks 4mo ago
To me, the problem is when IP laws are stretched and abused by big corporations (like, say Disney) or by patent trolls. If IP laws could work in a way that gave limited and reasonable protections to actual creators and innovators, then I d
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by comfysocks 4mo ago
But this new tool is not a blacksmith’s tool in the traditional sense. It’s more like an automated blacksmith that works fast, for cheap, does mediocre work, but has this mediocre skill level in an exceptional broad range of tasks.
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by comfysocks 4mo ago
Yes, and potentially extracts the wealth at the cost of the new grad’s job prospects. Can you imagine a few decades earlier some former corporate executive giving a commencement speech at a US college extolling the virtues of offshoring, an
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by comfysocks 4mo ago
> I seriously doubt it. Scaling is already strained (don't buy into the "exponential" hype). And, in any case, the competition will be against the frontier models that will exist in two years. But even if scaling plateaus
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by comfysocks 5mo ago
Railroad looks huge on the GDP (estimate) chart because the US transcontinental railroad was built in the mid 1800’s when the US economy was relatively tiny.
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by comfysocks 6mo ago
Yeah, EVs are completely mundane now. Not sexy enough of a story to justify the high PE ratios anymore. I think this is the reason for the weird pivot to humanoid robots and for taking SpaceX public even though he originally said he wouldn

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