cjbillington

11 ms·

1.
by cjbillington 1y ago
The lasers alone set you back many tens of k so it's not really possible to do on the cheap presently, even if a lot of the cost is expertise and the high overhead of R&D costs when only producing small number of units. Oh and to k
2.
by cjbillington 1y ago
The Carnot limit is the theoretical upper limit of the efficiency of a heat pump, so the stated number is presumably with respect to that, not heat moved per unit energy input like you're quoting.
3.
by cjbillington 1y ago
If it's true that more phones will allow people to be more productive, that increase in productivity should show up in GDP as well
4.
by cjbillington 1y ago
I don't think there'll be any significant drop on a sub-decade timescale unless there's some kind of financial crisis, but the ideal kind of trend is prices stagnating or growing slower than wages, which is the case right now
5.
by cjbillington 1y ago
Melbourne property prices actually haven't recovered from their 2022 peak, and that's before adjusting for inflation. I believe rents are down in real terms as well. Things have been crazy for a long time, but I am actually optimi
6.
by cjbillington 1y ago
They'll show up in the diff. Grep will find them too, but any in the diff you'll know for sure were added by you.
7.
by cjbillington 1y ago
Huh, that's not my recollection. Mercurial on windows was "download tortoisehg, use it", whereas git didn't have a good GUI and was full of footguns about line endings and case-insensitivity of branch names and the like.
8.
by cjbillington 2y ago
Based on the other examples of random inputs not being sufficient, I dare say the fish-based attempt may have been fraudulent.
9.
by cjbillington 2y ago
It took me to the end of your comment to realise the crucial bit I was missing: that they're talking about implementing the CPU on an FPGA . As opposed to, say, interfacing with an FPGA which could be totally different way to be &qu
10.
by cjbillington 2y ago
They had some Starlink simulators they were planning to deploy (to a suborbital trajectory, to re-enter along with the ship) this launch.
11.
by cjbillington 2y ago
As of his latest scan in November, 18 months post surgery, Scolyer's cancer hasn't recurred [1]. Average time to recurrence post-surgery is 6 months. Don't want to leap to conclusions prematurely, but that might be some progr
12.
by cjbillington 2y ago
If you're talking about "whalebait" markets on manifold, that's a bit disingenuous - these are markets where the thing you're betting about is related to trading behaviour itself, i.e. self-referential markets. I do
13.
by cjbillington 2y ago
They've actually been having to dump propellant in order to more accurately test what a Starship in orbit would be like, given they're not flying with a payload that would consume that propellant on ascent, but that they still wan
14.
by cjbillington 2y ago
That is indeed what you get with tidal forces - bodies closer than geostationary orbit lose angular momentum and decay inward, bodies further out steal angular momentum from Earth and move outward. I suppose the same effect is there with sa
15.
by cjbillington 2y ago
This might be what you meant, but the ordered dicts are faster, no? I believe ordering was initially an implementation detail that arose as part of performance optimisations, and only later declared officially part of the spec.
16.
by cjbillington 2y ago
Python for one, and given that, I'd assume most languages.
17.
by cjbillington 2y ago
They believe it works because it does work! "Chain of thought" prompting is a well-established method to get better output from LLMs.
18.
by cjbillington 2y ago
What do they do instead? Given we're not talking to a base model.
19.
by cjbillington 2y ago
FWIW, the fact that the recession market on Manifold doesn't resolve until the end of 2025 (to give the NBER time to declare a recession) limits how low people will push the probability. I'm the biggest NO holder, and my credence
20.
by cjbillington 2y ago
The Fed is expected to cut soon regardless, not to bail out the government but because inflation is falling. I imagine that will be the resolution to this. Perhaps rates won't go as low as you're suggesting, but they are expected
21.
by cjbillington 2y ago
> Does your hardware vendor offer long term support for Linux? This seems muddled. If the CNC manufacturer puts Linux on an embedded device to operate the CNC, they're the hardware manufacturer and it's up to them to pick a chi
22.
by cjbillington 2y ago
Like with a laptop trackpad? I'm smooth-scrolling through these comments right now, and don't remember when scrolling wasn't smooth by default on any trackpad.
23.
by cjbillington 2y ago
It is. They didn't remove the UI option, they just swapped it out under the hood for the "juniper" voice.
24.
by cjbillington 2y ago
No, I can't say I understand it fully - but if the clock goes backwards, peers will not talk to a client again until I restart the other peers' wireguard services. No matter if the client's clock is subsequently correct. Fo
25.
by cjbillington 2y ago
The wireguard problem is a pain in the neck. Even if you're happy for your system to not have a realtime clock, when it does come online you'd want wireguard to not start until after the clock has synced to a timeserver. The below
26.
by cjbillington 3y ago
Pretty much. The model outputs a number for each possible token, but rather than just picking the token with the biggest number, each number x is fed to exp(x/T) and then the resulting values are treated as proportional to probabilitie
27.
by cjbillington 3y ago
(author of the linked comment here) To my understanding, image generation models like this start with an image of random noise, and refine it iteratively. The initial conditions for this process can be made to be deterministic by using a fi
28.
by cjbillington 7y ago
At the time the theories were put forward, Sanders supporters believed Sanders was to come out in front, so they thought the delay was harming him. Both sanders and Buttigieg were claiming their internal numbers showed them in front. Sander
29.
by cjbillington 7y ago
No doubt they are using floats (well, doubles) - these models are usually coupled partial differential equations, propagated forward through time over the earth's surface using finite-difference or finite-element methods. It's unl
30.
by cjbillington 7y ago
Yeah I considered extending it to automatically pop into the frame where the exception happened, but this is actually not as useful as it sounds, since the exception is usually much deeper in some other library and not in your code where yo

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