SilverBirch

6 ms·

1.
by SilverBirch 15d ago
So I have three thoughts about this: The first thought is this is likely mostly survivorship bias. Yes, the claims that get to the humans are the ones that went wrong, and the mode of failure for LLMs is less that they get within 99% all of
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by SilverBirch 15d ago
This is kind of a "I'm not here to tell you about Jesus he either lives in your heart or he doesn't". I am an engineer, I have about 15 years of experience. I have been using AI in my job since mid 2025. Over that time i
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by SilverBirch 15d ago
For someone who falls in the middle of this a really good read is Quoth the Raven[1]. He essentially makes the argument that proposition 1 is probably true, but that before proposition 2 happens there'll be a massive bubble burst. Anal
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by SilverBirch 1mo ago
Just so I'm clear, Grok bot snags your credentials and then pretends to be you whilst surfing the web. If it uses your account to post of X (ie, the social network), is it adhering to X terms of service or is that violating policy by u
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by SilverBirch 1mo ago
It’s been pretty clear for a while that Nikita has been looking at the ways twitter is bad- foreign accounts stoking hatred in the west for cash. He started putting in ways to change it and put in better incentives (not monetizing this rage
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by SilverBirch 2mo ago
I work in the corporate world, I have detailed confidential discussions about technical details of upcoming products and contract details. The first thing we do in those situations is we all sign NDAs. The idea that you'd do a presen
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by SilverBirch 2mo ago
What do you mean for the sake of Apple? This didn't benefit Apple. He screwed with this guy for months because of a mistaken idea that the guy should have somehow known Apple's attitude towards secrecy without being told, and afte
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by SilverBirch 2mo ago
Always worth remembering that as well as being an innovator, Steve Jobs was often a cruel and petty man.
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by SilverBirch 2mo ago
It's computer Gain of Function research.
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by SilverBirch 2mo ago
The "move to the us" thing seems to just be absolute twitter brain. The biggest problem London founders face is raising funding and these guys seemingly raised plenty based on an idea that that didn't seem to understand the m
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by SilverBirch 2mo ago
I think this is such a great example of misunderstanding a political problem as a technical problem, and misunderstanding twitter as real life. > the political winds seemed favourable Sorry. How? Some libertarians on twitter were in favo
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by SilverBirch 2mo ago
Isn't this the opposite of what I want? I don't want people willing to pay getting into my inbox. Those are the people who think they can get more from me somehow. Those are exactly the people I want to not be in my inbox.
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by SilverBirch 2mo ago
Don't copy that floppy! - https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=up863eQKGUI
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by SilverBirch 3mo ago
>If Rivian’s native UI is so great, then their customers… won’t use CarPlay. It’s that simple. I kind of disagree with this. Airpods are purely additive, customers can just choose to use different headphones with their iPhone if they wan
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by SilverBirch 3mo ago
To be honest I don't think what the models themselves say in relation to these specific questions matter. Because I don't think it reflects are durable underlying worldview. I suspect that the way you frame things is going to infl
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by SilverBirch 3mo ago
Google acquired his company in 2024 for $2.7Bn with him taking about 40% of that. I'm quite sure that no matter where he went, any lab or his own start up, he would be fine financially.
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by SilverBirch 3mo ago
I totally understand the concern that forcing a digital proof of age turns into you having to go to some 3rd party who won't actually just provide a "Yes, this person is 18" style verification but instead will turn into user
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by SilverBirch 3mo ago
I feel like a lot of this advice is kind of dangerous. How do I draft a tight investor memo? I'll ask the slop machine! It's kind of analogous to how I'm writing code right now. For simple stuff or low priority stuff I'l
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by SilverBirch 3mo ago
Just to be clear, this is the same reason that social media companies don't tell you about how they detect spam and they create shadow bans and things like this so that people don't know they've been detected and figure out t
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by SilverBirch 4mo ago
What are you even classifying as accurate or correct? Do you take every 51% prediction from FiveThirtyEight and if the result is a win you consider that forecast accurate? And every 49% prediction must result in a loss? This just not how st
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by SilverBirch 4mo ago
To give you a trivial example: The simplest way I can put this is that turn out varies based on the weather[1], and turn out is skewed by party. So if it rains on election day you are going to get a different result, and that result can fli
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by SilverBirch 4mo ago
I think it's unquestionably right that these companies can't all win, and those that don't win are going to burn a lot of money for nothing. However there's kind of two directions this can go: Compute gets cheaper, in wh
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by SilverBirch 5mo ago
One aspect of my job is that I have a lot of autonomy and the work I do is such that I could push something out to the production environment and cause massive problems. We have processes in place to make sure that doesn't happen, but
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by SilverBirch 5mo ago
You're forgetting that xAI and X.com have both already been folded into SpaceX (First xAI acquired X.com, then xAI got acquired by SpaceX, both mergers were all-stock acquisitions so they were done with funny money). So when people say
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by SilverBirch 5mo ago
Just commenting here to impact the controversy score.
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by SilverBirch 5mo ago
Frankly I think it’s kind of childish to just put up a massive Uk wide block on your website. “Call your representatives”, ok dude, can I give you a list of things I want to change about your country’s policies?
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by SilverBirch 6mo ago
Needs a [2010] tag. In almost all modern hardware development you'll have coding guidelines along the lines of "Always use blocking assignments for comb logic, always use non-blocking for sequential logic". You end up back at
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by SilverBirch 6mo ago
What do you mean by simulate? Do you want the language to be aware of the temperature of the silicon? Because I can build you circuits whose behaviour changes due to variation in the temperature of the silicon. Essentially all these langua
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by SilverBirch 6mo ago
I guess this really depends on your view of the world. Was Marc Andreessen some visionary without whom no one would've ever figured out images could appear on websites. Some kind of Albert Einstein of cat gifs. Or was the img tag an in
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by SilverBirch 6mo ago
There are obviously tonnes of accurate stereotypes in the TV show Silicon Valley, but one of the ones I think about often is when Richard calculates how much money Russ Hanneman has made investing his billions... and it works out to less th

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