Vera_Wilde

6 ms·

1.
by Vera_Wilde 10mo ago
I'm especially interested in feedback on the modeling choices — prevalence curves, specificity sliders, and whether (and how) to add correlated errors or adversarial behavior. If anyone works in health tech, security, or trust & sa
2.
Rarity Roulette – an interactive simulator for mass screenings(wildetruth.substack.com)
1 points by Vera_Wilde 10mo ago|2 comments
3.
by Vera_Wilde 10mo ago
An interactive simulator for visualizing how false positives explode in mass screenings for low-prevalence problems. Relevant across diverse domains including security (e.g., Chat Control; iBorderCtrl), medicine (e.g., mammography; PSA test
4.
by Vera_Wilde 10mo ago
A lot of what's changed isn't parenting instincts but the systems kids are embedded in. Traffic speed, liability fears, school policies, and surveillance culture all push toward zero-risk tolerance. When the background structure p
5.
by Vera_Wilde 10mo ago
One underappreciated challenge in geothermal is simply the distribution of usable rock formations — low-prevalence resources. Better drilling reduces the rarity penalty by making more sites viable. Similar structure to many screening proble
6.
by Vera_Wilde 10mo ago
Medieval life lacked precision measurement: no clocks, no KPIs, no micro-evaluation. Much of modern stress isn't workload but being quantified. That shift from 'work until the task is done' to 'work until the metric is s
7.
by Vera_Wilde 10mo ago
The directional‐ablation approach in Heretic is clever: by identifying residual “refusal directions” and ablating them, they shift the trade-off frontier for the model. In rare‐event screening terms: they’re effectively changing the detecti
8.
by Vera_Wilde 10mo ago
Worms are great, but they're not your grandma. So one thing missing from the excitement around this line of work: how little these worm effects generalize to mammals. C. elegans has very unusual biology — direct soma→germline communica
9.
by Vera_Wilde 10mo ago
If an opaque actor can fabricate legal-ish complaints and pressure DNS providers into blocking a site, the system is wide open for abuse. Smaller services without legal teams would just fold. Curious if others are seeing this kind of “shado
10.
by Vera_Wilde 10mo ago
Hah! Yeah, the bonobo/chimp contrast shows it’s not an inevitability. We just optimized for the wrong equilibrium.
11.
by Vera_Wilde 10mo ago
It's really beautiful! Super clean UI. The thing I always want from timezone tools is: “Let me simulate a date after one side has shifted but the other hasn’t.” Humans do badly with DST offset transitions; computers do great with them.
12.
by Vera_Wilde 10mo ago
Grateful for Breyer's consistent excellent work tracking and opposing these proposals. The Zombie proposal just keeps rising from the dead. The technical/mathematical objections don’t change. I still haven’t seen a counter-argumen