angelzen

8 ms·

1.
by angelzen 5y ago
Update: the error belongs, indeed, to the RKI crew: https://twitter.com/Tim_Roehn/status/1477975486764572675 Via Google translate: "Update: The RKI made a significant change in the weekly report 4 days after
2.
by angelzen 5y ago
Interesting. * 30.12.2021 RKI Wochenbericht reads "1.097 Patientinnen und Patienten waren ungeimpft, 4.020 waren vollständig geimpft, von diesen wurde für 1.137 eine Auffrischimpfung angegeben." * 23.12.2021 RKI Wockenbericht read
3.
by angelzen 5y ago
Similar figures from Denmark, reported as rates and broke down by age groups. Waiting for severe omicron cases stats, which may lag for a few weeks. We are in for an interesting winter... https://covid19danmark.dk/#gennembru
4.
by angelzen 5y ago
In a free society the job of the media is to report the facts, not to "keep the raving mad in check".
5.
by angelzen 5y ago
This leads to 2 twitters, one for each side of the political aisle. Filter bubbles enabled by social media are already bad enough, a complete fracture of the public space along political lines is a distinctly dangerous idea.
6.
by angelzen 5y ago
Since you are not posting your sources, it's hard to tell what claims of Marjorie Taylor Greene you are referring to. I recently stumbled upon a site that reports on covid data from Denmark. The rate of Omicron infection in both vaccin
7.
by angelzen 5y ago
(2nd attempt, realized the outlier spike is in "unvaccinated and 80+" category). Utter garbage data. Using the breakdown by age we note a huge outlier spike in unvaccinated cases in the 80+ age group, 800/100k vs. 5-10/1
8.
by angelzen 5y ago
Not a big fan of nuclear because of security and waste disposal issues, but quoting 3 accidents over a span of 60 years as a reason for a blanket ban on a whole class of energy production technologies is hyper safetyism.
9.
by angelzen 5y ago
Perhaps this Twitter thread (sorry) may help alleviate some of the fears? The author is a full professor working on computational biology at University College London and had prior to that had a stint working on infectious disease epidemiol
10.
by angelzen 5y ago
Your note on misuse of VAERS data caught my attention: "deaths happening shortly after vaccinations, but not necessarily connected to it". Apparently the same kind of sleigh of hand is widespread practice in mainstream epidemiolog
11.
by angelzen 5y ago
Indeed. A few more examples of fundamental systems advances since 2000: iOS, Android (intents), Chrome (multiprocess), Kubernetes, Cloudflare Durable Objects (collaboration), WASM, Rust, Typescript, Golang, Pytorch, JAX, Bitcoin, Ethereum.
12.
by angelzen 5y ago
"Python is basically slowly becoming a TypeScript." If only.
13.
by angelzen 5y ago
"We've measured the position of iron balls thrown at different speeds from a 56m tall tower and found they were 90% likely to be found flying in the air." This is technically correct, yet fundamentally misleading. The same st
14.
by angelzen 5y ago
Given that boosters are an attempt to counteract waning vaccine vaccine effectiveness, there are two fundamental questions: 1. Do boosters work at all? 2. Do boosters wane over time, just like the original shots did? They answer only 1. The
15.
by angelzen 5y ago
From the paper I originally linked: "Infection with one serotype likely elicits lifelong immunity to that serotype, but generally not against the other three." Dengue researchers routinely talk about lifelong original antigenic
16.
by angelzen 5y ago
Long-lasting original antigenic sin is well documented at least for dengue. "Original antigenic sin has the advantage that a response can be rapidly mobilized from memory. However, the downside is that in some cases, such as dengue, th
17.
by angelzen 5y ago
Network effects. As long as the other kids socialize on social media, not using social media becomes a drastic socialization penalty. The problem cannot be solved individually, only by collective action. Most parents must ban social media (
18.
by angelzen 5y ago
The point of 1/ 2/ 3/ ... threads is to enable out of context deep linking. They are not going away, lest Twitter becomes yet another run-of-the mill blog platform nobody engages with.
19.
by angelzen 5y ago
old.twitter.com, I hope.
20.
by angelzen 5y ago
Not really. Team X uses Java? Someone on the team takes 1 hour to create YamlPlus.java, submits to the monorepo. Now team X + all the other 100(0) teams that use Java have access to a yaml+ parser. Same with Golang, JS, Python, C++, cli che
21.
by angelzen 5y ago
Coding is values, arrays, dicts, ifs, loops and functions. An expressive set-like operations library over arrays (& dicts) gives superpowers.
22.
by angelzen 5y ago
Overreaction? Let's hypothetically consider yaml+, with the definition: yaml+ = yaml "\n" "." * easy to wrap a yaml parser and create a yaml+ validating parser. * easy to create a simple script to validate th
23.
by angelzen 5y ago
The vaccine is not the virus. If you take a stochastical approach to understanding immunity, that raises questions whether one can be substituted for the other in the long term. Derek Lowe has a good elementary introduction in the subject.
24.
by angelzen 5y ago
Vaccine mandates enforced by heavy fines and/or prison are criminalizing being unvaccinated with the number of "boosters" the authorities deem necessary. Justified by group "crime" statistic differentials. We may ar
25.
by angelzen 5y ago
This is probably the right course of action. However, it is unfeasible to derive a fair tax level in the current climate. Too many people look to force conformity and/or exact punishment, instead of engaging in a good faith tradeoff ne
26.
by angelzen 5y ago
True, unvaccinated people are being hospitalized at a higher rate and for a longer duration. However, we are not talking about "the unvaccinated", rather about "a tiny unfortunate fraction of unvaccinated people". There
27.
by angelzen 5y ago
True. Thank you for acknowledging the point and adding further qualifications. Public discourse is rather disheartening. The options are either 100% vaccination or 0% vaccination, either strict house confinement or nightly clubbing, either
28.
by angelzen 5y ago
As I already replied elsewhere in this thread, as of 12/02/2021 German CDC estimates 7-day R-value as 0.92. That is below 1. https://www.rki.de/DE/Content/InfAZ/N/Neuartiges_Coronavirus...
29.
by angelzen 5y ago
As of 12/02/2012, Robert Koch Institute, roughly the German CDC, estimates 7-day R-value at 0.92 https://www.rki.de/DE/Content/InfAZ/N/Neuartiges_Coronavirus... Index page: https://w
30.
by angelzen 5y ago
The vaccines, while not as effective as classics like polio vaccine or measles vaccine, are definitely a net positive and help significantly in reducing the epidemic burden. Perhaps instead of internecine finger pointing we could blame covi

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