Veedrac

4 ms·

1.
by Veedrac 13d ago
A classically pretrained LLM does not have a concept of having determined its previous tokens — it has only ever observed inputs that it had no causal influence over. This is why it's valid to say its actions are predictive and not det
2.
by Veedrac 13d ago
No, those aren't synonyms at all. If I steer a car to avoid a predicted collision with a wall, this is not me 'predicting' the car. I am steering the car based on a prediction.
3.
by Veedrac 13d ago
The distinction is that it's not 'predicting the next token'. Instead it's _determining_ the next token based on a prediction of its reward signal.
4.
by Veedrac 15d ago
Here's a sample of 10, drawn randomly: 2020-2050: Phone calls entail three-dimensional holographic images of both people. This is totally possible. We could even do it on phones with fairly mundane consumer technology. We can do it wit
5.
by Veedrac 16d ago
If you grade what was linked by whether it is "approximately achievable today", and not some less interesting metric like being predicted for the correct year or if it was outcompeted by some other thing, he's closer to 70-90
6.
by Veedrac 1mo ago
Roughly, these satellites would be as bright as the sun, except at night when you're adapted to dark conditions. With the naked eye it'd just be unpleasant, because the dot is so small and smears out to a lower effective brightnes
7.
by Veedrac 1mo ago
> What intelligence are we missing that is needed to solve climate change? Cheaper solar and batteries? Effective drilling for geothermal? Working cost-effective fusion plants? Earlier awareness of the issue? Better coordination and comm
8.
by Veedrac 1mo ago
My claim that Mary's extraordinary ability to get peaches whenever she wants is due to humanity's collective intelligence is not at all a claim that Mary wants peaches because she's a pure rational actor. (??)
9.
by Veedrac 1mo ago
...only very marginally more? What property, if not intelligence, do you think makes people capable of rallying political support? Of working quickly though permit processes? Of providing accurate drug dosing guidance? Of presenting as a tr
10.
by Veedrac 1mo ago
Indeed. Humans and not other apes reached the moon by our great proclivity to long distance running, through our exceptional sweat glands... ah, wait. How is it possible to live in the world around us and not see, apparent and transparent,
11.
by Veedrac 2mo ago
They account for this. > Primary energy is based on the substitution method and measured in terawatt-hours.
12.
by Veedrac 2mo ago
Anybody old enough to remember when https://imagen.research.google/video/ was SOTA?
13.
by Veedrac 3mo ago
The simplest explanation is surely that China is new to having a highly educated workforce and the ‘failed for some fifty years’ claims the article makes don't mean much given it. I don't think you need to entrain market arguments
14.
by Veedrac 3mo ago
I have libertarian enough tendencies to think that if a person wants to self-operate, or pay for an operation that doctors are telling them is not justified given the evidence, then they should have right to do it. But I don't think th
15.
by Veedrac 3mo ago
This is fair, but I think it's better stated as you did than couched in language suggesting it's a matter of principle.
16.
by Veedrac 3mo ago
This style of argument has always bothered me, because the correction to misdiagnosis or mistreatment is not to stop looking, it's _git gud_. For sure, we have to be realistic about what processes will systematically have error, and if
17.
by Veedrac 3mo ago
Wow this paper is bad. I was expecting little and received genuine crackpottery. It's hard to critique this paper directly because its claims are so incoherent and decorated with so much obnoxious verbiage[1] that people aren't go
18.
by Veedrac 4mo ago
You don't have to argue the opposite of a prediction to disbelieve sources with poor track records.
19.
by Veedrac 4mo ago
I broadly agree those are good to consider (a typical requirement for my own designs is to fit the KIK format as-is), but I think you're being a little too absolute. Enclave deserves some recognition here for getting pretty close. It&#
20.
by Veedrac 4mo ago
A few locks like you describe are Enclave, andy pugh's, Built Different Design's, Carl L. Lambert's, and Michel Robert's.
21.
by Veedrac 5mo ago
You can't normally describe it as profit because stocks by rule trade at a fair price, but it's surely reasonable to consider in this case GME making a profit from the squeeze given they were selling a good well above fair acquisi
22.
by Veedrac 5mo ago
Quote from bottom of page. > We understand that some may wish to sensationalize a public crisis like this, but we would implore anybody to consider the ethics of the situation before publicizing this matter to a wider audience than is al
23.
by Veedrac 5mo ago
I wasn't saying you would have that experience, I was saying that the reason people act like transducers are unique is that transducers are an unconventional place on well worn ground. Ultimately, yes, everything bottoms out, most spec
24.
by Veedrac 5mo ago
Fundamentally, there are two ways of representing iteration pipelines: source driven, and drain driven. This almost always maps to the idea of _internal_ iteration and _external_ iteration, because the source is wrapped inside the transform
25.
by Veedrac 5mo ago
Do you not... remember? The US life expectancy is 79 years. 7.9 years ago was late May 2018. The best LLM was... wait, there weren't any. There was ELMo, an embedding model. It wasn't just not smart at agentic coding, it wasn&#x27
26.
by Veedrac 5mo ago
It turns out there is literally no amount of being publicly right about a longshot bet sufficient for people to conclude you hold your beliefs because you think they are true.
27.
by Veedrac 6mo ago
More than anything it's a supply limit. Solar is consistently scaling about as fast as any manufacturing industry scales. The TAM is just big.
28.
by Veedrac 6mo ago
I think the idea is that in an always-on display mode, most of the screen is black and the rest is dim, so circuitry power budget becomes a much larger fraction of overhead.
29.
by Veedrac 6mo ago
There's a very simple solution to this problem here. Instead of wink-wink-nudge-nudge implying that 100% is 'human baseline', calculate the median human score from the data you already have and put it on that chart.
30.
by Veedrac 7mo ago
If you don't like the word 'actuality', I can rephrase. Many worlds is just the claim that physical reality materially evolves in correspondence with the Schrödinger equation. If you want to quibble over what it means for som

More ›